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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 28 Oct 2026 04:41:18 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
724
AXNT20 KNHC 280441
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Oct 28 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Significant Swell N of Bahamas: NE swell from earlier gales in the
area continue to lead to very rough seas for waters N of 26N and W
of 71W. Peak seas are near 18 ft offshore east-central Florida.
Although gales have ended, the pressure gradient between a strong
ridge over the eastern U.S. and low pressure centered in the
Bahamas will continue to produce strong NE to E winds into Thu,
keep seas rough to very rough. Seas of 12 ft or greater are likely
to persist for waters offshore NE Florida through at least
tonight. Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous
marine conditions and take the necessary precautions to avoid
these affected areas.
Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website
https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 11N15W to 10N20W. The ITCZ
stretches from 10N20W to 08N55W. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 07N to 12N between 28W and 54W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure over the eastern United States extends a ridge
across the Gulf waters. The pressure gradient between the ridge
and low pres over the Bahamas is supporting moderate to fresh
winds E of 90W. Moderate to rough seas are over these waters.
Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are found west of 90W.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a strong ridge
over the eastern United States and a complex weather system over
the Bahamas will continue to support fresh to strong NE to E
winds and rough seas over the E Gulf into late this week. Winds
and seas will gradually diminish into the weekend. Elsewhere,
gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas will prevail through
the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A surface trough extends from low pres over the Bahamas across
central Cuba to around 15N80W. Moderate to locally fresh
northerly winds and moderate seas are found N of 16N and W of the
trough. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are found over
the eastern Caribbean east of 70W. Light to gentle winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the surface trough extends southward across
central Cuba and into the Caribbean along 80W from low pressure
near Andros Island in the Bahamas. The trough will remain nearly
stationary. Ample tropical moisture and upper-level divergence
support scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the
central Caribbean, especially over Hispaniola. The surface trough
will gradually weaken through the middle of the week. Winds and
seas will diminish in the W Caribbean Wed. Otherwise, moderate to
locally fresh trade winds in the E Caribbean will continue over
the next few days, gradually extending westward this week and into
the upcoming weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section above for information on
significant swell causing very rough seas north of the Bahamas.
Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is noted S of 26N
between 67W and 72W in association with a deep-layer trough and
abundant tropical moisture. This activity will continue to provide
periods of heavy rain to Hispaniola over the next couple of days.
A stationary front extends from 31N55W to a 1010 mb low pressure
over the Bahamas near 25N77W. N of this boundary, strong NE to E
winds and very rough seas prevail, to the south and seas, mainly
moderate SE winds with moderate to locally rough seas are present.
To the east, another stationary front extends from 31N34W to
29N40W. Moderate W winds and moderate seas are noted N and W of
this front. In NE waters, rough seas are present N of 26N and E of
40W. Elsewhere, mainly gentle winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a tight pressure gradient between a
1032 mb high pressure system over New England and a stationary
front extending from near 31N55W to a 1010 mb low in the NW
Bahamas supports fresh to near gale-force NE winds and rough to
very rough seas north of the front and west of the low. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring north of the
front and south of the front between 66W and 73W. Strong NE to E
winds and rough to very rough seas will persist north of 28N and
west of 65W through Thu as the low pressure moves southwestward
and the front weakens. Looking ahead, weak low pressure will
develop southwest of Bermuda by Fri, then lift to the northeast
and reinforce the frontal boundary over the waters between the
central Bahamas and Bermuda. Expect fresh to strong NE-E winds and
seas to 10 ft north of the front through Sun.
$$
Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 28 Oct 2026 04:41:18 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
724
AXNT20 KNHC 280441
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Oct 28 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Significant Swell N of Bahamas: NE swell from earlier gales in the
area continue to lead to very rough seas for waters N of 26N and W
of 71W. Peak seas are near 18 ft offshore east-central Florida.
Although gales have ended, the pressure gradient between a strong
ridge over the eastern U.S. and low pressure centered in the
Bahamas will continue to produce strong NE to E winds into Thu,
keep seas rough to very rough. Seas of 12 ft or greater are likely
to persist for waters offshore NE Florida through at least
tonight. Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous
marine conditions and take the necessary precautions to avoid
these affected areas.
Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website
https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 11N15W to 10N20W. The ITCZ
stretches from 10N20W to 08N55W. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 07N to 12N between 28W and 54W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure over the eastern United States extends a ridge
across the Gulf waters. The pressure gradient between the ridge
and low pres over the Bahamas is supporting moderate to fresh
winds E of 90W. Moderate to rough seas are over these waters.
Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are found west of 90W.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a strong ridge
over the eastern United States and a complex weather system over
the Bahamas will continue to support fresh to strong NE to E
winds and rough seas over the E Gulf into late this week. Winds
and seas will gradually diminish into the weekend. Elsewhere,
gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas will prevail through
the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A surface trough extends from low pres over the Bahamas across
central Cuba to around 15N80W. Moderate to locally fresh
northerly winds and moderate seas are found N of 16N and W of the
trough. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are found over
the eastern Caribbean east of 70W. Light to gentle winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the surface trough extends southward across
central Cuba and into the Caribbean along 80W from low pressure
near Andros Island in the Bahamas. The trough will remain nearly
stationary. Ample tropical moisture and upper-level divergence
support scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the
central Caribbean, especially over Hispaniola. The surface trough
will gradually weaken through the middle of the week. Winds and
seas will diminish in the W Caribbean Wed. Otherwise, moderate to
locally fresh trade winds in the E Caribbean will continue over
the next few days, gradually extending westward this week and into
the upcoming weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section above for information on
significant swell causing very rough seas north of the Bahamas.
Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is noted S of 26N
between 67W and 72W in association with a deep-layer trough and
abundant tropical moisture. This activity will continue to provide
periods of heavy rain to Hispaniola over the next couple of days.
A stationary front extends from 31N55W to a 1010 mb low pressure
over the Bahamas near 25N77W. N of this boundary, strong NE to E
winds and very rough seas prevail, to the south and seas, mainly
moderate SE winds with moderate to locally rough seas are present.
To the east, another stationary front extends from 31N34W to
29N40W. Moderate W winds and moderate seas are noted N and W of
this front. In NE waters, rough seas are present N of 26N and E of
40W. Elsewhere, mainly gentle winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a tight pressure gradient between a
1032 mb high pressure system over New England and a stationary
front extending from near 31N55W to a 1010 mb low in the NW
Bahamas supports fresh to near gale-force NE winds and rough to
very rough seas north of the front and west of the low. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring north of the
front and south of the front between 66W and 73W. Strong NE to E
winds and rough to very rough seas will persist north of 28N and
west of 65W through Thu as the low pressure moves southwestward
and the front weakens. Looking ahead, weak low pressure will
develop southwest of Bermuda by Fri, then lift to the northeast
and reinforce the frontal boundary over the waters between the
central Bahamas and Bermuda. Expect fresh to strong NE-E winds and
seas to 10 ft north of the front through Sun.
$$
Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 29 Oct 2026 17:02:00 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 08:14:17 GMT - Wed, 28 Oct 2026 05:02:00 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 280501
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 27 Oct 2026 18:15:53 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 271815
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1025 AM EDT TUE 27 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-149
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf





