Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

5 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

• Fri, 30 Nov 2018 23:36:53 +0000: Atlantic - Atlantic
  
  000
  ABNT20 KNHC 302336
  TWOAT
  
  Tropical Weather Outlook
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  700 PM EST Fri Nov 30 2018
  
  For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
  
  Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
  
  This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
  the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season. Routine issuance of the
  Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2019. During the
  off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
  conditions warrant.
  
  $$
  Forecaster Beven
  
  

• Sat, 19 Jan 2019 11:39:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
  
  000
  AXNT20 KNHC 191138
  TWDAT
  
  Tropical Weather Discussion
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  638 AM EST Sat Jan 19 2019
  
  Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
  Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
  America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
  Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
  imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
  
  Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
  1115 UTC.
  
  ...SPECIAL FEATURES...
  
  ...GALE WARNING IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
  
  High pressure north of the Caribbean will continue to induce
  strong trade winds over the south-central Caribbean Sea near the
  coast of Colombia. Gale force winds are to end on 19/1200 UTC and
  forecast to start again tonight on 20/0300 UTC and then end again
  on 20/1200 UTC.
  
  ...GALE WARNING IN THE GULF OF MEXICO...
  
  A strong cold front is expected to move over the northwestern Gulf
  of Mexico today, and should move quickly southeastward. The front
  is expected to clear the entire Gulf of Mexico by Sunday morning.
  Strong northerly winds, which are forecast to reach gale force,
  are expected behind the front this afternoon through Saturday
  night over the western Gulf of Mexico.
  
  ...GALE WARNING IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...
  
  Southerly winds are expected to increase over portions of the
  western Atlantic Saturday afternoon ahead of the cold front that
  will be moving over the Gulf of Mexico. Southerly and
  southwesterly winds are forecast to reach gale force east of
  northern Florida and Georgia prior to and along with the cold
  front by early Sunday morning. These gales will migrate eastward
  into Sunday night.
  
  For additional information on all of these warning areas, please
  read the High Seas Forecast product under the AWIPS/WMO headers
  HSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC.
  
  ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
  
  The monsoon trough emerges from the coast of Sierra Leone near
  07N12W and extends to 04N16W. The ITCZ continues from that point
  to 01S30W to the coast of Brazil near 03S41W. Isolated moderate
  convection is from 05S-03N between 17W-43W.
  
  GULF OF MEXICO...
  
  A 1021 mb high is centered over the W Atlantic near 30N73W. 10-20
  kt southerly return flow is over the Gulf with strongest winds
  over the NW Gulf. A cold front is over S Texas moving towards the
  Gulf. Broken low clouds are presently over the N Gulf N of 27N.
  Sea fog is likely this morning over the N Gulf in advance of the
  cold front.
  
  A line of showers and thunderstorms will likely precede the cold
  front as it crosses the Gulf. Winds to gale force are expected
  behind the front near Tampico this afternoon and near Veracruz
  tonight. The front will extend from 30N85W to 25N88W to 19N92W
  tonight, then exit from the Gulf Sun morning. This will allow
  strong winds to taper off across the basin by sunrise on Monday.
  High pressure ridging over the Gulf from the N will shift E and
  allow strong SE to S return flow to develop over the western Gulf
  by Tuesday morning. The strong return flow will expand to the
  eastern Gulf Tue night. Another strong cold front could enter the
  NW Gulf Wed.
  
  CARIBBEAN SEA...
  
  Quiet weather prevails across the Caribbean Sea. Only typical
  patches of low clouds and some embedded isolated showers exist
  across Hispaniola, eastern Cuba, Jamaica and the waters near the
  Cayman Islands. The trade winds are strongest near the coast of
  Colombia.
  
  Fresh to strong trade winds will continue in the S central
  Caribbean Sea through Wednesday night. The winds will increase to
  gale force along the immediate coast of Colombia tonight and
  Saturday night, and then again each night Mon, Tue, and Wed.
  Moderate to locally fresh trade winds will prevail elsewhere. A
  strong cold front will enter the NW Caribbean Sun morning, push SE
  and extend from Haiti to NE Nicaragua Mon night, then stall and
  weaken on Tue. Fresh to strong NW to N winds and seas to 8 ft are
  expected W of the front.
  
