Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

5 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

• Thu, 05 Nov 2020 17:31:17 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  
  000
  ABNT20 KNHC 051731
  TWOAT
  
  Tropical Weather Outlook
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  100 PM EST Thu Nov 5 2020
  
  For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
  
  The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
  Depression Eta, located inland over Honduras.
  
  Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
  
  $$
  Forecaster Papin/Zelinsky
  

• Thu, 25 Feb 2021 06:04:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
  
  000
  AXNT20 KNHC 250604
  TWDAT
  
  Tropical Weather Discussion
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  0605 UTC Thu Feb 25 2021
  
  Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
  Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
  America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
  Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
  imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
  
  Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
  0540 UTC.
  
  ...SPECIAL FEATURES...
  
  ...GALE-FORCE WINDS IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
  
  An active gale-force wind event is happening, right now, in the
  coastal waters of Colombia.
  Expect NE-to-E gale-force winds, and sea heights ranging from 10
  feet to 12 feet, from 10N to 13N between 74W and 78W, in the
  coastal waters of Colombia. The gale-force wind conditions will
  be lasting for the next 48 hours or so. Please, read the latest
  NWS high seas forecast from the
  National Hurricane Center, at the website:
  www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT.shtml, for more details.
  
  ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
  
  The monsoon trough passes through the southern coastal sections
  of Sierra Leone near 07N12W, to 03N20W. The ITCZ continues from
  03N20W, to 02N26W, and to 01N32W. Precipitation: Isolated
  moderate to locally strong covers the areas that are from 08N
  southward from 60W eastward. Rainshowers are possible,
  elsewhere, from 10N southward from 60W eastward.
  
  GULF OF MEXICO...
  
  A surface trough extends from 22N88W off the coast of the
  Yucatan Peninsula, across the NW corner of the Yucatan
  Peninsula, beyond the Isthmus of Tehuantepec of southern Mexico,
  into the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Precipitation: no significant deep
  convective precipitation is apparent in satellite imagery.
  
  A surface ridge extends from a 1022 mb high pressure center that
  is near 28N84W, to 27N92W, 23N95W, to the coast of Mexico near
  20N97W.
  
  Weak surface ridging, building across the northern Gulf of
  Mexico, will persist through Friday, then move northward. Gentle
  to moderate SE winds should prevail across most of the Gulf of
  Mexico on Saturday and Sunday. Sea fog is possible in the NW
  Gulf of Mexico by late Thursday, and persisting into early next
  week.
  
  CARIBBEAN SEA...
  
  The GFS model, for 250 mb, shows an anticyclonic circulation
  center that is just off the coast of northern Colombia near
  11N76W. This feature is spreading upper level anticyclonic wind
  flow, everywhere, in the Caribbean Sea. The GFS model for 500
  mb, shows cyclonic wind flow from 68W eastward, with an
  east-to-west oriented trough. Anticyclonic wind flow covers the
  rest of the area, with a NW-to-SE oriented ridge. The GFS model
  for 700 mb shows cyclonic wind flow, with a trough that runs
  from northern Colombia to the Windward Channel and SE Cuba.
  
  Comparatively drier air in subsidence is apparent in water vapor
  imagery, in the entire Caribbean Sea.
  
  Broken to overcast low level clouds, and isolated moderate
  rainshowers, span the Caribbean Sea. The clouds and isolated
  moderate precipitation are moving with the surface-to-low level
  wind flow.
  
  A surface trough is along 12N73W in northern Colombia, beyond
  07N78W at the coast of Colombia, about 30 nm to the south of the
  Colombia/Panama border, into the eastern Pacific Ocean.
  Precipitation: scattered moderate to strong is about 45 nm to
  the SE of the surface trough, near 06N77W, at the coast of
  Colombia. Broken to overcast multilayered clouds, and possible
  rainshowers, are from 13N southward from 73W westward, in the SW
  corner of the Caribbean Sea.
  
  Expect NE-to-E winds from 20 knots to 30 knots, and sea heights
  ranging from 8 feet to 10 feet, elsewhere, from 11N to 17N
  between 67W and 80W.
  
