***MODEL WATCH*** Good afternoon y’all!! For the past couple weeks I have been talking about a possible storm in the Gulf at the beginning of June to start the 2014 Hurricane Season and models still continue to show this possibility…
Here is the latest GFS that just ran today 5-30-14 12Z showing a possible Tropical Storm in the Gulf June 5th…
Here is the latest EURO showing possible development as well around June 8th…
Latest FIM showing development around June 7th…
Also the latest NHC Tropical Formation Probability today has highlighted the area in the southern Gulf for potential development… we could see a possible investigation area by the NHC next week.
The CMC global model is on and off with development as well. With all 4 global models showing potential this is definitely something we need to start monitoring closely! I will continue to be on top of this possible development and let everyone know the latest! Good thing right now is that if something were to form shear in the Gulf is currently high and would inhibit any real strong storm from developing. If shear stays strong I see only a possible rain maker to Tropical Storm at the most. Things change daily in the Tropics though so keep a close eye on my future posts… stay tuned! One thing is for certain someone along the Gulf coast will be getting a lot of Tropical moisture coming their way!
–Chad TrackTheTropics.com