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Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale
Category Wind Speed Storm Surge
  mph ft
5 ≥157 >18
4 130–156 13–18
3 111–129 9–12
2 96–110 6–8
1 74–95 4–5
Additional Classifications
Tropical Storm 39–73 0–3
Tropical Depression 0–38 0
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a classification used for most Western Hemisphere tropical cyclones that exceed the intensities of "tropical depressions" and "tropical storms", and thereby become hurricanes. Source: Intellicast

Number Of Storms Per 100 Yrs

00Z Runs of TC Genesis Probability Ensemble-based Probability (%) of TC Genesis Consensus (NCEP, CMC and ECMWF) 0-48 Hours 0-120 Hours 120-240 Hours Ensemble-based Probability (%) of TC Genesis Consensus (NCEP) 0-48 Hours 0-120 Hours 120-240 Hours 12Z Runs of TC Genesis Probability Ensemble-based Probability (%) of TC Genesis Consensus (NCEP, CMC and ECMWF) 0-48 Hours 0-120 Hours 120-240 Hours Ensemble-based Probability (%) of TC Genesis Consensus (NCEP) 0-48 Hours 0-120 Hours 120-240 Hours

Atlantic Basin Storm Count Since 1850


Atlantic Basin Storm Count Since 1850

Hurricane Strike Percentages

[Map of return period in years for hurricanes passing within 50 nautical miles]
Estimated return period in years for hurricanes passing within 50 nautical miles of various locations on the U.S. Coast
[Map of return period in years for major hurricanes passing within 50 nautical miles]
Estimated return period in years for MAJOR passing within 50 nautical miles of various locations on the U.S. Coast

CONUS Hurricane Strikes

1950-2017
[Map of 1950-2017 CONUS Hurricane Strikes]
Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total MAJOR Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Major Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Major Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Major Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Hurricane Strikes SE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Major Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Hurricane Strikes NE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Major Hurricane Strikes

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November Hurricane Climatology

Hurricane Teddy – 2020 Hurricane Season

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Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Additional Projected Path Swath
Additional Projected Path Swath Additional Projected Path Swath
Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Hurricane Force Wind Probabilities Hurricane Force Wind Probabilities Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities
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NHC Public Advisory on Teddy
  • Tue, 06 Oct 2020 02:31:11 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Gamma Advisory Number 15 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Gamma Advisory Number 15

    000
    WTNT35 KNHC 060231
    TCPAT5

    BULLETIN
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Gamma Advisory Number 15
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL252020
    1000 PM CDT Mon Oct 05 2020

    ...GAMMA BECOMES POST TROPICAL NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE
    YUCATAN PENINSULA...
    ...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE TONIGHT...


    SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...21.6N 88.4W
    ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM ENE OF PROGRESO MEXICO
    ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM NW OF COZUMEL MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 220 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Gamma
    was located near latitude 21.6 North, longitude 88.4 West. The
    post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the southwest near 6 mph (9
    km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next
    day or so. The post-tropical cyclone is currently centered along
    the northern coast of the Yucatan peninsula and will move inland
    through Monday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Gradual weakening is anticipated and Gamma is forecast to dissipate
    by Wednesday.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL: Through midweek, the remnants of Gamma are expected to
    produce an additional 2 to 4 inches of rainfall with isolated
    maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of the Mexican states of
    Yucatan, Campeche, and Tabasco. This rainfall may produce areas of
    flash flooding.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
    found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
    under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
    ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Zelinsky

NHC Forecast Advisory on Teddy
  • Tue, 06 Oct 2020 02:31:10 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone GAMMA Forecast/Advi... - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone GAMMA Forecast/Advisory Number 15 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL252020 0300 UTC TUE OCT 06 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL Cyclone CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 88.4W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 220 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 120SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 88.4W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 88.2W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.1N 88.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 20.2N 89.6W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 88.4W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/Advisory ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

    000
    WTNT25 KNHC 060231
    TCMAT5

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GAMMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL252020
    0300 UTC TUE OCT 06 2020

    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 88.4W AT 06/0300Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 220 DEGREES AT 5 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
    12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 120SW 270NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 88.4W AT 06/0300Z
    AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 88.2W

    FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.1N 88.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND
    MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 20.2N 89.6W...POST-TROP/INLAND
    MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 88.4W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
    FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
    SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


    $$
    FORECASTER ZELINSKY


NHC Discussion on Teddy
  • Sun, 15 Nov 2020 14:32:20 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Theta Discussion Number 23 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Theta Discussion Number 23

    000
    WTNT45 KNHC 151432
    TCDAT5

    Post-Tropical Cyclone Theta Discussion Number 23
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL302020
    300 PM GMT Sun Nov 15 2020

    Theta has run out of theta-e. The cyclone has been without
    significant deep convection for many hours now and has been
    gradually spinning down today. It no longer meets the qualifications
    of a tropical cyclone, so this is the last advisory. The initial
    wind speed is set to 25 kt per the latest scatterometer pass.

    The low is meandering this morning. It is expected to be picked up
    to the north-northeast by the next trough over the northeastern
    Atlantic, along with an increase in forward speed. The remnants of
    Theta should gradually lose strength due to strong shear, very dry
    air and little instability before dissipating in a day or two.

    Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
    Forecasts issued by the UK Met Office under WMO header FQNT21 EGRR
    and on the web at
    metoffice.gov.uk/weather/specialist-forecasts/coast-and-sea/high-
    seas-forecast/.

    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 15/1500Z 31.5N 18.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
    12H 16/0000Z 31.9N 18.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    24H 16/1200Z 33.7N 17.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    36H 17/0000Z 36.5N 16.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    48H 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Blake

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