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DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 16 Jan 2026 16:21:07 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 161620
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Jan 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1600 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A cold front will reach the NW Gulf
late tonight, supporting fresh to near gale-force N-NE winds and
rough seas behind the front. The front will reach from
Apalachicola, Florida to Tamaulipas, Mexico Sat night, then from
SW Florida to Veracruz, Mexico Sun afternoon and east of the basin
by Sun night. Winds are expected to strengthen to gale-force
behind the boundary late Sat into early Sun, especially over the
central and southwestern Gulf Sun morning, including offshore
Tampico and Veracruz. Rough to very rough seas will develop with
these winds. Conditions will improve markedly on Mon.
Please read the latest High Sea Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea
near 10N14W and continues southwestward to 04N17W. The ITCZ
extends from 04N17W to 02N30W and to 00N50W. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is observed from 01N to 06N between
12W and 26W. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 01N to 06N
between 26W and 42W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning.
Broad surface high pressure ridging extends south-southwestward
from the Florida Big Bend to the eastern Bay of Campeche, with
mainly gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds. Although seas are
gradually subsiding behind the recent cold front, seas are still
4 to 8 ft across much of this area, highest in the Yucatan Channel
and southeast Gulf. Offshore Texas and northeastern Mexico,
moderate to locally fresh southerly winds are developing, with 3
to 4 ft seas. In the northeastern and north-central Gulf, seas
have subsided to 2-4 ft. The dry, cold continental airmass moving
across the basin is suppressing the development of any showers
and thunderstorms.
For the forecast, please read the Special Features section for
information on the gale force winds expected over the Gulf this
weekend. Looking ahead, the pressure gradient will tighten again
Tue into Wed, resulting in fresh to locally strong winds across
much of the basin.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A cold front extends from eastern Cuba near 20N77W to the north
coast of Honduras near 16N86W. Moderate to fresh NNE to NE winds
and seas of 5 to 7 ft are noted to the northwest of the boundary.
A surface trough over the central Caribbean is inducing scattered
moderate convection from 14N to 17N between 72W and 77W. Meanwhile,
a strong subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic extends into
the northeastern Caribbean, which is causing moderate to fresh
easterly trade winds and moderate seas across the eastern and
central Caribbean, to the east of the front.
For the forecast, the cold front is expected to stall shortly and
dissipate on Sat. Fresh to strong trades will pulse offshore of
NW Colombia tonight, reaching near-gale force at night starting
Sat night and into early next week. The pressure gradient may
tighten later in the upcoming weekend and early next week leading
to increasing winds and building seas across the basin ahead of a
reinforcing front. Looking ahead, the front will arrive in the NW
Caribbean early next week, and the tight pressure gradient behind
it will sustain fresh to strong NW winds and moderate to rough
seas during most of next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from 31N64W to 25N70W to Mayaguana island,
Bahamas to eastern Cuba near 21N76W. Scattered showers are just
east of the front, north of 27N, while cloudiness with possible
light isolated showers prevails elsewhere within 60 nautical miles
of the front. Fresh to strong winds prevail on both sides of the
front north of 29N between 57W and 71W, with lighter winds closer
to northern Florida, where a 1022 mb high pressure is centered.
North of 27N and west of the front, seas are 12-17 ft, with 8-12
ft seas still extending to just northeast of the Bahamas.
Farther east, a 1038 mb high pressure centered near the Azores
governs the weather conditions across the eastern and central
Atlantic. Fresh to locally strong trade winds seas of 7 to 11 ft
are noted east of 47W and north of 20N, except these conditions
extend as far south as the Cabo Verde Islands in the far eastern
Atlantic. A cold front recently dipped southward and is now
located from 31N13W to 29N23W to 31N35W. Fresh to locally strong N
to NE winds and 8 to 11 ft seas prevail north of the front, with
similar wind speeds and seas heights south of the front, due to
the aforementioned trade winds. Elsewhere, closer to the
northeastern Caribbean, mainly moderate wind speeds with 6 to 8 ft
seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the front that extends from 31N64W
to eastern Cuba will reach from 31N59W to 25N70W Sat morning
where it will stall and weaken. Another cold front may impact the
basin late in the upcoming weekend into early next week,
supporting fresh to strong winds and rough seas.
For the forecast east of 55W, winds and seas will increase late
Saturday into Sunday from the Canary Islands northward, between
the coast of Morocco and 24W, with strong to near-gale force winds
and 11 to 16 ft seas. Meanwhile, trade winds will continue to be
strong over this weekend from 18N to 26N and between 20W and 57W,
with seas 9 to 13 ft.
$$
Hagen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 16 Jan 2026 16:21:07 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 161620
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Jan 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1600 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A cold front will reach the NW Gulf
late tonight, supporting fresh to near gale-force N-NE winds and
rough seas behind the front. The front will reach from
Apalachicola, Florida to Tamaulipas, Mexico Sat night, then from
SW Florida to Veracruz, Mexico Sun afternoon and east of the basin
by Sun night. Winds are expected to strengthen to gale-force
behind the boundary late Sat into early Sun, especially over the
central and southwestern Gulf Sun morning, including offshore
Tampico and Veracruz. Rough to very rough seas will develop with
these winds. Conditions will improve markedly on Mon.
Please read the latest High Sea Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea
near 10N14W and continues southwestward to 04N17W. The ITCZ
extends from 04N17W to 02N30W and to 00N50W. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is observed from 01N to 06N between
12W and 26W. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 01N to 06N
between 26W and 42W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning.
Broad surface high pressure ridging extends south-southwestward
from the Florida Big Bend to the eastern Bay of Campeche, with
mainly gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds. Although seas are
gradually subsiding behind the recent cold front, seas are still
4 to 8 ft across much of this area, highest in the Yucatan Channel
and southeast Gulf. Offshore Texas and northeastern Mexico,
moderate to locally fresh southerly winds are developing, with 3
to 4 ft seas. In the northeastern and north-central Gulf, seas
have subsided to 2-4 ft. The dry, cold continental airmass moving
across the basin is suppressing the development of any showers
and thunderstorms.
For the forecast, please read the Special Features section for
information on the gale force winds expected over the Gulf this
weekend. Looking ahead, the pressure gradient will tighten again
Tue into Wed, resulting in fresh to locally strong winds across
much of the basin.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A cold front extends from eastern Cuba near 20N77W to the north
coast of Honduras near 16N86W. Moderate to fresh NNE to NE winds
and seas of 5 to 7 ft are noted to the northwest of the boundary.
A surface trough over the central Caribbean is inducing scattered
moderate convection from 14N to 17N between 72W and 77W. Meanwhile,
a strong subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic extends into
the northeastern Caribbean, which is causing moderate to fresh
easterly trade winds and moderate seas across the eastern and
central Caribbean, to the east of the front.
For the forecast, the cold front is expected to stall shortly and
dissipate on Sat. Fresh to strong trades will pulse offshore of
NW Colombia tonight, reaching near-gale force at night starting
Sat night and into early next week. The pressure gradient may
tighten later in the upcoming weekend and early next week leading
to increasing winds and building seas across the basin ahead of a
reinforcing front. Looking ahead, the front will arrive in the NW
Caribbean early next week, and the tight pressure gradient behind
it will sustain fresh to strong NW winds and moderate to rough
seas during most of next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from 31N64W to 25N70W to Mayaguana island,
Bahamas to eastern Cuba near 21N76W. Scattered showers are just
east of the front, north of 27N, while cloudiness with possible
light isolated showers prevails elsewhere within 60 nautical miles
of the front. Fresh to strong winds prevail on both sides of the
front north of 29N between 57W and 71W, with lighter winds closer
to northern Florida, where a 1022 mb high pressure is centered.
North of 27N and west of the front, seas are 12-17 ft, with 8-12
ft seas still extending to just northeast of the Bahamas.
Farther east, a 1038 mb high pressure centered near the Azores
governs the weather conditions across the eastern and central
Atlantic. Fresh to locally strong trade winds seas of 7 to 11 ft
are noted east of 47W and north of 20N, except these conditions
extend as far south as the Cabo Verde Islands in the far eastern
Atlantic. A cold front recently dipped southward and is now
located from 31N13W to 29N23W to 31N35W. Fresh to locally strong N
to NE winds and 8 to 11 ft seas prevail north of the front, with
similar wind speeds and seas heights south of the front, due to
the aforementioned trade winds. Elsewhere, closer to the
northeastern Caribbean, mainly moderate wind speeds with 6 to 8 ft
seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the front that extends from 31N64W
to eastern Cuba will reach from 31N59W to 25N70W Sat morning
where it will stall and weaken. Another cold front may impact the
basin late in the upcoming weekend into early next week,
supporting fresh to strong winds and rough seas.
For the forecast east of 55W, winds and seas will increase late
Saturday into Sunday from the Canary Islands northward, between
the coast of Morocco and 24W, with strong to near-gale force winds
and 11 to 16 ft seas. Meanwhile, trade winds will continue to be
strong over this weekend from 18N to 26N and between 20W and 57W,
with seas 9 to 13 ft.
$$
Hagen
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 16 Jan 2026 22:09:22 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 16 Jan 2026 19:30:54 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 161930
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0230 PM EST FRI 16 JANUARY 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 17/1100Z TO 18/1100Z JANUARY 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-047 CORRECTION
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71 (CORRECTION)
A. 18/0000Z
B. AFXXX 03WSA TRACK66
C. 17/2015Z
D. 10 DROPS AS PUBLISHED ON TRACK
E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 17/2030Z TO 18/0230Z
2. FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 72 (CORRECTION)
A. 18/1200Z
B. AFXXX 04WSA TRACK65
C. 18/0700Z
D. 10 DROPS AS PUBLISHED ON TRACK AND TWO ADDITIONAL DROPS AT
28.2N 86.5W AND 28.9N 88.7W OVER THE GULF OF AMERICA.
E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 18/0830Z TO 18/1430Z
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf