Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

5 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

• Fri, 30 Nov 2018 23:36:53 +0000: Atlantic - Atlantic
  
  000
  ABNT20 KNHC 302336
  TWOAT
  
  Tropical Weather Outlook
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  700 PM EST Fri Nov 30 2018
  
  For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
  
  Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
  
  This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
  the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season. Routine issuance of the
  Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2019. During the
  off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
  conditions warrant.
  
  $$
  Forecaster Beven
  
  

• Mon, 17 Dec 2018 11:18:52 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
  
  000
  AXNT20 KNHC 171118
  TWDAT
  
  Tropical Weather Discussion
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  618 AM EST Mon Dec 17 2018
  
  Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
  Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
  America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
  Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
  imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
  
  Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
  1115 UTC.
  
  ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
  
  The monsoon trough passes from Liberia near 06N10W, to 03N14W.
  The ITCZ continues from 03N14W to 02N30W to 03N38W. A surface
  trough is along 40W from 10N southward. The ITCZ resumes from
  03N42W to the coast of N Brazil near 00N50W. Widely scattered
  moderate convection is from 06S-04N between 25W-36W, from 01S-09N
  between 36W-42W, and from 00N-04N between 42W-50W.
  
  GULF OF MEXICO...
  
  A 1025 mb high is centered over S Texas near 29N97W. Surface
  ridging prevails across the Gulf of Mexico in the wake of the
  frontal boundary that currently extends across the western
  Caribbean. Scatterometer data depicts gentle to moderate winds
  across the basin. Scattered to broken low clouds is over most of
  the Gulf.
  
  A ridge will persist across the Gulf of Mexico
  through Tue night as a high pressure center moves from eastern
  Texas towards North Carolina. A low pressure system will move NE
  from the coast of Texas Wed to the SE United States Thu,
  dragging a cold front across the Gulf waters. Marine conditions
  are expected to deteriorate across the region on Thu afternoon
  as the low pressure deepens over the SE of United States. Strong
  to minimal gale force winds are expected across the northern
  waters Thu night and Fri.
  
  CARIBBEAN SEA...
  
  A 1015 mb low is centered off the coast of Honduras near 16N85W. A
  stationary front also extends N from the low to 21N82W to Cuba
  near 22N77W. Scattered showers are within 90 nm of the fronts.
  Scatterometer data depicts fresh to strong winds across the Gulf
  of Honduras and over the south central Caribbean south of 16N
  between 70W-77W. Gentle to moderate trades prevail elsewhere.
  
  Fresh to locally strong northerly winds W of the front
  are forecast to persist today. The front will dissipate by tonight,
  and its remnants will then move westward as a trough across the
  NW Caribbean on Tue. The trough will reach the Yucatan Peninsula
  by Tue night. Fresh to strong winds will prevail across the
  south-central Caribbean through the forecast period, with the
  strongest winds near the coast of Colombia reaching near gale
  force mainly at night. The next cold front is forecast to enter
  the NW Caribbean by late Thu.
  
  ATLANTIC OCEAN...
  
  A cold front extends across the W Atlantic from 31N66W to the S
  Bahamas near 23N75W to Cuba near 22N77W. Scattered moderate
  convection is N of 27N between 60W-67W. Surface ridging prevails
  across the basin anchored by a 1024 mb high centered near 26N51W.
  
  The front will push E and extend from 28N65W across the SE
  Bahamas to Camaguey, Cuba by Mon evening, and from 25N65W to
  eastern Cuba by Tue evening. The western portion of the front is
  forecast to lift northward Wed through Thu as another cold front
  moves across the Gulf of Mexico. Expect strong to gale force winds
  and building seas mainly across the waters N of the Bahamas late
  Thu through Fri night as a low pressure system deepens over the SE
  of United States dragging a cold front over the region.
  
  For additional information please visit
  http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine
  
  $$
  Formosa
  

• Sun, 02 Dec 2018 11:36:53 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
  The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.

• Sun, 16 Dec 2018 17:42:42 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
  

   
   000
   NOUS42 KNHC 161742
   REPRPD
   WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
   CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
   1230 PM EST SUN 16 DECEMBER 2018
   SUBJECT: WINTER STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
            VALID 17/1100Z TO 18/1100Z DECEMBER 2018
            WSPOD NUMBER.....18-016
   
   I.  ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
       1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
       2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
   
   $$
   SEF
   
   NNNN
   

• Mon, 17 Dec 2018 07:48:18 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
  
  000
  AGXX40 KNHC 170748
  MIMATS
  
  Marine Weather Discussion
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  204 AM EST Mon Dec 17 2018
  
  Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
  and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
  and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
  
  ...GULF OF MEXICO...
  
  A ridge will persist across the Gulf of Mexico through Tue night
  as a high pressure center moves from eastern Texas towards North
  Carolina. A low pressure system will move NE from the coast of
  Texas Wed to the SE of United States Thu, dragging a cold front
  across the Gulf waters. Marine conditions are expected to
  deteriorate across the region on Thu afternoon as the low
  pressure deepens over the SE of United States. Strong to minimal
  gale force winds are expected across the northern waters Thu
  night and Fri. As a result, the forecast calls for gale
  conditions possible across much of the forecast waters N of 22N
  Thu night and Fri. Seas are expected to build in the 16-20 ft
  range across the eastern half of the Gulf by Fri.
  
  ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
  55W AND 64W...
  
  A stationary front is over the NW Caribbean extending from
  central Cuba to a weak 1015 mb low pressure centered near 17N85W.
  Fresh to locally strong N winds with seas to 8 ft are noted W of
  the front over the Gulf of Honduras. These marine conditions
  will persist today. The front will dissipate by tonight, and its
  remnants will then move westward as a trough across the NW
  Caribbean on Tue. The trough will then reach the Yucatan Peninsula
  by Tue night. Fresh to strong winds will persist across the
  south-central Caribbean through the forecast period, with the
  strongest winds near the coast of Colombia, reaching near gale
  force mainly at night. The next cold front is forecast to enter
  the NW Caribbean by late Thu followed by fresh to locally strong
  NW winds, and building seas of up to 8 or 9 ft.
  
  ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
  
  A cold front extends from 31N68W across the central Bahamas to
  north-central Cuba near 22N78W. The front will push E and extend
  from 28N65W across the SE Bahamas to Camaguey, Cuba by Mon
  evening, and from 25N65W to eastern Cuba by Tue evening. The
  western portion of the front is forecast to lift northward Wed
  through Thu as another cold front moves across the Gulf of
  Mexico. Expect strong to gale force winds and building seas
  mainly across the waters N of the Bahamas late Thu through Fri
  night as a low pressure system deepens over the SE of United
  States dragging a cold front over the region.
  
  $$
  
  .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
  coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
  telephone:
  
  .GULF OF MEXICO...
  .GMZ011...NW GULF INCLUDING STETSON BANK...
  GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE Thu night.
  .GMZ013...N CENTRAL GULF INCLUDING FLOWER GARDEN BANKS MARINE
  SANCTUARY...
  GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE Thu night into Fri.
  .GMZ015...NE GULF N OF 25N E OF 87W...
  GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE Thu night into Fri.
  .GMZ019...CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 87W AND 94W...
  GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE Thu night into Fri.
  .GMZ021...E GULF FROM 22N TO 25N E OF 87W INCLUDING STRAITS OF
  FLORIDA...
  GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE Fri.
  
  .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
  55W AND 64W...
  None.
  
  .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
  .AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W...
  GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE Thu into Fri night.
  .AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W...
  GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE Thu into Fri night.
  .AMZ117...BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAY SAL BANK...
  GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE Fri.
  
  $$
  
  *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
  
  Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
  Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
  
  For additional information, please visit:
  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
  
  $$
  
  .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
  

• Sat, 01 Dec 2018 05:13:27 +0000: Atlantic - Atlantic
  
  000
  ABNT30 KNHC 010513
  TWSAT
  
  Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  800 AM EDT Sat Dec 1 2018
  
  For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
  
  No tropical cyclones occurred in the basin during November, which is
  not uncommon since a November tropical storm occurs about once every
  other year.
  
  Overall, the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season featured above normal
  activity. Fifteen named storms formed, of which eight became
  hurricanes and two became major hurricanes - category 3 or higher on
  the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. This compares to the
  long-term average of 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 3 major
  hurricanes. There was also one tropical depression that did not
  reach tropical-storm strength. In terms of Accumulated Cyclone
  Energy (ACE), which measures the combined strength and duration of
  tropical storms and hurricanes, activity in the Atlantic basin in
  2018 was also above normal. In addition, 7 systems were
  subtropical at some point in their lifetime this season, which
  eclipses the previous record of 5 in 1969.
  
  Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at
  the National Hurricane Center website at
  www.hurricanes.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2018&basin=atl .
  
  Summary Table
  
  Name Dates Max Wind (mph)
  ---------------------------------------------------
  TS Alberto 25-31 May 65*
  H Beryl 4-15 Jul 80*
  H Chris 6-12 Jul 105
  TS Debby 7- 9 Aug 50
  TS Ernesto 15-18 Aug 45
  MH Florence 31 Aug-17 Sep 140
  TS Gordon 3- 7 Sep 70
  H Helene 7-16 Sep 110
  H Isaac 7-15 Sep 75
  TS Joyce 12-18 Sep 45
  TD Eleven 22-23 Sep 35
  TS Kirk 22-28 Sep 60
  H Leslie 23 Sep-13 Oct 90
  MH Michael 7-12 Oct 155
  TS Nadine 9-12 Oct 65
  H Oscar 27-31 Oct 105
  ---------------------------------------------------
  
  * Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.
  
  $$
  Hurricane Specialist Unit