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DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 14 Jun 2025 23:13:59 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
232 <br />AXNT20 KNHC 142313<br />TWDAT <br /><br />Tropical Weather Discussion<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />0015 UTC Sat Jun 14 2025<br /><br />Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America<br />Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South<br />America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the<br />Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite<br />imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.<br /><br />Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through <br />2300 UTC.<br /><br />...TROPICAL WAVES...<br /><br />An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 32W from 15N <br />southward, moving westward around 15 kt. Isolated showers are <br />observed along the ITCZ near the south end of wave axis.<br /><br />Another eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 42W-43w from 15N <br />southward, moving westward at 10-15 kt. A few showers are <br />observed from 07N to 10N between 40W and 43W. <br /><br />A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W from 17N <br />southward, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate<br />isolated strong convection is observed S of 15.5N between 69W and<br />76W.<br /><br />A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 87W-88W, from the Gulf<br />of Honduras southward, extending across Honduras and Nicaragua <br />into the eastern Pacific. The wave is moving westward at around 10<br />kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed across eastern<br />portions of the Gulf of Honduras.<br /><br />...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... <br /><br />The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of<br />Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 09.5N27W. The <br />ITCZ extends from 06N34W to 04N41W. Scattered moderate isolated <br />strong convection is observed from 03.5N northward to 11N and E <br />of 24W. No other significant convection is seen in the region. <br /><br />The East Pacific monsoon trough extends across the far SW<br />Caribbean from 10N73W to low pressure 1012 mb near 11.5N78W to<br />11.5N81W and across northern Costa Rica. Clusters of scattered <br />moderate isolated strong convection is observed across areas S of<br />13N and W of 74W.<br /><br />...GULF OF AMERICA...<br /><br />An upper level trough over the central US extends S-SW into the<br />north central Gulf, and is supporting scattered showers and <br />thunderstorms in the NE Gulf, generally to the N of 28N. More<br />widespread and significant convection is occurring across much of<br />the SE U.S. A surface trough is analyzed in the SW Gulf along<br />94W-95W with a few showers near the trough axis. The rest of the <br />Gulf is mainly influenced by the western periphery of the Atlantic<br />subtropical ridge, extending westward across Florida and into the<br />N central Gulf. The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower<br />pressures in Mexico is resulting in moderate to fresh SE to S winds<br />over much of the western and central Gulf waters. Seas in the <br />area described are 3-5 ft. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and<br />slight seas prevail, locally 3-4 ft in the Straits of Florida. <br /><br />For the forecast, fresh to locally strong E to NE winds will <br />pulse each afternoon and evening through next week north of the <br />Yucatan Peninsula and in the eastern Bay of Campeche as a diurnal <br />trough develops and treks westward across the region. Otherwise, <br />ridging over the western Atlantic will continue to extend into the<br />eastern Gulf to maintain moderate S to SE winds and moderate seas<br />over the central and western Gulf of America through the middle <br />of next week, with gentle to locally moderate SE winds and slight <br />to moderate seas in the eastern basin. <br /><br />...CARIBBEAN SEA...<br /><br />Please refer to the Tropical Waves and Monsoon Trough/ITCZ<br />sections for details on convection in the Caribbean.<br /><br />An upper level trough extends from the central Atlantic W-SW<br />through the Windward Passage and into the NE Caribbean west of<br />Jamaica. This feature is supporting convection over Central<br />America and near the monsoon trough. A broad Atlantic ridge<br />continues to dominate the Atlantic basin, extending from the<br />central Atlantic along 32N westward across Florida. The pressure <br />gradient between this subtropical ridge and lower pressure over <br />Colombia and the SW Caribbean continues to support fresh to <br />locally strong easterly trade winds across the eastern and central<br />Caribbean, extending westward to just E of the Gulf of Honduras. <br />Seas in these waters are 6-10 ft. Elsewhere, moderate winds and <br />moderate seas are prevalent.<br /><br />For the forecast, fresh to strong trade winds are expected to <br />persist across the central and west-central Caribbean through the<br />middle of next week as a strong pressure gradient prevails <br />between high pressure to the north and low pressure in the south-<br />central Caribbean. Rough seas in E swell will continue in this <br />region. Fresh to strong E to SE winds will also occur each night <br />and morning in the Gulf of Honduras, and these winds will expand <br />through much of the northwestern Caribbean early next week after <br />the passage of a tropical wave. Elsewhere, locally rough seas in E<br />swell will occur east of the Lesser Antilles and through the <br />passages into the eastern Caribbean into Sun. Otherwise, mainly <br />moderate winds and seas are expected across the rest of the basin.<br /><br />...ATLANTIC OCEAN...<br /><br />The broad subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic dominates<br />the tropical Atlantic waters, centered on 1028 mb high pressure<br />near 32N54W. The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower <br />pressures in the deep tropics supports fresh easterly winds south<br />of 22N and west of 40W, including through the Windward Passage. <br />Seas in these waters are 5-8 ft. In the eastern Atlantic, moderate<br />to locally strong N-NE winds and seas of 6-9 ft are noted north <br />of 20N and east of 20W, becoming moderate NE winds between 20W and<br />40W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas <br />prevail.<br /><br />For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to locally fresh trade <br />winds will persist south of 25N through the middle of next week <br />as high pressure prevails over the central Atlantic. Locally <br />strong winds will be possible just north of Hispaniola by the <br />middle of next week. Elsewhere, moderate S to SW winds will pulse <br />offshore of Florida into the middle of next week as low pressure <br />continues over the eastern United States. Otherwise, mainly <br />gentle to locally moderate winds and moderate seas are expected <br />elsewhere north of 25N through next week.<br /><br />$$<br />Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 14 Jun 2025 23:13:59 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
232 <br />AXNT20 KNHC 142313<br />TWDAT <br /><br />Tropical Weather Discussion<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />0015 UTC Sat Jun 14 2025<br /><br />Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America<br />Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South<br />America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the<br />Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite<br />imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.<br /><br />Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through <br />2300 UTC.<br /><br />...TROPICAL WAVES...<br /><br />An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 32W from 15N <br />southward, moving westward around 15 kt. Isolated showers are <br />observed along the ITCZ near the south end of wave axis.<br /><br />Another eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 42W-43w from 15N <br />southward, moving westward at 10-15 kt. A few showers are <br />observed from 07N to 10N between 40W and 43W. <br /><br />A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W from 17N <br />southward, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate<br />isolated strong convection is observed S of 15.5N between 69W and<br />76W.<br /><br />A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 87W-88W, from the Gulf<br />of Honduras southward, extending across Honduras and Nicaragua <br />into the eastern Pacific. The wave is moving westward at around 10<br />kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed across eastern<br />portions of the Gulf of Honduras.<br /><br />...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... <br /><br />The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of<br />Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 09.5N27W. The <br />ITCZ extends from 06N34W to 04N41W. Scattered moderate isolated <br />strong convection is observed from 03.5N northward to 11N and E <br />of 24W. No other significant convection is seen in the region. <br /><br />The East Pacific monsoon trough extends across the far SW<br />Caribbean from 10N73W to low pressure 1012 mb near 11.5N78W to<br />11.5N81W and across northern Costa Rica. Clusters of scattered <br />moderate isolated strong convection is observed across areas S of<br />13N and W of 74W.<br /><br />...GULF OF AMERICA...<br /><br />An upper level trough over the central US extends S-SW into the<br />north central Gulf, and is supporting scattered showers and <br />thunderstorms in the NE Gulf, generally to the N of 28N. More<br />widespread and significant convection is occurring across much of<br />the SE U.S. A surface trough is analyzed in the SW Gulf along<br />94W-95W with a few showers near the trough axis. The rest of the <br />Gulf is mainly influenced by the western periphery of the Atlantic<br />subtropical ridge, extending westward across Florida and into the<br />N central Gulf. The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower<br />pressures in Mexico is resulting in moderate to fresh SE to S winds<br />over much of the western and central Gulf waters. Seas in the <br />area described are 3-5 ft. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and<br />slight seas prevail, locally 3-4 ft in the Straits of Florida. <br /><br />For the forecast, fresh to locally strong E to NE winds will <br />pulse each afternoon and evening through next week north of the <br />Yucatan Peninsula and in the eastern Bay of Campeche as a diurnal <br />trough develops and treks westward across the region. Otherwise, <br />ridging over the western Atlantic will continue to extend into the<br />eastern Gulf to maintain moderate S to SE winds and moderate seas<br />over the central and western Gulf of America through the middle <br />of next week, with gentle to locally moderate SE winds and slight <br />to moderate seas in the eastern basin. <br /><br />...CARIBBEAN SEA...<br /><br />Please refer to the Tropical Waves and Monsoon Trough/ITCZ<br />sections for details on convection in the Caribbean.<br /><br />An upper level trough extends from the central Atlantic W-SW<br />through the Windward Passage and into the NE Caribbean west of<br />Jamaica. This feature is supporting convection over Central<br />America and near the monsoon trough. A broad Atlantic ridge<br />continues to dominate the Atlantic basin, extending from the<br />central Atlantic along 32N westward across Florida. The pressure <br />gradient between this subtropical ridge and lower pressure over <br />Colombia and the SW Caribbean continues to support fresh to <br />locally strong easterly trade winds across the eastern and central<br />Caribbean, extending westward to just E of the Gulf of Honduras. <br />Seas in these waters are 6-10 ft. Elsewhere, moderate winds and <br />moderate seas are prevalent.<br /><br />For the forecast, fresh to strong trade winds are expected to <br />persist across the central and west-central Caribbean through the<br />middle of next week as a strong pressure gradient prevails <br />between high pressure to the north and low pressure in the south-<br />central Caribbean. Rough seas in E swell will continue in this <br />region. Fresh to strong E to SE winds will also occur each night <br />and morning in the Gulf of Honduras, and these winds will expand <br />through much of the northwestern Caribbean early next week after <br />the passage of a tropical wave. Elsewhere, locally rough seas in E<br />swell will occur east of the Lesser Antilles and through the <br />passages into the eastern Caribbean into Sun. Otherwise, mainly <br />moderate winds and seas are expected across the rest of the basin.<br /><br />...ATLANTIC OCEAN...<br /><br />The broad subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic dominates<br />the tropical Atlantic waters, centered on 1028 mb high pressure<br />near 32N54W. The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower <br />pressures in the deep tropics supports fresh easterly winds south<br />of 22N and west of 40W, including through the Windward Passage. <br />Seas in these waters are 5-8 ft. In the eastern Atlantic, moderate<br />to locally strong N-NE winds and seas of 6-9 ft are noted north <br />of 20N and east of 20W, becoming moderate NE winds between 20W and<br />40W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas <br />prevail.<br /><br />For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to locally fresh trade <br />winds will persist south of 25N through the middle of next week <br />as high pressure prevails over the central Atlantic. Locally <br />strong winds will be possible just north of Hispaniola by the <br />middle of next week. Elsewhere, moderate S to SW winds will pulse <br />offshore of Florida into the middle of next week as low pressure <br />continues over the eastern United States. Otherwise, mainly <br />gentle to locally moderate winds and moderate seas are expected <br />elsewhere north of 25N through next week.<br /><br />$$<br />Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 16 Jun 2025 11:25:52 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 15 Jun 2025 02:03:46 GMT - Sat, 14 Jun 2025 23:25:52 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
169
ABNT20 KNHC 142325
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 14 Jun 2025 14:38:25 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
135 <br />NOUS42 KNHC 141435<br />REPRPD<br />WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS<br />CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.<br />1035 AM EDT SAT 14 JUNE 2025<br />SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)<br /> VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z JUNE 2025<br /> TCPOD NUMBER.....25-014<br /><br />I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS<br /> 1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.<br /> 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.<br /><br />II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS<br /> 1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.<br /> 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.<br /><br />$$<br />WJM/ZTH<br /><br />NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf