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Track The Tropics has been the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7 since 2013! The main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2021 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season had a record breaking 30 named storms this season, 13 developed into hurricanes, and six further intensified into major hurricanes!

2020 Season Storms...
Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine ,Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred, Alpha , Beta , Gamma , Delta , Epsilon , Zeta , Eta and Iota!!!! WHAT A SEASON #2020!!!!
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale
Category Wind Speed Storm Surge
  mph ft
5 ≥157 >18
4 130–156 13–18
3 111–129 9–12
2 96–110 6–8
1 74–95 4–5
Additional Classifications
Tropical Storm 39–73 0–3
Tropical Depression 0–38 0
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a classification used for most Western Hemisphere tropical cyclones that exceed the intensities of "tropical depressions" and "tropical storms", and thereby become hurricanes. Source: Intellicast

Hurricane Season 101

The official Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season runs from June 1st to November 30th. A tropical cyclone is a warm-core, low pressure system without any “front” attached. It develops over tropical or subtropical waters, and has an organized circulation. Depending upon location, tropical cyclones have different names around the world. The Tropical Cyclones we track in the Atlantic basin are called Tropical Depressions, Tropical Storms and Hurricanes! Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones are classified as follows: Tropical Depression: Organized system of clouds and thunderstorms with defined surface circulation and max sustained winds of 38 mph or less. Tropical Storm: Organized system of strong thunderstorms with a defined surface circulation and maximum sustained winds of 39-73 mph. Hurricane: Intense tropical weather system of strong thunderstorms with a well-defined surface circulation. A Hurricane has max sustained winds of 74 mph or higher!

The difference between Tropical Storm and Hurricane Watches, Warnings, Advisories and Outlooks

Warnings:Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials.Evacuate immediately if told to do so.
  • Storm Surge Warning: There is a danger of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area. This is generally within 36 hours. If you are under a storm surge warning, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Warning: Hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are expected somewhere within the specified area. NHC issues a hurricane warning 36 hours in advance of tropical storm-force winds to give you time to complete your preparations. All preparations should be complete. Evacuate immediately if so ordered.
  • Tropical Storm Warning: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are expected within your area within 36 hours.
  • Extreme Wind Warning: Extreme sustained winds of a major hurricane (115 mph or greater), usually associated with the eyewall, are expected to begin within an hour. Take immediate shelter in the interior portion of a well-built structure.
Please note that hurricane and tropical storm watches and warnings for winds on land as well as storm surge watches and warnings can be issued for storms that the NWS believes will become tropical cyclones but have not yet attained all of the characteristics of a tropical cyclone (i.e., a closed low-level circulation, sustained thunderstorm activity, etc.). In these cases, the forecast conditions on land warrant alerting the public. These storms are referred to as “potential tropical cyclones” by the NWS. Hurricane, tropical storm, and storm surge watches and warnings can also be issued for storms that have lost some or all of their tropical cyclone characteristics, but continue to produce dangerous conditions. These storms are called “post-tropical cyclones” by the NWS. Watches: Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials. Evacuate if told to do so.
  • Storm Surge Watch: Storm here is a possibility of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area, generally within 48 hours. If you are under a storm surge watch, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Watch: Huriricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are possible within your area. Because it may not be safe to prepare for a hurricane once winds reach tropical storm force, The NHC issues hurricane watches 48 hours before it anticipates tropical storm-force winds.
  • Tropical Storm Watch: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are possible within the specified area within 48 hours.
Advisories:
  • Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory:The Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory contains a list of all current coastal watches and warnings associated with an ongoing or potential tropical cyclone, a post-tropical cyclone, or a subtropical cyclone. It also provides the cyclone position, maximum sustained winds, current motion, and a description of the hazards associated with the storm.
  • Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Cone:This graphic shows areas under tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings, the current position of the center of the storm, and its predicted track. Forecast uncertainty is conveyed on the graphic by a “cone” (white and stippled areas) drawn such that the center of the storm will remain within the cone about 60 to 70 percent of the time. Remember, the effects of a tropical cyclone can span hundreds of miles. Areas well outside of the cone often experience hazards such as tornadoes or inland flooding from heavy rain.
Outlooks:
  • Tropical Weather Outlook:The Tropical Weather Outlook is a discussion of significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for development during the next 5 days. The Outlook includes a categorical forecast of the probability of tropical cyclone formation during the first 48 hours and during the entire 5-day forecast period. You can also find graphical versions of the 2-day and 5-day Outlook here
Be sure to read up on tons of more information on Hurricane knowledge, preparedness, statistics and history under the menu on the left hand side of the page! Here are your 2020 Hurricane Season Names: Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine ,Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky and Wilfred!!!

