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- Tue, 08 Jul 2025 02:26:58 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Chantal Advisory Number 14 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Chantal Advisory Number 14
ZCZC NFDTCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KWNH DDHHMM
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Chantal Advisory Number 14
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL032025
1100 PM EDT Mon Jul 07 2025
...THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT FROM POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CHANTAL
HAS WANED...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.6N 73.6W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM NE OF CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM WSW OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no flood watches in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Chantal was located near latitude 39.6 North, longitude 73.6 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 25 mph
(41 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue with an increase
in forward speed Monday night into Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts.
Due to its forward motion and modest wind field, the cyclone's wind
field is becoming less defined. Post-Tropical Cyclone Chantal
could open up into a trough of low pressure by Tuesday morning.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Post-Tropical Cyclone Chantal can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO
header WTNT43 KNHC.
RAINFALL: Post-Tropical Cyclone Chantal could produce an
additional inch of rain across portions of New Jersey and Long
Island Monday tonight into Tuesday morning, with an inch or two of
rain being possible across portions of Cape Cod, Martha's Vineyard,
and Nantucket early Tuesday morning. Any flash flooding would be
isolated.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Post-Tropical Cyclone Chantal, please see the
National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf
For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated
this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS4 with the
WMO header ACUS44 KWBC or at the following link:
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc4.html
SURF: Life-threatening surf and rip current conditions are expected
to continue at beaches along the U.S. east coast from northeastern
Florida to the Mid-Atlantic states during the next day or so.
A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?ripCurrents
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the Weather Prediction
Center on this system.
$$
Forecaster Roth
NNNN
- Tue, 08 Jul 2025 02:21:00 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Chantal Forecast/Ad... - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Chantal Forecast/Advisory Number 14
ZCZC NFDTCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KWNH DDHHMM
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL032025
0300 UTC TUE JUL 08 2025
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.6N 73.6W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 22 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.6N 73.6W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.2N 74.8W
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 41.5N 70.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.6N 73.6W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM
$$
FORECASTER ROTH
NNNN
- Tue, 08 Jul 2025 02:21:23 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Chantal Discussion Number 14 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Chantal Discussion Number 14
ZCZC NFDTCDAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KWNH DDHHMM
Post-Tropical Cyclone Chantal Discussion Number 14
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL032025
1100 PM EDT Mon Jul 07 2025
Key Messages:
1. Heavy rainfall from Post-Tropical Cyclone Chantal is possible
as it brushes by New Jersey, Long Island, Cape Cod, Martha's
Vineyard, and Nantucket. Due to its increasing forward speed, any
flash flooding would be isolated.
2. Life-threatening surf and rip currents conditions are expected
to continue at beaches along the U.S. East Coast from northeastern
Florida to the Mid-Atlantic states during the next day or so. Beach
goers should heed the advice of lifeguards and local officials.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 08/0300Z 39.6N 73.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 08/1200Z 41.5N 70.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
$$
Forecaster Roth
NNNN