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Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale
CategoryWind SpeedStorm Surge
 mphft
5≥157>18
4130–15613–18
3111–1299–12
296–1106–8
174–954–5
Additional Classifications
Tropical Storm39–730–3
Tropical Depression0–380
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a classification used for most Western Hemisphere tropical cyclones that exceed the intensities of "tropical depressions" and "tropical storms", and thereby become hurricanes. Source: Intellicast

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Atlantic Basin Storm Count Since 1850


Atlantic Basin Storm Count Since 1850

Hurricane Strike Percentages

[Map of return period in years for hurricanes passing within 50 nautical miles]
Estimated return period in years for hurricanes passing within 50 nautical miles of various locations on the U.S. Coast
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Estimated return period in years for MAJOR passing within 50 nautical miles of various locations on the U.S. Coast

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Hurricane Teddy – 2020 Hurricane Season

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NHC Public Advisory on Teddy
  • Thu, 24 Sep 2020 02:43:26 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Teddy Advisory Number 47 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Teddy Advisory Number 47

    000
    WTNT35 KNHC 240243
    TCPAT5

    BULLETIN
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Teddy Advisory Number 47
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202020
    1100 PM AST Wed Sep 23 2020

    ...TEDDY HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST COAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND...
    ...FOR FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
    ENVIRONMENT CANADA...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...51.0N 57.3W
    ABOUT 530 MI...850 KM NNE OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
    ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM NNW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 32 MPH...52 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Teddy
    was located near latitude 51.0 North, longitude 57.3 West based on
    the Marble Mountain, Newfoundland, radar and surface observations
    along the west coast of Newfoundland. The post-tropical cyclone
    is moving toward the north-northeast near 32 mph (52 km/h), and
    this general motion is expected to continue through Thursday. On
    the forecast track, the center of Teddy should move closer to the
    northwestern Newfoundland coast tonight and into the Labrador Sea on
    Thursday before merging with a larger extratropical low.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Little change in strength is forecast before the system merges with
    the extratropical low on Thursday.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
    from the center.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches).
    By the Sea, Newfoundland (near the Cow Head Lighthouse) reported a
    barometric pressure of 979 mb (28.91 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Teddy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC
    and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.

    SURF: Large swells generated by Teddy are affecting Bermuda, the
    Lesser Antilles, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, the east coast
    of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. These swells are likely
    to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
    consult products from your local weather office.

    WIND: Gusty winds are possible along the western coast of
    Newfoundland tonight.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on this system. For hazard information for Newfoundland and
    Labrador, please consult products issued by Environment Canada at
    weather.gc.ca/hurricane/index_e.html

    Additional information on the post-tropical cyclone can also be
    found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
    under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
    ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php.

    $$
    Forecaster Roberts

NHC Forecast Advisory on Teddy
  • Thu, 24 Sep 2020 02:42:56 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone TEDDY Forecast/Advi... - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone TEDDY Forecast/Advisory Number 47 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020 0300 UTC THU SEP 24 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS Advisory... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL Cyclone CENTER LOCATED NEAR 51.0N 57.3W AT 24/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 28 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 180SE 150SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 840SE 900SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 51.0N 57.3W AT 24/0300Z AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 49.7N 58.2W FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 54.7N 54.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z...MERGED WITH A LARGER LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 51.0N 57.3W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

    000
    WTNT25 KNHC 240242
    TCMAT5

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 47
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020
    0300 UTC THU SEP 24 2020

    CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 51.0N 57.3W AT 24/0300Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 28 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
    34 KT.......120NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
    12 FT SEAS..120NE 840SE 900SW 0NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 51.0N 57.3W AT 24/0300Z
    AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 49.7N 58.2W

    FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 54.7N 54.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT...150NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.

    FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z...MERGED WITH A LARGER LOW

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 51.0N 57.3W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
    FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
    SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

    $$
    FORECASTER ROBERTS


NHC Discussion on Teddy
  • Thu, 24 Sep 2020 02:43:56 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Teddy Discussion Number 47 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Teddy Discussion Number 47

    000
    WTNT45 KNHC 240243
    TCDAT5

    Post-Tropical Cyclone Teddy Discussion Number 47
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202020
    1100 PM AST Wed Sep 23 2020

    Teddy is accelerating over the northeastern Gulf of St. Lawrence and
    will move over the Strait of Belle Isle later, while continuing
    to fill/decay as an extratropical cyclone. The initial intensity
    is set at 45 kt, and this is based on the various surface wind and
    pressure observations along the west coast of Newfoundland from
    Channel-Port aux Basques northward to Port Saunders and the Straits.
    Teddy is forecast to maintain its current intensity and motion,
    with some further increase in forward speed, and merge with a
    larger, stronger high-latitude extratropical low near the Labrador
    Sea on Thursday.

    Even after Teddy passes Nova Scotia and Newfoundland, large swells
    creating dangerous rip currents will linger over much of the
    southwestern Atlantic basin for the next few days.

    This will be the last NHC advisory on Teddy. For additional
    information, including warnings, consult products issued by
    Environment Canada at: weather.gc.ca/hurricane/index_e.html

    For marine interests, additional information can be found in
    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under
    AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 24/0300Z 51.0N 57.3W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    12H 24/1200Z 54.7N 54.1W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    24H 25/0000Z...MERGED WITH A LARGER LOW

    $$
    Forecaster Roberts

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