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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 28 Oct 2026 04:41:18 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    724
    AXNT20 KNHC 280441
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Wed Oct 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0400 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Significant Swell N of Bahamas: NE swell from earlier gales in the
    area continue to lead to very rough seas for waters N of 26N and W
    of 71W. Peak seas are near 18 ft offshore east-central Florida.
    Although gales have ended, the pressure gradient between a strong
    ridge over the eastern U.S. and low pressure centered in the
    Bahamas will continue to produce strong NE to E winds into Thu,
    keep seas rough to very rough. Seas of 12 ft or greater are likely
    to persist for waters offshore NE Florida through at least
    tonight. Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous
    marine conditions and take the necessary precautions to avoid
    these affected areas.

    Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at website
    https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 11N15W to 10N20W. The ITCZ
    stretches from 10N20W to 08N55W. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted from 07N to 12N between 28W and 54W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure over the eastern United States extends a ridge
    across the Gulf waters. The pressure gradient between the ridge
    and low pres over the Bahamas is supporting moderate to fresh
    winds E of 90W. Moderate to rough seas are over these waters.
    Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are found west of 90W.


    For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a strong ridge
    over the eastern United States and a complex weather system over
    the Bahamas will continue to support fresh to strong NE to E
    winds and rough seas over the E Gulf into late this week. Winds
    and seas will gradually diminish into the weekend. Elsewhere,
    gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas will prevail through
    the forecast period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough extends from low pres over the Bahamas across
    central Cuba to around 15N80W. Moderate to locally fresh
    northerly winds and moderate seas are found N of 16N and W of the
    trough. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are found over
    the eastern Caribbean east of 70W. Light to gentle winds and
    slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the surface trough extends southward across
    central Cuba and into the Caribbean along 80W from low pressure
    near Andros Island in the Bahamas. The trough will remain nearly
    stationary. Ample tropical moisture and upper-level divergence
    support scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the
    central Caribbean, especially over Hispaniola. The surface trough
    will gradually weaken through the middle of the week. Winds and
    seas will diminish in the W Caribbean Wed. Otherwise, moderate to
    locally fresh trade winds in the E Caribbean will continue over
    the next few days, gradually extending westward this week and into
    the upcoming weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section above for information on
    significant swell causing very rough seas north of the Bahamas.

    Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is noted S of 26N
    between 67W and 72W in association with a deep-layer trough and
    abundant tropical moisture. This activity will continue to provide
    periods of heavy rain to Hispaniola over the next couple of days.

    A stationary front extends from 31N55W to a 1010 mb low pressure
    over the Bahamas near 25N77W. N of this boundary, strong NE to E
    winds and very rough seas prevail, to the south and seas, mainly
    moderate SE winds with moderate to locally rough seas are present.
    To the east, another stationary front extends from 31N34W to
    29N40W. Moderate W winds and moderate seas are noted N and W of
    this front. In NE waters, rough seas are present N of 26N and E of
    40W. Elsewhere, mainly gentle winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a tight pressure gradient between a
    1032 mb high pressure system over New England and a stationary
    front extending from near 31N55W to a 1010 mb low in the NW
    Bahamas supports fresh to near gale-force NE winds and rough to
    very rough seas north of the front and west of the low. Scattered
    showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring north of the
    front and south of the front between 66W and 73W. Strong NE to E
    winds and rough to very rough seas will persist north of 28N and
    west of 65W through Thu as the low pressure moves southwestward
    and the front weakens. Looking ahead, weak low pressure will
    develop southwest of Bermuda by Fri, then lift to the northeast
    and reinforce the frontal boundary over the waters between the
    central Bahamas and Bermuda. Expect fresh to strong NE-E winds and
    seas to 10 ft north of the front through Sun.

    $$
    Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 28 Oct 2026 04:41:18 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    724
    AXNT20 KNHC 280441
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Wed Oct 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0400 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Significant Swell N of Bahamas: NE swell from earlier gales in the
    area continue to lead to very rough seas for waters N of 26N and W
    of 71W. Peak seas are near 18 ft offshore east-central Florida.
    Although gales have ended, the pressure gradient between a strong
    ridge over the eastern U.S. and low pressure centered in the
    Bahamas will continue to produce strong NE to E winds into Thu,
    keep seas rough to very rough. Seas of 12 ft or greater are likely
    to persist for waters offshore NE Florida through at least
    tonight. Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous
    marine conditions and take the necessary precautions to avoid
    these affected areas.

    Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at website
    https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 11N15W to 10N20W. The ITCZ
    stretches from 10N20W to 08N55W. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted from 07N to 12N between 28W and 54W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure over the eastern United States extends a ridge
    across the Gulf waters. The pressure gradient between the ridge
    and low pres over the Bahamas is supporting moderate to fresh
    winds E of 90W. Moderate to rough seas are over these waters.
    Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are found west of 90W.


    For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a strong ridge
    over the eastern United States and a complex weather system over
    the Bahamas will continue to support fresh to strong NE to E
    winds and rough seas over the E Gulf into late this week. Winds
    and seas will gradually diminish into the weekend. Elsewhere,
    gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas will prevail through
    the forecast period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough extends from low pres over the Bahamas across
    central Cuba to around 15N80W. Moderate to locally fresh
    northerly winds and moderate seas are found N of 16N and W of the
    trough. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are found over
    the eastern Caribbean east of 70W. Light to gentle winds and
    slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the surface trough extends southward across
    central Cuba and into the Caribbean along 80W from low pressure
    near Andros Island in the Bahamas. The trough will remain nearly
    stationary. Ample tropical moisture and upper-level divergence
    support scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the
    central Caribbean, especially over Hispaniola. The surface trough
    will gradually weaken through the middle of the week. Winds and
    seas will diminish in the W Caribbean Wed. Otherwise, moderate to
    locally fresh trade winds in the E Caribbean will continue over
    the next few days, gradually extending westward this week and into
    the upcoming weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section above for information on
    significant swell causing very rough seas north of the Bahamas.

    Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is noted S of 26N
    between 67W and 72W in association with a deep-layer trough and
    abundant tropical moisture. This activity will continue to provide
    periods of heavy rain to Hispaniola over the next couple of days.

    A stationary front extends from 31N55W to a 1010 mb low pressure
    over the Bahamas near 25N77W. N of this boundary, strong NE to E
    winds and very rough seas prevail, to the south and seas, mainly
    moderate SE winds with moderate to locally rough seas are present.
    To the east, another stationary front extends from 31N34W to
    29N40W. Moderate W winds and moderate seas are noted N and W of
    this front. In NE waters, rough seas are present N of 26N and E of
    40W. Elsewhere, mainly gentle winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a tight pressure gradient between a
    1032 mb high pressure system over New England and a stationary
    front extending from near 31N55W to a 1010 mb low in the NW
    Bahamas supports fresh to near gale-force NE winds and rough to
    very rough seas north of the front and west of the low. Scattered
    showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring north of the
    front and south of the front between 66W and 73W. Strong NE to E
    winds and rough to very rough seas will persist north of 28N and
    west of 65W through Thu as the low pressure moves southwestward
    and the front weakens. Looking ahead, weak low pressure will
    develop southwest of Bermuda by Fri, then lift to the northeast
    and reinforce the frontal boundary over the waters between the
    central Bahamas and Bermuda. Expect fresh to strong NE-E winds and
    seas to 10 ft north of the front through Sun.

    $$
    Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
  • Thu, 29 Oct 2026 17:02:00 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 08:14:17 GMT
  • Wed, 28 Oct 2026 05:02:00 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 280501
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 27 Oct 2026 18:15:53 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 271815
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1025 AM EDT TUE 27 OCTOBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-149

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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