
0 Active Threats To Track
SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Current Tropics Activity (hidden template)
U.S. THREAT | Active Storm |
ALERT | Active Storm |
ALERT | Active Invest 90L |
WATCHING | 1 Area Of Interest |
Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
Tropical Atlantic Weather Resources
- NOAA National Hurricane Center
- International Meteorology Database
- FSU Tropical Cyclone Track Probabilities
- Brian McNoldy Atlantic Headquarters
- Brian McNoldy Tropical Satellite Sectors
- Brian McNoldy Infrared Hovmoller
- Brian McNoldy Past TC Radar Loops
- Weather Nerds Models/ TC Guidance/ Sat
- Twister Data Model Guidance
- NOAA Tropical Cyclone Tracks
- Albany GFS/ EURO Models/ Ensembles
- Albany Tropical Cyclone Guidance
- Albany Tropical Atlantic Model Maps
- Pivotal Weather Model Guidance
- Weather Online Model Guidance
- UKMet Model Guidance/ Analysis/ Sat
- ECMWF (EURO) Model Guidance/ Analysis
- FSU Tropical Model Outputs
- FSU Tropical Cyclone Genesis
- Penn State Tropical E-Wall
- NOAA HFIP Ruc Models
- Navy NRL TC Page
- College of DuPage Model Guidance
- WXCharts Model Guidance
- NOAA NHC Analysis Tools
- NOAA NHC ATCF Directory
- NOAA NCEP/EMC Cyclogenesis Tracking
- NOAA NCEP/EMC HWRF Model
- NOAA HFIP Model Products
- University of Miami Ocean Heat Content
- COLA Max Potential Hurricane Intensity
- Colorado State RAMMB TC Tracking
- Colorado State RAMMB Tropical Floaters
- Colorado State RAMMB GOES-16 Viewer
- NOAA NESDIS GOES Satellite
- ASCAT Ocean Surface Winds METOP-A
- ASCAT Ocean Surface Winds METOP-B
- Michael Ventrice Waves / MJO Maps
- TropicalAtlantic.com Analysis / Recon
- NCAR/RAL Tropical Cyclone Guidance
- CyclonicWX Tropical Resources
Main Menu
- 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season Main Page
- Official Atlantic Tracking Chart
- Support Track The Tropics!
- Tropical Weather Outlook
- Interactive Tracking Map
- Live Current and Future Winds
- Gulf / East Coast and Atlantic Satellite
- Africa / East Atlantic Satellite Loops
- Gulf of Mexico and East Coast Radar
- Current Tropical Surface Analysis Maps
- Future Tropical Surface Analysis Maps
- Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs)
- Atlantic Wind Shear
- Current Wind Direction Steering
- Precipitation Totals Forecasts
- Saharan Air Layer (SAL) Tracking
- MJO Model Forecasts
- El Niño & La Niña Status and Forecasts
- Real Time Buoy and Oil Rig Data
- Real Time Storm Surge Maps and Info
- Hurricane Season News / Blog
- 2018 – 2023 Hurricane Season Names
- 2019 Hurricane Season Storms
- Important Weather Links
Learn and Prepare for Hurricanes
Cyclone Archive Pages and Links
Latest Posts on the LHC Blog
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale
Category | Wind Speed (mph) | Storm Surge (ft) |
5 | ≥157 | >18 |
4 | 130–156 | 13–18 |
3 | 111–129 | 9–12 |
2 | 96–110 | 6–8 |
1 | 74–95 | 4–5 |
Additional Classifications | ||
Tropical Storm | 39–73 | 0–3 |
Tropical Depression | 0–38 | 0 |
Hurricane Season 101
The official Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season runs from June 1st to November 30th. A tropical cyclone is a warm-core, low pressure system without any “front” attached. It develops over tropical or subtropical waters, and has an organized circulation. Depending upon location, tropical cyclones have different names around the world. The Tropical Cyclones we track in the Atlantic basin are called Tropical Depressions, Tropical Storms and Hurricanes! Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones are classified as follows: Tropical Depression: Organized system of clouds and thunderstorms with defined surface circulation and max sustained winds of 38 mph or less. Tropical Storm: Organized system of strong thunderstorms with a defined surface circulation and maximum sustained winds of 39-73 mph. Hurricane: Intense tropical weather system of strong thunderstorms with a well-defined surface circulation. A Hurricane has max sustained winds of 74 mph or higher!The difference between Tropical Storm and Hurricane Watches, Warnings, Advisories and Outlooks
Warnings: Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials. Evacuate immediately if told to do so.- Storm Surge Warning: There is a danger of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area. This is generally within 36 hours. If you are under a storm surge warning, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
- Hurricane Warning: Hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are expected somewhere within the specified area. NHC issues a hurricane warning 36 hours in advance of tropical storm-force winds to give you time to complete your preparations. All preparations should be complete. Evacuate immediately if so ordered.
- Tropical Storm Warning: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are expected within your area within 36 hours.
- Extreme Wind Warning: Extreme sustained winds of a major hurricane (115 mph or greater), usually associated with the eyewall, are expected to begin within an hour. Take immediate shelter in the interior portion of a well-built structure.
Watches: Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials. Evacuate if told to do so.
- Storm Surge Watch: Storm here is a possibility of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area, generally within 48 hours. If you are under a storm surge watch, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
- Hurricane Watch: Huriricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are possible within your area. Because it may not be safe to prepare for a hurricane once winds reach tropical storm force, The NHC issues hurricane watches 48 hours before it anticipates tropical storm-force winds.
- Tropical Storm Watch: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are possible within the specified area within 48 hours.
- Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory:The Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory contains a list of all current coastal watches and warnings associated with an ongoing or potential tropical cyclone, a post-tropical cyclone, or a subtropical cyclone. It also provides the cyclone position, maximum sustained winds, current motion, and a description of the hazards associated with the storm.
- Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Cone:This graphic shows areas under tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings, the current position of the center of the storm, and its predicted track. Forecast uncertainty is conveyed on the graphic by a “cone” (white and stippled areas) drawn such that the center of the storm will remain within the cone about 60 to 70 percent of the time. Remember, the effects of a tropical cyclone can span hundreds of miles. Areas well outside of the cone often experience hazards such as tornadoes or inland flooding from heavy rain.
- Tropical Weather Outlook:The Tropical Weather Outlook is a discussion of significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for development during the next 5 days. The Outlook includes a categorical forecast of the probability of tropical cyclone formation during the first 48 hours and during the entire 5-day forecast period. You can also find graphical versions of the 2-day and 5-day Outlook here
TrackTheTropics Resource Links
- National Hurricane Center
- Tropical Tidbits
- CIMSS Tropical Group
- Tropical Atlantic
- NASA Earth
- Intellicast
- NOAA WPC
- UWM Hurricane Models
- South Florida Hurricane Models
- Accuweather
- Weather.com
- FSU TC Models
- NOAA TC Probability
- NCEP/EMC Cyclogenesis Tracking
- NOAA GOES East Imagery
- Unisys Hurricane Data
- PSU Tropical Group
- Weather Underground
- NOAA NESDIS
- NRL Tropical Cyclone Page
- Storm Surfing
- GMU WxMaps
CONUS Hurricane Strikes
![[Map of 1950-2017 CONUS Hurricane Strikes]](http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/climo/images/conus_strikes_sm.jpg)
Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010