  The Bermuda High to the north of the region will support fresh
  to strong E trade winds in the central and eastern sections of
  the Caribbean Sea, through at least Monday night, with winds
  pulsing to gale-force off the coast of Colombia mainly during
  the overnight and early morning
  hours. Strong NE winds should develop in the Windward Passage
  tonight, persisting through Monday. Fresh to strong E trade
  winds should develop in the Gulf of Honduras nightly, beginning
  on Saturday night. N swell, with E wind waves, is producing
  combined seas to 10 feet in the tropical Atlantic Ocean, to the
  east of the Windward Islands. These conditions will prevail
  through Monday.
  
  ATLANTIC OCEAN...
  
  A cold front passes through 32N49W to 30N52W, 28N60W 26N70W, to
  26N75W. A surface trough continues from 26N75W, to the coast of
  SE Florida between Delray Beach and Boynton Beach.
  Precipitation: rainshowers are possible from the surface trough
  to 30N from 77W westward.
  Broken to overcast multilayered clouds and isolated moderate to
  locally strong are from 25N northward between 45W and 70W. Other
  rainshowers are possible, elsewhere, from the cold front
  and surface trough, northward.
  
  A second cold front, in the eastern half of the Atlantic Ocean,
  passes through 32N14W, the Canary Islands, to 27N20W and 25N29W.
  A shear line continues from 25N29W, to 24N38W. Precipitation:
  broken to overcast multilayered clouds and possible rainshowers
  are from 20N northward from 40W eastward.
  
  A 1036 mb high pressure center is near 38N24W. Surface
  anticyclonic wind flow covers the area that is from the cold
  front/shear line, northward.
  
  The current cold front, extending from 27N65W to the northern
  Bahamas, is starting to stall, and it will dissipate through
  early Thursday morning. Another weak cold front will move from
  west to east, across the waters to the north of 28N, on Thursday
  and Friday. High pressure, building to the north of the area
  behind the second front, will support fresh to strong E winds
  across the waters that are to the south of 22N, from late Friday
  through at least Monday night. N swell, combined with E wind
  waves in the area, will produce combined seas of about 8-9 ft on
  Sunday and Monday.
  
  $$
  mt/ec
  

• Thu, 03 Dec 2020 02:54:54 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
  The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.

• Wed, 04 Nov 2020 16:14:39 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
  

   
   000
   NOUS42 KNHC 041614
   REPRPD
   WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
   CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
   1115 AM EST WED 04 NOVEMBER 2020
   SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
            VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z NOVEMBER 2020
            TCPOD NUMBER.....20-162
   
   I.  ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
       1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
       2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:  POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INVEST MISSION
          OVER THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN NEAR 17.5N 87.3W FOR 06/1800Z.
   
   II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
       1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
       2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
   
   NOTE:  THE ATLANTIC WINTER STORM REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.
   
   $$
   SEF
   
   NNNN
   

• Thu, 05 Nov 2020 15:16:26 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
  
  000
  AGXX40 KNHC 051516
  MIMATS
  
  Marine Weather Discussion
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  1016 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2020
  
  Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
  and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
  and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
  
  ...GULF OF MEXICO...
  
  Tropical Depression Eta near 15.1N 87.8W 1005 mb at 10 AM EST
  moving NW at 8 kt. Maximum sustained winds 25 kt gusts 35 kt.
  Eta will move inland to 15.7N 88.0W this evening, 16.8N 87.6W
  Fri morning, 17.8N 86.2W Fri evening, strengthen to a tropical
  storm near 19.0N 84.5W Sat morning, 20.1N 83.0W Sat evening, and
  21.3N 81.2W Sun morning. Eta will change little in intensity as
  it moves to near 23.0N 80.0W early Mon. High pressure extending
  into the region from the western Atlantic will maintain fresh to
  strong NE winds over the eastern half of the basin through Sun.
  Tropical storm conditions are possible in the Straits of Florida
  Sun night and Mon.
  
  ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
  55W AND 64W...
  
  Tropical Depression Eta near 15.1N 87.8W 1005 mb at 10 AM EST
  moving NW at 8 kt. Maximum sustained winds 25 kt gusts 35 kt.
  Eta will move inland to 15.7N 88.0W this evening, 16.8N 87.6W
  Fri morning, 17.8N 86.2W Fri evening, strengthen to a tropical
  storm near 19.0N 84.5W Sat morning, 20.1N 83.0W Sat evening, and
  21.3N 81.2W Sun morning. Eta will change little in intensity as
  it moves to near 23.0N 80.0W early Mon. The center of Eta is
  expected to emerge over the Gulf of Honduras by tonight. Eta is
  forecast to approach the Cayman Islands and western or central
  Cuba this weekend.
  
  ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
  
  Tropical Depression Eta near 15.1N 87.8W 1005 mb at 10 AM EST
  moving NW at 8 kt. Maximum sustained winds 25 kt gusts 35 kt.
  Eta will move inland to 15.7N 88.0W this evening, 16.8N 87.6W
  Fri morning, 17.8N 86.2W Fri evening, strengthen to a tropical
  storm near 19.0N 84.5W Sat morning, 20.1N 83.0W Sat evening,
  and 21.3N 81.2W Sun morning. Eta will change little in
  intensity as it moves to near 23.0N 80.0W early Mon. The center
  of Eta is expected to emerge over the Gulf of Honduras by
  tonight, and will re-intensify into a tropical cyclone on Fri
  in the NW Caribbean. Fresh to strong winds are expected W of
  70W this upcoming weekend. Tropical storm conditions are
  possible between Cuba and the Bahamas Sun night and Mon. Large
  seas are expected in the western Atlantic Sat through Mon.
  
  $$
  
  .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
  coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
  telephone:
  
  .GULF OF MEXICO...
  None.
  
  .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
  55W AND 64W...
  .AMZ013...CARIBBEAN N OF 18N BETWEEN 76W AND 85W INCLUDING
  CAYMAN BASIN...
  Tropical Storm Warning Fri night into Sat.
  
  .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
  None.
  
  $$
  
  *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
  
  Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
  Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
  
  For additional information, please visit:
  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
  
  $$
  
  .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
  

• Sun, 01 Nov 2020 11:49:30 +0000: Atlantic - Atlantic
  
  000
  ABNT30 KNHC 011149
  TWSAT
  
  Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  700 AM EST Sun Nov 1 2020
  
  For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
  
  Tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic basin during the month of
  October was quite busy with five tropical cyclones developing during
  the month. All five systems were named -- Gamma, Delta, Epsilon,
  Zeta, and Eta -- although Eta had become a tropical depression on
  October 31 and then was named early on November 1 (UTC time).
  Three of the storms became hurricanes with two, Delta and Epsilon,
  reaching major hurricane strength. Based on a 30-year climatology
  (1981-2010), two named storms typically form in the basin in
  October, with one of them becoming a hurricane. A major hurricane
  forms in the basin in October about once every three years.
  
  In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the
  strength and duration of tropical storms and hurricanes, activity
  in the basin so far in 2020 has been well above average, more than
  40 percent above the long-term mean.
  
  Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at
  the National Hurricane Center website at
  www.hurricanes.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2020&basin=atl
  
  Summary Table
  
  Name Dates Max Wind (mph)
  ---------------------------------------------------
  TS Arthur 16-19 May 60*
  TS Bertha 27-28 May 50*
  TS Cristobal 1-9 Jun 60
  TS Dolly 22-24 Jun 45
  TS Edouard 4-6 Jul 45
  TS Fay 9-11 Jul 60
  TS Gonzalo 21-25 Jul 65
  H Hanna 23-27 Jul 90
  H Isaias 30 Jul-5 Aug 85
  TD Ten 31 Jul-1 Aug 35
  TS Josephine 11-16 Aug 45
  TS Kyle 14-16 Aug 50
  MH Laura 20-28 Aug 150
  H Marco 20-25 Aug 75
  H Nana 1-4 Sep 75
  TS Omar 31 Aug-5 Sep 40
  H Paulette 7-22 Sep 105
  TS Rene 7-14 Sep 50
  H Sally 11-17 Sep 105
  MH Teddy 12-22 Sep 140
  TS Vicky 14-17 Sep 50
  TS Wilfred 18-20 Sep 40
  SS Alpha 18 Sep 50
  TS Beta 17-22 Sep 60
  TS Gamma 2-5 Oct 70
  MH Delta 4-10 Oct 145
  MH Epsilon 19-26 Oct 115
  H Zeta 24-29 Oct 110
  TS Eta 31 Oct- 40
  ---------------------------------------------------
  
  * Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.
  
  $$
  Hurricane Specialist Unit