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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 19 May 2026 00:20:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
630
AXNT20 KNHC 190019
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue May 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Agadir Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1028 mb high
near 31N35W and lower pressures over northern Africa supports
strong to near gale force NE winds generally E of 20W and N of
17N. Winds are expected to increase today and accordingly, Meteo-
France has issued a Gale Warning for the Agadir zone through at
least 19/00 UTC. Rough seas will accompany these winds as well.
For more information, please read the Meteo-France warning text
and High Seas forecast at:
wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/display/2
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 22W from 11N
southward, and moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. Patchy showers are
seen from 02N to 06N between 20W and 22W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is east of the Windward Islands
near 56W from 14N southward to over Suriname, and nearly
stationary. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen
across Suriname and French Guiana.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 81W from 16N southward
across the western Panama and nearly stationary. Convection is
addressed in the monsoon trough section below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the Guinea coast just
north of Conakry, then runs southwestward to 05N19W. Farther west,
an ITCZ reaches westward from 04N25W to 02N43W. Numerous moderate
to isolated strong convection is seen south of the monsoon trough
near the coast of Sierra Leone and Liberia. Scattered moderate
convection is present up to 200 nm along either side of the ITCZ.
The eastern end fo the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
isolated thunderstorms across the Caribbean waters near Costa Rica
and Panama.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A modest surface ridge extends west-southwestward from the Florida
Big Bend area to north of Tampico, Mexico. A thermal trough is
producing scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms just off
central and southwestern Florida. Otherwise, the ridge is
supporting gentle winds and seas of 1 to 3 ft for the northeastern
and east-central Gulf. Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds with
3 to 5 ft seas exist north of the Yucatan Peninsula. Moderate to
fresh E to SE winds and 4 to 7 ft seas prevail for the rest of the
Gulf.
For the forecast, the ridge will remain across the northern Gulf
through the week. Expect moderate to fresh SE winds over the
western Gulf early this week between the high pressure and lower
pressure over Mexico. Fresh to strong winds will pulse off the
northwest Yucatan peninsula during the evenings through midweek.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An upper-level trough reaches southeastward from a low east of the
northwest Bahamas at 28N74W to southeast of Puerto Rico. It is
enhancing scattered heavy showers and isolated strong
thunderstorms across Cuba and Hispaniola, and nearby Caribbean
waters. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section above for
additional weather in the Caribbean Sea. Fresh to strong NE to E
trade winds continues across the south-central basin, and in the
Gulf of Honduras. Seas at the south-central basin are from 8 to 10
ft, and 4 to 6 ft in the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate NE
to ESE winds with 2 to 5 ft seas are present at the lee of Cuba
and, near Costa Rica and Panama. Moderate to fresh E to ESE winds
and seas of 5 to 7 ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and low pressure over Colombia will support
fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean and the Gulf
of Honduras into Wed, with moderate to fresh trades across the
remainder of the Caribbean Sea. Rough seas can be expected in the
central Caribbean during this time. Large E swell resulting in
rough seas will impact the Atlantic waters near the Lesser
Antilles into Tue night, then begin to subside.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough meanders west-southwestward from 32N49W to
28N73W. Coupling with an upper-level low east of the northwest
Bahamas near 28N74W, scattered moderate convection is occurring
north of 21N between 66W and 73W, and over the northwest and
central Bahamas. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section at the
beginning for additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.
Moderate E to ESE winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft are evident north of
20N west of 68W, except moderate to fresh winds with 4 to 6 ft
seas off northern Hispaniola. To the east, a subtropical ridge
extending west-southwestward from a 1027 mb Atlantic High near
31N32W to north of the Lesser Antilles near 27N60W is sustaining
gentle winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft north of 25N between 35W and
68W. Farther south, moderate to fresh NE to E trades and 6 to 9 ft
seas dominate from 04N to 25N between 35W and 68W/Lesser Antilles.
Gentle to moderate E to SE winds with 5 to 7 ft seas prevail for
the remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will support
fresh trade winds and rough seas with E swell east of the Leeward
Islands and north of Hispaniola Thu. A surface trough from south
of Bermuda to around 29N73W will dissipate tonight, leaving tranquil
marine conditions in place through mid-week.
$$
Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 19 May 2026 00:20:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
630
AXNT20 KNHC 190019
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue May 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Agadir Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1028 mb high
near 31N35W and lower pressures over northern Africa supports
strong to near gale force NE winds generally E of 20W and N of
17N. Winds are expected to increase today and accordingly, Meteo-
France has issued a Gale Warning for the Agadir zone through at
least 19/00 UTC. Rough seas will accompany these winds as well.
For more information, please read the Meteo-France warning text
and High Seas forecast at:
wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/display/2
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 22W from 11N
southward, and moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. Patchy showers are
seen from 02N to 06N between 20W and 22W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is east of the Windward Islands
near 56W from 14N southward to over Suriname, and nearly
stationary. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen
across Suriname and French Guiana.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 81W from 16N southward
across the western Panama and nearly stationary. Convection is
addressed in the monsoon trough section below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the Guinea coast just
north of Conakry, then runs southwestward to 05N19W. Farther west,
an ITCZ reaches westward from 04N25W to 02N43W. Numerous moderate
to isolated strong convection is seen south of the monsoon trough
near the coast of Sierra Leone and Liberia. Scattered moderate
convection is present up to 200 nm along either side of the ITCZ.
The eastern end fo the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
isolated thunderstorms across the Caribbean waters near Costa Rica
and Panama.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A modest surface ridge extends west-southwestward from the Florida
Big Bend area to north of Tampico, Mexico. A thermal trough is
producing scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms just off
central and southwestern Florida. Otherwise, the ridge is
supporting gentle winds and seas of 1 to 3 ft for the northeastern
and east-central Gulf. Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds with
3 to 5 ft seas exist north of the Yucatan Peninsula. Moderate to
fresh E to SE winds and 4 to 7 ft seas prevail for the rest of the
Gulf.
For the forecast, the ridge will remain across the northern Gulf
through the week. Expect moderate to fresh SE winds over the
western Gulf early this week between the high pressure and lower
pressure over Mexico. Fresh to strong winds will pulse off the
northwest Yucatan peninsula during the evenings through midweek.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An upper-level trough reaches southeastward from a low east of the
northwest Bahamas at 28N74W to southeast of Puerto Rico. It is
enhancing scattered heavy showers and isolated strong
thunderstorms across Cuba and Hispaniola, and nearby Caribbean
waters. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section above for
additional weather in the Caribbean Sea. Fresh to strong NE to E
trade winds continues across the south-central basin, and in the
Gulf of Honduras. Seas at the south-central basin are from 8 to 10
ft, and 4 to 6 ft in the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate NE
to ESE winds with 2 to 5 ft seas are present at the lee of Cuba
and, near Costa Rica and Panama. Moderate to fresh E to ESE winds
and seas of 5 to 7 ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and low pressure over Colombia will support
fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean and the Gulf
of Honduras into Wed, with moderate to fresh trades across the
remainder of the Caribbean Sea. Rough seas can be expected in the
central Caribbean during this time. Large E swell resulting in
rough seas will impact the Atlantic waters near the Lesser
Antilles into Tue night, then begin to subside.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough meanders west-southwestward from 32N49W to
28N73W. Coupling with an upper-level low east of the northwest
Bahamas near 28N74W, scattered moderate convection is occurring
north of 21N between 66W and 73W, and over the northwest and
central Bahamas. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section at the
beginning for additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.
Moderate E to ESE winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft are evident north of
20N west of 68W, except moderate to fresh winds with 4 to 6 ft
seas off northern Hispaniola. To the east, a subtropical ridge
extending west-southwestward from a 1027 mb Atlantic High near
31N32W to north of the Lesser Antilles near 27N60W is sustaining
gentle winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft north of 25N between 35W and
68W. Farther south, moderate to fresh NE to E trades and 6 to 9 ft
seas dominate from 04N to 25N between 35W and 68W/Lesser Antilles.
Gentle to moderate E to SE winds with 5 to 7 ft seas prevail for
the remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will support
fresh trade winds and rough seas with E swell east of the Leeward
Islands and north of Hispaniola Thu. A surface trough from south
of Bermuda to around 29N73W will dissipate tonight, leaving tranquil
marine conditions in place through mid-week.
$$
Chan
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 20 May 2026 11:08:12 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 19 May 2026 04:13:40 GMT - Mon, 18 May 2026 23:08:12 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
366
ABNT20 KNHC 182308
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon May 18 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Adams/Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf