2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

• Tue, 18 Mar 2025 13:15:36 +0000: Atlantic Special Tropical Weather Outlook - Atlantic Special Tropical Weather Outlook
  971 <br />ABNT20 KNHC 181315<br />TWOAT <br /><br />Special Tropical Weather Outlook<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />915 AM EDT Tue Mar 18 2025<br /><br />For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:<br /><br />Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.<br /><br />Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May <br />15, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks <br />will be issued as conditions warrant.<br /><br />$$<br />Forecaster Hagen

• Mon, 14 Apr 2025 20:51:30 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
  791 <br />AXNT20 KNHC 142050<br />TWDAT <br /><br />Tropical Weather Discussion<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />0015 UTC Tue Apr 15 2025<br /><br />Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America<br />Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South<br />America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the<br />Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite<br />imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.<br /><br />Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through <br />2050 UTC.<br /><br />...SPECIAL FEATURES...<br /><br />Caribbean Gale Warning: A 1023 mb high is centered just NE of the<br />northern Bahamas. The pressure gradient between this area of high<br />pressure and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong <br />winds over the south central Caribbean north of Colombia. The high<br />center will build slightly tonight, further tightening the <br />gradient off Colombia. This tightened pressure gradient will <br />coincide with a nocturnal pulsing of winds off Colombia to support<br />minimal gale force winds during the overnight hours tonight and <br />early morning hours on Tue. Seas will build to near 12 ft with <br />these gale force winds by Tue morning.<br /><br />Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National<br />Hurricane Center at website - <br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.<br /><br />...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... <br /><br />The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of<br />Africa near 09N13.5W and continues southwestward to 02N20W. The <br />ITCZ continues from 02N20W to 03N43W to near 00N50W. Scattered <br />moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 02S to 05N<br />between 15W and 34W. <br /><br />GULF OF AMERICA...<br /><br />High pressure prevails across the Gulf basin. Moderate to fresh<br />southerly return flow is over the western Gulf W of 94W. Light to<br />gentle winds are noted elsewhere. Seas are in the 3-4 ft range<br />over the NW Gulf, and 1-3 ft elsewhere. <br /><br />For the forecast, high pressure centered over the western <br />Atlantic is supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the<br />basin, except for light winds over the E Gulf. This high pressure<br />will continue to shift E over the western Atlantic tonight, <br />allowing for the gentle to moderate return flow to increase <br />slightly before diminishing Tue. Winds will pulse to fresh speeds <br />over the Bay of Campeche beginning Tue night before decreasing Wed<br />morning as a weak cold front moves across the NE Gulf. By Wed <br />winds will increase to moderate to locally fresh speeds as the <br />front moves across the area. Looking ahead, another high pressure <br />will build in the wake of the front over the western Atlantic <br />supporting E to SE fresh winds Thu night across the central and <br />western Gulf. Winds will likely pulse to strong speeds off the <br />Yucatan Peninsula and over the western Gulf Fri night. <br /><br />CARIBBEAN SEA... <br /><br />Please see SPECIAL FEATURES above for more on a gale warning off<br />the coast of Colombia. <br /><br />A 1023 mb high is centered just NE of the northern Bahamas. The<br />pressure gradient between this area of high pressure and the<br />Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds over the central<br />Caribbean, including the Windward Passage, between Cuba and<br />Jamaica, and S of Hispaniola. Seas over these waters are in the<br />6-8 ft range. Moderate winds prevauk over the remainder of the<br />Caribbean waters, where seas are in the 3-5 ft range. <br /><br />For the forecast, NE to E winds will increase to gale force <br />tonight off the coast of Colombia before decreasing to fresh to <br />strong speeds Tue morning. Within the area of these winds, seas <br />will build to 12 ft. Elsewhere, fresh to strong NE to E winds will<br />prevail in the lee of Cuba, the Windward Passage, and in the lee <br />of Hispaniola through Tue as a high pressure center shifts across <br />the Atlantic waters N of the area. Fresh to strong NE to E winds <br />in the south-central Caribbean will continue through the forecast <br />period. Rough seas will prevail with the strongest winds.<br /><br />ATLANTIC OCEAN...<br /><br />A cold front extends from 31N54W to the Dominican Republic, with <br />high pressure building in its wake centered NE of the northern<br />Bahamas. Fresh to strong winds and aes of 6-10 ft are N of 30, <br />both ahead and behind the front. Light winds are in the vicinity <br />of the high center, with moderate winds elsewhere W of the front.<br />Elsewhere seas W of the front are in the 3-5 ft range. East of the<br />front, high pressure dominates the waters ouside the deep tropics,<br />anchored by a 1027 mb high centered near 33N36W. Moderate to fresh<br />winds, and seas of 4-7 ft, dominate these waters. <br /><br />For the forecast west of 55W, Fresh to locally strong winds are <br />west of the front north of 29N along with rough seas. The front <br />will continue moving E while weakening through midweek, <br />dissipating by Wed night. The next cold front may enter the NW <br />waters Tue night with moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas on<br />either side of the front. This front will continue to move SE <br />across the region throughout the forecast period. Fresh to strong <br />northeast winds will prevail south of about 27N and west of 65W, <br />including near and in the Windward Passage Fri along with rough <br />seas north of the Bahamas. <br /><br />$$ <br />AL

• Mon, 14 Apr 2025 22:15:01 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
  The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.

• Mon, 31 Mar 2025 20:15:38 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
  

  502 <br />NOUS42 KNHC 312015<br />REPRPD<br />WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS<br />CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.<br />0415 PM EDT MON 31 MARCH 2025<br />SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)<br />         VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2025<br />         WSPOD NUMBER.....24-121<br /><br />SECOND TEST RETRANSMISSION<br /><br />I.  ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS<br />    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.<br />    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.<br /><br />NOTE:  THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS<br />       DICTATE OTHERWISE.<br /><br />$$<br />SEF<br /><br />NNNN

• Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
  
  000
  AGXX40 KNHC 171522
  MIMATS
  
  Marine Weather Discussion
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
  
  Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
  and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
  and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
  
  This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
  Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
  Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
  
  ...GULF OF MEXICO...
  
  High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
  the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
  week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
  basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
  Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
  Plains.
  
  ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
  55W AND 64W...
  
  A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
  diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
  will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
  pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
  
  ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
  
  A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
  will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
  drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
  pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
  an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
  with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
  
  $$
  
  .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
  coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
  telephone:
  
  .GULF OF MEXICO...
  None.
  
  .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
  55W AND 64W...
  None.
  
  .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
  None.
  
  $$
  
  *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
  
  Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
  Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
  
  For additional information, please visit:
  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
  
  $$
  
  .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
  

• Sun, 01 Dec 2024 03:00:40 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
  000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 010300<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />1000 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2024<br /><br />For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:<br /><br />Tropical cyclone activity this November was above average in terms <br />of the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes in <br />the Atlantic basin. Three named storms formed during the month, <br />including one (Rafael) that became a major hurricane. Based on a <br />30-year climatology (1991-2020), a tropical storm forms in November <br />once every year or two, and a hurricane forms once every two years.<br /><br />Rafael strengthened into a hurricane while passing near Jamaica and <br />the Cayman Islands before making landfall in western Cuba as a <br />category 3 hurricane. Elsewhere, Patty brought tropical storm <br />conditions to portions of the Azores. Sara meandered near the coast <br />of Honduras before making landfall as a tropical storm in Belize.<br /><br />Overall, the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season had above-normal <br />activity in terms of the number of named storms, hurricanes, and <br />major hurricanes. In 2024, there were 18 named storms that formed in <br />the Atlantic basin, of which 11 became hurricanes and 5 strengthened <br />into major hurricanes (category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson <br />Hurricane Wind Scale). These numbers are greater than the long-term <br />(1991-2020) averages of 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major <br />hurricanes. In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which <br />measures the strength and duration of tropical storms and <br />hurricanes, activity in the basin in 2024 was about 34 percent above <br />the long-term (1991-2020) average.<br /><br />Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at the <br />National Hurricane Center website at<br />www.hurricanes.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2024&basin=atl<br /><br />Summary Table<br /><br />Name Dates Max Wind (mph)<br />------------------------------------------------------------------<br />TS Alberto 19-20 Jun 50*<br />MH Beryl 28 Jun-9 Jul 165<br />TS Chris 30 Jun-1 Jul 45*<br />H Debby 3-9 Aug 80<br />H Ernesto 12-20 Aug 100<br />H Francine 9-12 Sep 100<br />TS Gordon 11-17 Sep 45<br />MH Helene 24-27 Sep 140<br />H Isaac 26-30 Sep 105<br />TS Joyce 27 Sep-1 Oct 50<br />MH Kirk 29 Sep-7 Oct 145<br />H Leslie 2-12 Oct 105 <br />MH Milton 5-10 Oct 180<br />TS Nadine 19-20 Oct 60<br />H Oscar 19-22 Oct 85<br />TS Patty 2-4 Nov 65<br />MH Rafael 4-10 Nov 120<br />TS Sara 14-18 Nov 50<br /><br />------------------------------------------------------------------ <br /><br />Dates are based on Coordinated Universal Time (UTC).<br />* Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.<br /><br />$$<br />Hurricane Specialist Unit