Total MAJOR Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010

Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes

Western Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes

Eastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes

Eastern Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes

SE Coast Hurricane Strikes

SE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes

NE Coast Hurricane Strikes

NE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes

Hurricane Teddy – 2020 Hurricane Season
Storm Tracking Important Links:
FSU Track Probability /
NOAA Tracker /
Albany Tracker -
Navy NRL Page /
HFIP Products /
TropicalAtlantic Tracker /
NCAR Guidance Page /
CyclonicWX Tracker Products /
CIMSS Tracker / TropicalTidbits Tracker / UWM Tracker / SFWMD Models
- Sun, 20 Oct 2024 14:48:54 +0000: Atlantic Remnants Of Nadine Advisory Number 8 - Atlantic Remnants Of Nadine Advisory Number 8
797
WTNT35 KNHC 201440
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
Remnants Of Nadine Advisory Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152024
1000 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2024
...NADINE DISSIPATED OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING STILL EXPECTED OVER
PARTS OF BELIZE, GUATEMALA, AND MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 93.0W
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SSW OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the remnants of Nadine were located near
latitude 16.5 North, longitude 93.0 West. The remnants are moving
toward the west-southwest near 14 mph (22 km/h) and they are
expected to move into the eastern Pacific later today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
The combination of the remnants of Nadine and influences from a
Gulf of Tehuantepec gap wind event are forecast to result in the
formation of a new low pressure system off the coast of southern
Mexico in a day or so. Additional development is expected after
that time, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the
early to middle part of this week while the system moves westward
at about 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico.
For additional information on the remnants of Nadine please see
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under
AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, on the web at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php, and the latest updates in the
East Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook on the web at
hurricanes.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for the remnants of Nadine can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO
header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at
hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml
RAINFALL: Additional rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches, with
isolated areas up to 12 inches, are expected across the Mexican
states of Chiapas and Tabasco into Veracruz and Oaxaca through
Tuesday morning. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches, with
isolated amounts up to 4 inches, are expected for the remaining
portions of southeastern Mexico into Guatemala and Belize.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
the remnants Nadine, please see the National Weather Service
Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.
$$
Forecaster Landsea
- Sun, 20 Oct 2024 14:39:56 +0000: Atlantic Remnants of NADINE Forecast/Advisory Numb... - Atlantic Remnants of NADINE Forecast/Advisory Number 8 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL152024 1500 UTC SUN OCT 20 2024 REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 93.0W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 93.0W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 92.5W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 93.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/Advisory ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
000
WTNT25 KNHC 201439
TCMAT5
REMNANTS OF NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152024
1500 UTC SUN OCT 20 2024
REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 93.0W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 93.0W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 92.5W
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 93.0W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
- Sun, 20 Oct 2024 14:42:53 +0000: Atlantic Remnants Of Nadine Discussion Number 8 - Atlantic Remnants Of Nadine Discussion Number 8
011
WTNT45 KNHC 201442
TCDAT5
Remnants Of Nadine Discussion Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152024
1000 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2024
First-light GOES-16 imagery and station observations suggest that
the surface circulation associated with Nadine has dissipated over
southern Mexico. Peak sustained winds remain 25 kt, mainly over the
Bay of Campeche.
The remnants of Nadine are moving toward the west-southwest at
around 12 kt and they are expected to move into the eastern Pacific
later today.
The combination of the remnants of Nadine and influences from a Gulf
of Tehuantepec gap wind event are forecast to result in the
formation of a new low pressure system off the coast of southern
Mexico in a day or so. Additional development is expected after that
time, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the early
to middle part of this week while the system moves westward at about
15 kt away from the coast of Mexico.
For additional information on the remnants of Nadine as it enters
the eastern Pacific please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header
FZPN02 KWBC, on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php,
and the latest updates in the East Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
on the web at hurricanes.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac.
Key Messages:
1. Localized areas of flash flooding will remain possible in
the vicinity of the remnants of Nadine across Belize, northern
Guatemala, and southern Mexico through Tuesday morning.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 20/1500Z 16.5N 93.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
12H 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Landsea