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Track The Tropics has been the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7 since 2013! The main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2021 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season had a record breaking 30 named storms this season, 13 developed into hurricanes, and six further intensified into major hurricanes!

2020 Season Storms...
Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine ,Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred, Alpha , Beta , Gamma , Delta , Epsilon , Zeta , Eta and Iota!!!! WHAT A SEASON #2020!!!!
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale
Category Wind Speed Storm Surge
  mph ft
5 ≥157 >18
4 130–156 13–18
3 111–129 9–12
2 96–110 6–8
1 74–95 4–5
Additional Classifications
Tropical Storm 39–73 0–3
Tropical Depression 0–38 0
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a classification used for most Western Hemisphere tropical cyclones that exceed the intensities of "tropical depressions" and "tropical storms", and thereby become hurricanes. Source: Intellicast

Hurricane Season 101

The official Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season runs from June 1st to November 30th. A tropical cyclone is a warm-core, low pressure system without any “front” attached. It develops over tropical or subtropical waters, and has an organized circulation. Depending upon location, tropical cyclones have different names around the world. The Tropical Cyclones we track in the Atlantic basin are called Tropical Depressions, Tropical Storms and Hurricanes! Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones are classified as follows: Tropical Depression: Organized system of clouds and thunderstorms with defined surface circulation and max sustained winds of 38 mph or less. Tropical Storm: Organized system of strong thunderstorms with a defined surface circulation and maximum sustained winds of 39-73 mph. Hurricane: Intense tropical weather system of strong thunderstorms with a well-defined surface circulation. A Hurricane has max sustained winds of 74 mph or higher!

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Warnings:Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials.Evacuate immediately if told to do so.
  • Storm Surge Warning: There is a danger of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area. This is generally within 36 hours. If you are under a storm surge warning, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Warning: Hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are expected somewhere within the specified area. NHC issues a hurricane warning 36 hours in advance of tropical storm-force winds to give you time to complete your preparations. All preparations should be complete. Evacuate immediately if so ordered.
  • Tropical Storm Warning: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are expected within your area within 36 hours.
  • Extreme Wind Warning: Extreme sustained winds of a major hurricane (115 mph or greater), usually associated with the eyewall, are expected to begin within an hour. Take immediate shelter in the interior portion of a well-built structure.
Please note that hurricane and tropical storm watches and warnings for winds on land as well as storm surge watches and warnings can be issued for storms that the NWS believes will become tropical cyclones but have not yet attained all of the characteristics of a tropical cyclone (i.e., a closed low-level circulation, sustained thunderstorm activity, etc.). In these cases, the forecast conditions on land warrant alerting the public. These storms are referred to as “potential tropical cyclones” by the NWS. Hurricane, tropical storm, and storm surge watches and warnings can also be issued for storms that have lost some or all of their tropical cyclone characteristics, but continue to produce dangerous conditions. These storms are called “post-tropical cyclones” by the NWS. Watches: Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials. Evacuate if told to do so.
  • Storm Surge Watch: Storm here is a possibility of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area, generally within 48 hours. If you are under a storm surge watch, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Watch: Huriricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are possible within your area. Because it may not be safe to prepare for a hurricane once winds reach tropical storm force, The NHC issues hurricane watches 48 hours before it anticipates tropical storm-force winds.
  • Tropical Storm Watch: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are possible within the specified area within 48 hours.
Advisories:
  • Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory:The Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory contains a list of all current coastal watches and warnings associated with an ongoing or potential tropical cyclone, a post-tropical cyclone, or a subtropical cyclone. It also provides the cyclone position, maximum sustained winds, current motion, and a description of the hazards associated with the storm.
  • Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Cone:This graphic shows areas under tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings, the current position of the center of the storm, and its predicted track. Forecast uncertainty is conveyed on the graphic by a “cone” (white and stippled areas) drawn such that the center of the storm will remain within the cone about 60 to 70 percent of the time. Remember, the effects of a tropical cyclone can span hundreds of miles. Areas well outside of the cone often experience hazards such as tornadoes or inland flooding from heavy rain.
Outlooks:
  • Tropical Weather Outlook:The Tropical Weather Outlook is a discussion of significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for development during the next 5 days. The Outlook includes a categorical forecast of the probability of tropical cyclone formation during the first 48 hours and during the entire 5-day forecast period. You can also find graphical versions of the 2-day and 5-day Outlook here
Be sure to read up on tons of more information on Hurricane knowledge, preparedness, statistics and history under the menu on the left hand side of the page! Here are your 2020 Hurricane Season Names: Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine ,Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky and Wilfred!!!

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Iota – Final Advisory Issued 11-18-2020 – 2020 Hurricane Season

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ATTENTION: The NHC has issued it's last advisory on Iota as of 11-18-2020. All Graphics and Information on this page will eventually cease to update.

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Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
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Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Additional Projected Path Swath
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Additional Projected Path Swath
Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Hurricane Force Wind Probabilities Hurricane Force Wind Probabilities Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities
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NHC Public Advisory on Iota
  • Wed, 18 Nov 2020 14:40:59 +0000: Atlantic Remnants Of Iota Advisory Number 21 - Atlantic Remnants Of Iota Advisory Number 21

    000
    WTNT31 KNHC 181440
    TCPAT1

    BULLETIN
    Remnants Of Iota Advisory Number 21
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL312020
    900 AM CST Wed Nov 18 2020

    ...IOTA DISSIPATES OVER CENTRAL AMERICA...
    ...HEAVY RAIN THREAT CONTINUES...


    SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...13.8N 89.5W
    ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM WNW OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), the remnants of Iota were located near
    latitude 13.8 North, longitude 89.5 West. The remnants are moving
    toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is
    expected to continue today.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Iota can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC
    and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml.

    RAINFALL: The remnants of Iota are expected to produce the
    following additional rainfall accumulations through Thursday:

    Portions of Honduras, Guatemala, southern Belize: 4 to 8 inches (100
    to 200 mm), with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches (300 mm).

    Portions of Nicaragua and El Salvador: 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm),
    with isolated maximum totals of 6 inches (150 mm).

    This rainfall will lead to significant, life-threatening flash
    flooding and river flooding, along with mudslides in areas of higher
    terrain.

    SURF: Swells generated by Iota will affect much of the coast of
    Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula during the next day or so.
    These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
    current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
    office.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on this system. For additional information on the remnants,
    please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
    Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and
    on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php


    $$
    Forecaster Pasch

NHC Forecast Advisory on Iota
  • Sat, 10 Oct 2020 14:41:27 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Depression DELTA Forecast/Adviso... - Atlantic Tropical Depression DELTA Forecast/Advisory Number 24 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL262020 1500 UTC SAT OCT 10 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 90.8W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 90.8W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 91.2W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 34.1N 89.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 35.5N 87.4W...Post-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 37.5N 84.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 39.7N 82.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.1N 90.8W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/Advisory ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER BEGINNING AT 2100Z, UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT1, WMO HEADER WTNT31 KWNH, AND ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

    000
    WTNT21 KNHC 101441
    TCMAT1

    TROPICAL DEPRESSION DELTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL262020
    1500 UTC SAT OCT 10 2020

    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

    TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 90.8W AT 10/1500Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 14 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 90.8W AT 10/1500Z
    AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 91.2W

    FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 34.1N 89.3W...INLAND
    MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 35.5N 87.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 37.5N 84.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 39.7N 82.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.1N 90.8W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
    FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER
    BEGINNING AT 2100Z, UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT1, WMO HEADER
    WTNT31 KWNH, AND ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV.

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN


NHC Discussion on Iota
  • Wed, 18 Nov 2020 14:44:43 +0000: Atlantic Remnants Of Iota Discussion Number 21 - Atlantic Remnants Of Iota Discussion Number 21

    777
    WTNT41 KNHC 181444
    TCDAT1

    Remnants Of Iota Discussion Number 21
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL312020
    900 AM CST Wed Nov 18 2020

    Although the system still has broad mid-level rotation, synoptic
    observations from Central America show that the surface circulation
    of Iota has dissipated. Its remnants are located somewhere near El
    Salvador.

    Although the remnants of Iota are likely to move into the eastern
    North Pacific during the next day or so, the global models do not
    show regeneration of the system over that basin.

    Iota is still expected to produce very serious flash flooding and
    mudslides, with potentially catastrophic effects, over
    portions of Central America.

    This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center
    on Iota.


    Key Messages:

    1. Life-threatening flash flooding and river flooding is expected
    through Thursday across portions of Central America due to heavy
    rainfall from the remnants of Iota. Flooding and mudslides across
    portions of Honduras, Nicaragua and Guatemala could be exacerbated
    by saturated soils in place, resulting in significant to
    potentially catastrophic impacts.


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 18/1500Z 13.8N 89.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...REMNANTS OF IOTA
    12H 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch


2 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
5 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 5 Day GTWO graphic

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