  ATLANTIC OCEAN...
  
  A 1021 mb high is centered over the W Atlantic near 30N73W. A
  surface trough is E of the Bahamas from 28N72W to 23N72W.
  Scattered showers are within 60 nm of the trough. A 1021 mb high
  is centered near 28N66W. A 1016 mb low is further E near 27N59W.
  Scattered showers are within 90 nm of the low. Another 1016 mb low
  is centered near 25N52W. A surface trough extends NE from the low
  to 30N47W. Scattered showers are within 90 nm of the trough. A
  1032 mb high is centered over the E Atlantic near 34N28W. Of note
  in the upper levels, an upper level trough is over the central
  Atlantic N of 20N between 45W-65W supporting the two surface lows.
  
  Over the W Atlantic, weak high pressure will drift eastward from
  near 30N73W toward Bermuda today. Winds will veer to the S, and
  then strengthen this afternoon through Sunday morning E of Florida
  ahead of a strong cold front. The cold front will push off the
  Florida coast Sunday morning, then reach from 31N68W to central
  Cuba Sunday night, from 26N65W to northern Haiti Monday afternoon,
  then become stationary from 22N65W to the NW Dominican Republic
  Tuesday night. Minimal gale force winds will be possible on either
  side of the front N of 28N and W of 60W Sun through Mon. Seas
  could build to 20 feet in NW swell behind the front near 31N65W on
  Tuesday. Strong winds will develop between the front and 25N on
  Tue as strong high pressure builds to the N of the front. Winds
  will subside Tue night and Wed as the front weakens and high
  pressure to the N shifts E.
  
  For additional information please visit
  http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine
  
  $$
  Formosa
  

• Sun, 02 Dec 2018 11:36:53 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
  The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.

• Fri, 18 Jan 2019 16:00:45 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
  

   
   000
   NOUS42 KNHC 181600
   REPRPD
   WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
   CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
   1100 AM EST FRI 18 JANUARY 2019
   SUBJECT: WINTER STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
            VALID 19/1100Z TO 20/1100Z JANUARY 2019
            WSPOD NUMBER.....18-049
   
   I.  ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
       1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
       2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
   
   $$
   WJM
   
   NNNN
   

• Sat, 19 Jan 2019 07:33:03 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
  
  000
  AGXX40 KNHC 190732
  MIMATS
  
  Marine Weather Discussion
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  232 AM EST Sat Jan 19 2019
  
  Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
  and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
  and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
  
  ...GULF OF MEXICO...
  
  Fresh to strong SW to S return flow has developed over the
  western Gulf of Mexico ahead a strong cold front due to reach the
  NW Gulf of Mexico around dawn this morning. A line of showers
  and thunderstorms is developing over Texas and will likely
  precede the front as it crosses the Gulf. Winds to gale force are
  expected behind the front along the coast of Mexico near Tampico
  this afternoon, then shifting to near Veracruz tonight. The
  front will extend from 30N85W to 25N88W to 19N92W tonight. The
  front will exit from the Gulf of Mexico Sunday afternoon, and
  allow strong winds to taper off across the basin by sunrise on
  Monday. A high pressure ridge to the N of the Gulf will shift E
  and allow strong SE to S return flow to develop over the western
  Gulf by Tuesday morning. The strong return flow will expand to
  the eastern Gulf Tue night.
  
  ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
  55W AND 64W...
  
  Fresh to strong trade winds will continue over the S central
  Caribbean through Wednesday night. The winds will increase to
  gale force along the immediate coast of Colombia tonight and on
  Saturday night, and then again each night Mon, Tue, and Wed.
  Winds over the basin will generally be stronger next week as high
  pres builds over the western Atlantic. Moderate to locally fresh
  trade winds will prevail elsewhere. A strong cold front will
  enter the NW Caribbean Sea on Sunday and Monday, then stall and
  weaken. The front will reach from the Yucatan Channel to the Gulf
  of Honduras Sunday morning, then extend from SE Cuba to the
  eastern coast of Honduras Monday morning. Fresh to strong NW to N
  winds and seas to 8 ft are expected behind the front.
  
  ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
  
  Weak high pressure will drift E from the SE United States toward
  Bermuda today. Winds will veer to the S, and then strengthen
  this afternoon through Sunday morning E of Florida ahead of a
  strong cold front. The cold front will push off the Florida coast
  Sunday morning, then reach from 31N68W to central Cuba Sunday
  night, from 26N65W to northern Haiti Monday afternoon, then
  become stationary from 22N65W to the NW Dominican Republic
  Tuesday night. Minimal gale force winds will be possible on
  either side of the front N of 28N and W of 60W from Sunday
  through Monday. Seas may build as high as 20 feet in NW swell
  behind the front near 31N65W on Tuesday. Strong winds will
  develop between the front and 25N on Tue as strong high pressure
  builds to the N of the front. Winds will subside Tue night and
  Wed as the front weakens and high pressure to the N shifts E.
  
  $$
  
  .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
  coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
  telephone:
  
  .GULF OF MEXICO...
  .GMZ017...W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W...
  Gale Warning today.
  GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE Wed into Wed night.
  .GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W...
  Gale Warning today into tonight.
  
  .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
  55W AND 64W...
  .AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W
  INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
  Gale Warning early today.
  Gale Warning tonight.
  GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE Mon night.
  GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE Tue night into Wed.
  
  .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
  .AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W...
  Gale Warning tonight into Sun.
  .AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W...
  Gale Warning Sun into Sun night.
  .AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W...
  Gale Warning Sun night.
  
  $$
  
  *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
  
  Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
  Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
  
  For additional information, please visit:
  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
  
  $$
  
  .Forecaster McElroy. National Hurricane Center.
  

• Sat, 01 Dec 2018 05:13:27 +0000: Atlantic - Atlantic
  
  000
  ABNT30 KNHC 010513
  TWSAT
  
  Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  800 AM EDT Sat Dec 1 2018
  
  For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
  
  No tropical cyclones occurred in the basin during November, which is
  not uncommon since a November tropical storm occurs about once every
  other year.
  
  Overall, the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season featured above normal
  activity. Fifteen named storms formed, of which eight became
  hurricanes and two became major hurricanes - category 3 or higher on
  the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. This compares to the
  long-term average of 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 3 major
  hurricanes. There was also one tropical depression that did not
  reach tropical-storm strength. In terms of Accumulated Cyclone
  Energy (ACE), which measures the combined strength and duration of
  tropical storms and hurricanes, activity in the Atlantic basin in
  2018 was also above normal. In addition, 7 systems were
  subtropical at some point in their lifetime this season, which
  eclipses the previous record of 5 in 1969.
  
  Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at
  the National Hurricane Center website at
  www.hurricanes.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2018&basin=atl .
  
  Summary Table
  
  Name Dates Max Wind (mph)
  ---------------------------------------------------
  TS Alberto 25-31 May 65*
  H Beryl 4-15 Jul 80*
  H Chris 6-12 Jul 105
  TS Debby 7- 9 Aug 50
  TS Ernesto 15-18 Aug 45
  MH Florence 31 Aug-17 Sep 140
  TS Gordon 3- 7 Sep 70
  H Helene 7-16 Sep 110
  H Isaac 7-15 Sep 75
  TS Joyce 12-18 Sep 45
  TD Eleven 22-23 Sep 35
  TS Kirk 22-28 Sep 60
  H Leslie 23 Sep-13 Oct 90
  MH Michael 7-12 Oct 155
  TS Nadine 9-12 Oct 65
  H Oscar 27-31 Oct 105
  ---------------------------------------------------
  
  * Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.
  
  $$
  Hurricane Specialist Unit