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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 07 Aug 2026 16:24:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 071624
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Aug 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1600 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to
strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW basin
through next week. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speeds
tonight and Saturday night. Rough seas will prevail there,
building to very rough at times coinciding with the periods of
gale-force winds.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is moving across the Cape Verde Islands. Its axis
is along 24W, extending from 06N to 19N, and moving west at 5 to 10
kt. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from
08N to 12N e of 18W to the coast of W Africa. Similar convective
activity is from 09N to 14N between 24W and 30W. Scattered moderate
convection is along the wave axis.
A tropical wave is near 41W, and extends from 05N to 19N, moving
west at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is associated with
this wave at this time.
A tropical wave is E of the Lesser Antilles with axis near 56W,
extending from 05N to 20N, and moving west at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is ahead of the wave axis from 08N to 10N
between 56W and 60W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W and continues
westward to near 11N40W. The ITCZ extends continues from 10N43W
to NE Venezuela near 09N61W. Aside from the convection associated
with the tropical waves, limited convective activity is noted
elsewhere.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure of 1026 mb located NW of Bermuda near 33N68W extends
a ridge westward across Florida into the Gulf region. Under this
weather pattern, a gentle to locally moderate wind flow prevail.
Slight to moderate seas are noted, with the highest seas in the
central Bay of Campeche. Showers and thunderstorms continue to
flare-up over parts of Florida, the Straits of Florida and the E
Gulf, mainly E of 87W. Similar convective activity is noted in the
Veracruz area. Scattered showers, with embedded thunderstorms,
are observed elsewhere. An upper-level low, currently located over
the western Gulf, is helping to induce convection over most of the
basin.
For the forecast, surface ridging from the Bermuda High will dominate
across most of the Gulf through late Tue, supporting gentle to moderate
E to SE winds north of 24N along with slight seas. Pulses of fresh
winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into
the Bay of Campeche each night as a surface trough migrates from
the Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1026 mb high pressure located NW
of Bermuda near 33N68W and the Colombian low continues to support
fresh to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean, including
the Gulf of Venezuela, along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate
to locally fresh trades are over the E Caribbean while gentle to
locally moderate E winds are observed elsewhere. Seas are generally
moderate with these latter winds. An upper-level low spinning just
south of Haiti and Jamaica is supporting scattered showers and
tstms between Cuba and Jamaica as well as over the Cayman Islands
and surrounding waters. Showers and thunderstorms are also noted
in the SW Caribbean offshore western Panama and Costa Rica. Trade
wind showers dominate the remainder of the basin.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
and relatively lower pressure in northern South America will
continue to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central
and portions of the SW basin through next week. Over the weekend,
the ridge N of the region will shift southward, acting to increase
the pressure gradient and accelerating the winds offshore Colombia
and in the Gulf of Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to
gale-force speeds tonight and Saturday night. Rough seas will
prevail there, building to very rough at times coinciding with the
periods of gale-force winds. Fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf
of Honduras and Windward Passage through the forecast period,
except over the weekend when winds may pulse to strong speed.
Otherwise, mainly moderate to fresh easterlies will prevail
elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough is analyzed over the western Atlantic, and runs
from 29N78W to the coast of central Cuba near 23N80W. Numerous
showers and thunderstorms are associated with this trough covering
the waters N of 23N and W of 70W. Moderate to fresh winds and
moderate to rough seas are on either side of the trough axis. This
feature will shift westward across Florida today, ushering in
deep tropical moisture. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast
waters is under the influence of high pressure, with the main
center of 1026 mb situated NW of Bermuda. The pressure gradient
between the Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over NW
Africa supports moderate to fresh winds N of 27N E of 20W,
including the Canary Islands, with seas in the 6 to 8 ft range.
Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas prevail,
with locally fresh trades E of the Lesser Antilles.
For the forecast west of 55W, a westward moving surface trough
over the northern Bahamas offshores will support showers and
thunderstorm activity across the Florida seaboard and offshores
through this morning before shifting west of the area tonight into
early Sat. Aside from the shower activity, the surface trough will
bring fresh winds and moderate seas across the Bahamas offshores
through this afternoon. Seas may be locally rough in areas of
stronger convection. Fresh E winds will prevail N of Hispaniola
and in the approaches of the Windward Passage through the period,
pulsing to strong speeds each evening as the Bermuda High shifts
southward.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 07 Aug 2026 16:24:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 071624
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Aug 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1600 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to
strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW basin
through next week. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speeds
tonight and Saturday night. Rough seas will prevail there,
building to very rough at times coinciding with the periods of
gale-force winds.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is moving across the Cape Verde Islands. Its axis
is along 24W, extending from 06N to 19N, and moving west at 5 to 10
kt. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from
08N to 12N e of 18W to the coast of W Africa. Similar convective
activity is from 09N to 14N between 24W and 30W. Scattered moderate
convection is along the wave axis.
A tropical wave is near 41W, and extends from 05N to 19N, moving
west at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is associated with
this wave at this time.
A tropical wave is E of the Lesser Antilles with axis near 56W,
extending from 05N to 20N, and moving west at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is ahead of the wave axis from 08N to 10N
between 56W and 60W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W and continues
westward to near 11N40W. The ITCZ extends continues from 10N43W
to NE Venezuela near 09N61W. Aside from the convection associated
with the tropical waves, limited convective activity is noted
elsewhere.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure of 1026 mb located NW of Bermuda near 33N68W extends
a ridge westward across Florida into the Gulf region. Under this
weather pattern, a gentle to locally moderate wind flow prevail.
Slight to moderate seas are noted, with the highest seas in the
central Bay of Campeche. Showers and thunderstorms continue to
flare-up over parts of Florida, the Straits of Florida and the E
Gulf, mainly E of 87W. Similar convective activity is noted in the
Veracruz area. Scattered showers, with embedded thunderstorms,
are observed elsewhere. An upper-level low, currently located over
the western Gulf, is helping to induce convection over most of the
basin.
For the forecast, surface ridging from the Bermuda High will dominate
across most of the Gulf through late Tue, supporting gentle to moderate
E to SE winds north of 24N along with slight seas. Pulses of fresh
winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into
the Bay of Campeche each night as a surface trough migrates from
the Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1026 mb high pressure located NW
of Bermuda near 33N68W and the Colombian low continues to support
fresh to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean, including
the Gulf of Venezuela, along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate
to locally fresh trades are over the E Caribbean while gentle to
locally moderate E winds are observed elsewhere. Seas are generally
moderate with these latter winds. An upper-level low spinning just
south of Haiti and Jamaica is supporting scattered showers and
tstms between Cuba and Jamaica as well as over the Cayman Islands
and surrounding waters. Showers and thunderstorms are also noted
in the SW Caribbean offshore western Panama and Costa Rica. Trade
wind showers dominate the remainder of the basin.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
and relatively lower pressure in northern South America will
continue to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central
and portions of the SW basin through next week. Over the weekend,
the ridge N of the region will shift southward, acting to increase
the pressure gradient and accelerating the winds offshore Colombia
and in the Gulf of Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to
gale-force speeds tonight and Saturday night. Rough seas will
prevail there, building to very rough at times coinciding with the
periods of gale-force winds. Fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf
of Honduras and Windward Passage through the forecast period,
except over the weekend when winds may pulse to strong speed.
Otherwise, mainly moderate to fresh easterlies will prevail
elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough is analyzed over the western Atlantic, and runs
from 29N78W to the coast of central Cuba near 23N80W. Numerous
showers and thunderstorms are associated with this trough covering
the waters N of 23N and W of 70W. Moderate to fresh winds and
moderate to rough seas are on either side of the trough axis. This
feature will shift westward across Florida today, ushering in
deep tropical moisture. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast
waters is under the influence of high pressure, with the main
center of 1026 mb situated NW of Bermuda. The pressure gradient
between the Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over NW
Africa supports moderate to fresh winds N of 27N E of 20W,
including the Canary Islands, with seas in the 6 to 8 ft range.
Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas prevail,
with locally fresh trades E of the Lesser Antilles.
For the forecast west of 55W, a westward moving surface trough
over the northern Bahamas offshores will support showers and
thunderstorm activity across the Florida seaboard and offshores
through this morning before shifting west of the area tonight into
early Sat. Aside from the shower activity, the surface trough will
bring fresh winds and moderate seas across the Bahamas offshores
through this afternoon. Seas may be locally rough in areas of
stronger convection. Fresh E winds will prevail N of Hispaniola
and in the approaches of the Windward Passage through the period,
pulsing to strong speeds each evening as the Bermuda High shifts
southward.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 09 Aug 2026 05:21:45 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 07 Aug 2026 19:58:11 GMT - Fri, 07 Aug 2026 17:21:45 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
207
ABNT20 KNHC 071721
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Aug 7 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 07 Aug 2026 13:45:55 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
338
NOUS42 KNHC 071345
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT FRI 07 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-068
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf