2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 28 Apr 2026 10:50:48 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 281050
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Tue Apr 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1030 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and
    continues south-southwestward to 01N20W and westward to 01S30W
    and to 01S37W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to the coast of
    Brazil near 02S44W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong
    convection is from 02S to 04N between 20W-27W. Scattered moderate
    convection is within 60 nm south of the ITCZ between 30W-34W and
    within 60 nm north of the ITCZ between 34W-28W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A relatively weak pressure gradient prevails across the basin
    while a trough is near the coast of Mexico from near Tampico to
    Veracruz. The pressure gradient between these two features is
    allowing for moderate to fresh east winds west of 87W along with 3
    to 5 ft seas. Gentle to moderate winds are east of 87W along with
    seas of 1 to 3 ft.

    Satellite imagery shows low clouds and patches of fog along
    the coasts of NE Mexico, Texas and southwest Louisiana.
    Visibility may be reduced in these areas.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between weak high
    pressure over the eastern Gulf and a trough that extends along the
    coast of Mexico from Tampico to Veracruz will produce moderate to
    fresh southeast winds and moderate seas over the western half of
    the Gulf, and gentle to moderate winds with slight to moderate
    seas over the eastern part of the basin through Wed morning.
    Elsewhere, a diurnal trough will pulse fresh to strong winds off
    the Yucatan Peninsula this evening, then at mostly fresh speeds
    through Fri night. A weak cold front will brush the northern
    portion of the NE Gulf Thu through early Fri. A rather strong
    spring time cold front should emerge off the Texas coast late Fri
    night, then reach from northern Florida to the Bay of Campeche by
    late on Sat. This front will be followed by fresh to strong north
    to northeast winds, with near gale winds possibly over the west-
    central and SW Gulf sections. Seas are presently forecast to build
    to 12 ft with these winds Sat and Sat night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Broad upper-level troughing, as seen in water vapor imagery, is
    supporting scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the
    central and eastern Caribbean. A weak pressure pattern across the
    basin is keeping moderate to fresh trades south of about 15N and
    east of 75W as well as in the Gulf of Honduras. Winds are mainly
    light to gentle across the remainder of the basin. Slight seas
    prevail between 68W and 85W, and moderate seas are elsewhere.

    For the forecast, high pressure will build north of the area,
    tightening the pressure gradient. The tighter pressure gradient
    will support moderate to fresh wind speeds over the eastern and
    central Caribbean through Thu, reaching locally strong at times.
    In the Gulf of Honduras, moderate to fresh east winds and moderate
    seas are expected through Fri, then increasing to fresh to strong
    speeds through Sat night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Latest surface analysis depicts a frontal boundary from near
    31N67W to just east of the northern Bahamas. A pre-frontal trough
    extends from 31N64W to 26N78W and to near the coast of the
    Dominican Republic at 20N71W. Fresh northeast to east winds are
    northwest of the front along with seas of 6 to 8 ft. Overnight
    scatterometer satellite indicates moderate to fresh southeast to
    south winds east of the pre-frontal trough north of 27N and east to
    near 55W. Seas with these winds are 5 to 6 ft. Numerous moderate
    convection is noted east of the frontal boundary and trough to near
    58W and north of 27N. Farther east, a weak 1015 mb low is near
    30N31W, with a cold front extending to 25N35W and to 23N45W, where a
    trough continues to 24N50W and northwestward to 26N55W and to
    27N62W. A ridge axis behind the front extends from a 1024 mb high
    that is north of the area at 34N54W southeastward to near 27N40W.
    Gentle to moderate northwest winds are west of the front to near
    38W. Seas with these winds are 5 to 7 ft in northwest swell.

    Otherwise, high pressure is the main feature over the eastern
    part of the basin. The related gradient is generally maintaining
    moderate to fresh trades over most of the basin south of about 20N,
    with gentle to moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Seas across most
    of the Atlantic outside from the frontal boundaries are 5 to 7 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned frontal boundary
    will reach from near 31N58W to 25N63W and weakening to near
    24N71W by early this evening, then move E of 55W on Wed. Moderate
    to fresh northeast winds along with moderate seas NW of the front
    will diminish this morning. A cold front is expected to move
    offshore northeast Florida on Thu, and weaken as it moves across
    the northern portions of the area through Fri afternoon before
    passing E of 55W on Sat.

