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Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale
CategoryWind SpeedStorm Surge
 mphft
5≥157>18
4130–15613–18
3111–1299–12
296–1106–8
174–954–5
Additional Classifications
Tropical Storm39–730–3
Tropical Depression0–380
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a classification used for most Western Hemisphere tropical cyclones that exceed the intensities of "tropical depressions" and "tropical storms", and thereby become hurricanes. Source: Intellicast

Beaufort Wind Scale

Number Of Storms Per 100 Yrs

00Z Runs of TC Genesis Probability Ensemble-based Probability (%) of TC Genesis Consensus (NCEP, CMC and ECMWF) 0-48 Hours 0-120 Hours 120-240 Hours Ensemble-based Probability (%) of TC Genesis Consensus (NCEP) 0-48 Hours 0-120 Hours 120-240 Hours 12Z Runs of TC Genesis Probability Ensemble-based Probability (%) of TC Genesis Consensus (NCEP, CMC and ECMWF) 0-48 Hours 0-120 Hours 120-240 Hours Ensemble-based Probability (%) of TC Genesis Consensus (NCEP) 0-48 Hours 0-120 Hours 120-240 Hours

Atlantic Basin Storm Count Since 1850


Atlantic Basin Storm Count Since 1850

Hurricane Strike Percentages

[Map of return period in years for hurricanes passing within 50 nautical miles]
Estimated return period in years for hurricanes passing within 50 nautical miles of various locations on the U.S. Coast
[Map of return period in years for major hurricanes passing within 50 nautical miles]
Estimated return period in years for MAJOR passing within 50 nautical miles of various locations on the U.S. Coast

CONUS Hurricane Strikes

1950-2017
[Map of 1950-2017 CONUS Hurricane Strikes]
Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total MAJOR Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Major Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Major Hurricane StrikesEastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Major Hurricane StrikesSE Coast Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Hurricane Strikes SE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Major Hurricane StrikesNE Coast Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Hurricane Strikes NE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Major Hurricane Strikes

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Hurricane Teddy – 2020 Hurricane Season

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Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Additional Projected Path Swath
Additional Projected Path SwathAdditional Projected Path Swath
Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force WindsMost Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force WindsHurricane Force Wind Probabilities Hurricane Force Wind ProbabilitiesTropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities
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NHC Public Advisory on Teddy
  • Sun, 15 Nov 2020 14:30:49 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Theta Advisory Number 23 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Theta Advisory Number 23

    000
    WTNT35 KNHC 151430
    TCPAT5

    BULLETIN
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Theta Advisory Number 23
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL302020
    300 PM GMT Sun Nov 15 2020

    ...THETA BECOMES A REMNANT LOW...
    ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


    SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...31.5N 18.2W
    ABOUT 670 MI...1080 KM SE OF THE AZORES
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Theta
    was located near latitude 31.5 North, longitude 18.2 West. The
    post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north near 2 mph (4 km/h)
    and a faster north or north-northeast motion is forecast for a day
    or two until the low dissipates.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
    The low should gradually decay and dissipate by Tuesday.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
    found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the UK Met Office under WMO
    header FQNT21 EGRR and on the web at
    metoffice.gov.uk/weather/specialist-forecasts/coast-and-sea/high-
    seas-forecast/.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake

NHC Forecast Advisory on Teddy
  • Sun, 15 Nov 2020 14:30:48 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone THETA Forecast/Advi... - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone THETA Forecast/Advisory Number 23 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL302020 1500 UTC SUN NOV 15 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL Cyclone CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 18.2W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 120SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 18.2W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 18.3W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 31.9N 18.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 33.7N 17.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 36.5N 16.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 18.2W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/Advisory ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE UK MET OFFICE...UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT21 EGRR. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

    000
    WTNT25 KNHC 151430
    TCMAT5

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE THETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL302020
    1500 UTC SUN NOV 15 2020

    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 18.2W AT 15/1500Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
    12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 120SW 0NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 18.2W AT 15/1500Z
    AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 18.3W

    FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 31.9N 18.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 33.7N 17.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 36.5N 16.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 18.2W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
    FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE UK MET OFFICE...UNDER
    WMO HEADER FQNT21 EGRR.

    $$
    FORECASTER BLAKE


NHC Discussion on Teddy
  • Sun, 15 Nov 2020 14:32:20 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Theta Discussion Number 23 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Theta Discussion Number 23

    000
    WTNT45 KNHC 151432
    TCDAT5

    Post-Tropical Cyclone Theta Discussion Number 23
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL302020
    300 PM GMT Sun Nov 15 2020

    Theta has run out of theta-e. The cyclone has been without
    significant deep convection for many hours now and has been
    gradually spinning down today. It no longer meets the qualifications
    of a tropical cyclone, so this is the last advisory. The initial
    wind speed is set to 25 kt per the latest scatterometer pass.

    The low is meandering this morning. It is expected to be picked up
    to the north-northeast by the next trough over the northeastern
    Atlantic, along with an increase in forward speed. The remnants of
    Theta should gradually lose strength due to strong shear, very dry
    air and little instability before dissipating in a day or two.

    Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
    Forecasts issued by the UK Met Office under WMO header FQNT21 EGRR
    and on the web at
    metoffice.gov.uk/weather/specialist-forecasts/coast-and-sea/high-
    seas-forecast/.

    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 15/1500Z 31.5N 18.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
    12H 16/0000Z 31.9N 18.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    24H 16/1200Z 33.7N 17.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    36H 17/0000Z 36.5N 16.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    48H 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Blake

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