CONUS Hurricane Strikes

1950-2017
[Map of 1950-2017 CONUS Hurricane Strikes]
Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total MAJOR Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Major Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Major Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Major Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Hurricane Strikes SE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Major Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Hurricane Strikes NE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Major Hurricane Strikes

Tropical Storm Zeta – 2020 Hurricane Season

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Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Zoomed In Watches and Warnings
Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Additional Projected Path Swath
Additional Projected Path Swath
Additional Projected Path Swath
Tropical Storm Force Wind Arrival/Probs Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Hurricane Force Wind Probabilities Hurricane Force Wind Probabilities Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities
Past Track History Past Track History
Surface Wind Field Surface Wind Field Cumulative Wind History Cumulative Wind History Top Analog Tracks Top Analog Tracks
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 Peak Storm Surge Forecast
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map (Inundation)
Additional Potential Storm Surge Map
Rainfall Forecast
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19L
5 Day WPC Rainfall Forecast
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24 hour - 7 Day
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Windfield
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Radar Loops Near Delta
Radar Loops Near Zeta
Archived Loops of Laura
Zeta Key Messages
Storm Recon
Delta Current Wind Field
Radar Loops Current Wind Readings Around Delta
Radar Loops Delta Current Satellite
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Radar Loops
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EURO Ensemble Tracks EURO/GFS Ensembles from WeatherNerds
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NHC Public Advisory on Zeta
  • Thu, 29 Oct 2020 20:36:48 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Zeta Advisory Number 21 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Zeta Advisory Number 21

    000
    WTNT33 KNHC 292036
    TCPAT3

    BULLETIN
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Zeta Advisory Number 21
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020
    500 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

    ...ZETA ZOOMING OFFSHORE THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TOWARD THE WESTERN
    ATLANTIC...
    ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


    SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...38.8N 75.3W
    ABOUT 25 MI...35 KM WSW OF CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 55 MPH...89 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Zeta
    was located near latitude 38.8 North, longitude 75.3 West. Zeta is
    moving toward the east-northeast near 55 mph (89 km/h), and this
    general motion is expected to continue through tonight. On the
    forecast track, the center of Zeta will emerge over the western
    Atlantic this evening.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Some strengthening is forecast tonight, but the cyclone should
    become absorbed by a frontal system on Friday.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km)
    mainly to the southeast of the center. A sustained wind of 39 mph
    (63 km/h) and a gust to 46 mph (74 km/h) were recently reported at
    Ocean City, Maryland.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Zeta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
    on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml.

    WIND: A few strong gusts are still possible across portions of
    extreme eastern North Carolina, southeastern Virginia, and the
    southern Delmarva Peninsula during the next couple of hours.

    RAINFALL: The last of the heavy rainfall along the track of Zeta
    will impact the Mid-Atlantic through this evening. Additional
    rainfall totals of an inch or less are expected across these areas,
    possibly resulting in flash, urban, small stream, and isolated minor
    river flooding.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
    found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
    Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
    online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

NHC Forecast Advisory on Zeta
  • Thu, 29 Oct 2020 20:36:20 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone ZETA Forecast/Advis... - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone ZETA Forecast/Advisory Number 21 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020 2100 UTC THU OCT 29 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL Cyclone CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 75.3W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 48 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 270SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 75.3W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.8N 78.2W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 41.0N 66.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 90SE 120SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 240SE 360SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.8N 75.3W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/Advisory ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BERG

    000
    WTNT23 KNHC 292036
    TCMAT3

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020
    2100 UTC THU OCT 29 2020

    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 75.3W AT 29/2100Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 48 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
    34 KT....... 60NE 270SE 0SW 0NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 75.3W AT 29/2100Z
    AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.8N 78.2W

    FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 41.0N 66.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 0NE 90SE 120SW 0NW.
    34 KT...120NE 240SE 360SW 180NW.

    FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.8N 75.3W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
    FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
    SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


    $$
    FORECASTER BERG


NHC Discussion on Zeta
  • Thu, 29 Oct 2020 20:37:21 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Zeta Discussion Number 21 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Zeta Discussion Number 21

    000
    WTNT43 KNHC 292037
    TCDAT3

    Post-Tropical Cyclone Zeta Discussion Number 21
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020
    500 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

    Zeta lost tropical characteristics and was declared post-tropical a
    few hours ago. The surface pressure field has become elongated
    with the center now embedded within a frontal zone over the
    Mid-Atlantic states. The maximum sustained winds are still
    estimated to be 45 kt, based on an observation received from
    northeastern North Carolina a few hours ago, and winds have been
    increasing at marine sites located just off the Mid-Atlantic coast.

    Zeta is zooming toward the east-northeast (060/48 kt), and its
    center is just about to move off the Delmarva Peninsula over the
    western Atlantic waters. This motion should continue for the next
    day or so since Zeta is embedded within fast westerly flow ahead of
    a strong mid-level trough.

    Some baroclinic re-intensification is expected over the next day or
    so while Zeta moves farther out over the western Atlantic, and the
    12-hour forecast intensity is based on the GFS and ECMWF global
    models. Zeta's center is expected to dissipate within the frontal
    zone by 24 hours, with another strong low pressure area likely to
    develop and move toward the north Atlantic over the next several
    days. The forecast wind radii are based on guidance from the
    Ocean Prediction Center.

    This is the last advisory issued on Zeta. Additional information
    on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
    National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header
    FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


    KEY MESSAGES:

    1. Strong wind gusts are still possible over portions of extreme
    eastern North Carolina, southeastern Virginia, and the southern
    Delmarva Peninsula during the next couple of hours.

    2. Through this evening, the last of the heavy rainfall along the
    track of Zeta is expected over the Mid-Atlantic. This rainfall may
    lead to flash, urban, small stream, and isolated minor river
    flooding.


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 29/2100Z 38.8N 75.3W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    12H 30/0600Z 41.0N 66.1W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    24H 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

2 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
5 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 5 Day GTWO graphic

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