    $$
    Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 28 Apr 2026 10:50:48 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 281050
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Tue Apr 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1030 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and
    continues south-southwestward to 01N20W and westward to 01S30W
    and to 01S37W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to the coast of
    Brazil near 02S44W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong
    convection is from 02S to 04N between 20W-27W. Scattered moderate
    convection is within 60 nm south of the ITCZ between 30W-34W and
    within 60 nm north of the ITCZ between 34W-28W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A relatively weak pressure gradient prevails across the basin
    while a trough is near the coast of Mexico from near Tampico to
    Veracruz. The pressure gradient between these two features is
    allowing for moderate to fresh east winds west of 87W along with 3
    to 5 ft seas. Gentle to moderate winds are east of 87W along with
    seas of 1 to 3 ft.

    Satellite imagery shows low clouds and patches of fog along
    the coasts of NE Mexico, Texas and southwest Louisiana.
    Visibility may be reduced in these areas.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between weak high
    pressure over the eastern Gulf and a trough that extends along the
    coast of Mexico from Tampico to Veracruz will produce moderate to
    fresh southeast winds and moderate seas over the western half of
    the Gulf, and gentle to moderate winds with slight to moderate
    seas over the eastern part of the basin through Wed morning.
    Elsewhere, a diurnal trough will pulse fresh to strong winds off
    the Yucatan Peninsula this evening, then at mostly fresh speeds
    through Fri night. A weak cold front will brush the northern
    portion of the NE Gulf Thu through early Fri. A rather strong
    spring time cold front should emerge off the Texas coast late Fri
    night, then reach from northern Florida to the Bay of Campeche by
    late on Sat. This front will be followed by fresh to strong north
    to northeast winds, with near gale winds possibly over the west-
    central and SW Gulf sections. Seas are presently forecast to build
    to 12 ft with these winds Sat and Sat night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Broad upper-level troughing, as seen in water vapor imagery, is
    supporting scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the
    central and eastern Caribbean. A weak pressure pattern across the
    basin is keeping moderate to fresh trades south of about 15N and
    east of 75W as well as in the Gulf of Honduras. Winds are mainly
    light to gentle across the remainder of the basin. Slight seas
    prevail between 68W and 85W, and moderate seas are elsewhere.

    For the forecast, high pressure will build north of the area,
    tightening the pressure gradient. The tighter pressure gradient
    will support moderate to fresh wind speeds over the eastern and
    central Caribbean through Thu, reaching locally strong at times.
    In the Gulf of Honduras, moderate to fresh east winds and moderate
    seas are expected through Fri, then increasing to fresh to strong
    speeds through Sat night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Latest surface analysis depicts a frontal boundary from near
    31N67W to just east of the northern Bahamas. A pre-frontal trough
    extends from 31N64W to 26N78W and to near the coast of the
    Dominican Republic at 20N71W. Fresh northeast to east winds are
    northwest of the front along with seas of 6 to 8 ft. Overnight
    scatterometer satellite indicates moderate to fresh southeast to
    south winds east of the pre-frontal trough north of 27N and east to
    near 55W. Seas with these winds are 5 to 6 ft. Numerous moderate
    convection is noted east of the frontal boundary and trough to near
    58W and north of 27N. Farther east, a weak 1015 mb low is near
    30N31W, with a cold front extending to 25N35W and to 23N45W, where a
    trough continues to 24N50W and northwestward to 26N55W and to
    27N62W. A ridge axis behind the front extends from a 1024 mb high
    that is north of the area at 34N54W southeastward to near 27N40W.
    Gentle to moderate northwest winds are west of the front to near
    38W. Seas with these winds are 5 to 7 ft in northwest swell.

    Otherwise, high pressure is the main feature over the eastern
    part of the basin. The related gradient is generally maintaining
    moderate to fresh trades over most of the basin south of about 20N,
    with gentle to moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Seas across most
    of the Atlantic outside from the frontal boundaries are 5 to 7 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned frontal boundary
    will reach from near 31N58W to 25N63W and weakening to near
    24N71W by early this evening, then move E of 55W on Wed. Moderate
    to fresh northeast winds along with moderate seas NW of the front
    will diminish this morning. A cold front is expected to move
    offshore northeast Florida on Thu, and weaken as it moves across
    the northern portions of the area through Fri afternoon before
    passing E of 55W on Sat.

    $$
    Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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