2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 06 Dec 2025 10:07:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 061007
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Dec 6 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1005 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Sierra
    Leone near 09N13W to 06N23W. The ITCZ extends from 06N23W to
    05N35W to 01N50W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection
    is observed from 02N to 11N and between 13W and 29W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak cold front extends from near Yankeetown, Florida to
    26N90W, then becomes a stationary front to near Veracruz, Mexico.
    A few showers are noted behind the front. Moderate or weaker
    winds and slight to moderate seas prevail across the basin.

    For the forecast, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas
    prevail across the basin and these marine conditions will persist
    into Sun afternoon. A new cold front is expected to enter the NW
    Gulf Sun evening and sweep over the basin into early next week,
    leading to fresh to strong N to NW winds and building seas in the
    wake of the front. Gale-force NW-N winds may develop off Veracruz
    Mon afternoon and evening. Winds and seas will diminish Tue into
    Wed as the front stalls across the NW Caribbean and W Cuba.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A cluster of showers associated with a weak surface trough are
    moving into the NW Caribbean, extending from 14N to 18N and
    between 79W and 84W. Pockets of low-level moisture are also
    bringing isolated showers to the eastern and central Caribbean.
    High pressure north of the area continues to support moderate to
    fresh easterly trade winds and moderate to locally rough seas in
    the eastern and central Caribbean. Elsewhere, light to gentle
    winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, moderate pressure gradient between weak high
    pressure centered north of the Greater Antilles and lower
    pressures in northern South America will sustain moderate to
    fresh easterly trade winds and moderate seas over the central
    and eastern Caribbean through the middle of next week. Moderate
    or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail
    elsewhere. A persistent E-NE swell will support rough seas in
    the Atlantic passages of the Lesser Antilles through the
    forecast period. Looking ahead, a weakening cold front may
    approach the northwestern Caribbean on Tue and linger across the
    area through Wed. High pressure will build in by the middle of
    next week, leading to strong winds and rough seas in the south-
    central Caribbean into late next week.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from 31N77W to Palm Coast, Florida. Fresh to
    locally strong SW winds and moderate to locally rough seas are
    noted ahead of the front to 70W and north of 30N. Meanwhile,
    moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
    found south of 23N and west of 55W. Elsewhere west of 55W, light
    to gentle winds and moderate seas prevail.

    A frontal trough extends from 31N47W to 24N61W and moderate to
    locally strong SW winds and seas of 6-10 ft are found east of the
    trough to 35W and north of 27N. A broad subtropical ridge extends
    southwestward from a 1025 mb high pressure in the far eastern
    Atlantic to the Bahamas. The pressure gradient between this ridge
    and lower pressures in the deep tropics results in moderate to
    fresh easterly winds and rough seas south of 22N and between
    Africa and Lesser Antilles. In the remainder of the basin,
    moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the winds and seas associated with
    the front off NE Florida will push eastward quickly today into
    Sun. The front will extend from near Bermuda to central Florida by
    early Sun morning and dissipate Sun evening. Looking ahead, a
    complex low pressure system and strong cold front will move
    through the northwestern tropical Atlantic by early next week,
    supporting widespread fresh to strong winds and building seas
    ahead of and behind the front Mon through Tue. Conditions will
    improve late Tue into Wed.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 06 Dec 2025 10:07:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 061007
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Dec 6 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1005 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Sierra
    Leone near 09N13W to 06N23W. The ITCZ extends from 06N23W to
    05N35W to 01N50W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection
    is observed from 02N to 11N and between 13W and 29W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak cold front extends from near Yankeetown, Florida to
    26N90W, then becomes a stationary front to near Veracruz, Mexico.
    A few showers are noted behind the front. Moderate or weaker
    winds and slight to moderate seas prevail across the basin.

    For the forecast, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas
    prevail across the basin and these marine conditions will persist
    into Sun afternoon. A new cold front is expected to enter the NW
    Gulf Sun evening and sweep over the basin into early next week,
    leading to fresh to strong N to NW winds and building seas in the
    wake of the front. Gale-force NW-N winds may develop off Veracruz
    Mon afternoon and evening. Winds and seas will diminish Tue into
    Wed as the front stalls across the NW Caribbean and W Cuba.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A cluster of showers associated with a weak surface trough are
    moving into the NW Caribbean, extending from 14N to 18N and
    between 79W and 84W. Pockets of low-level moisture are also
    bringing isolated showers to the eastern and central Caribbean.
    High pressure north of the area continues to support moderate to
    fresh easterly trade winds and moderate to locally rough seas in
    the eastern and central Caribbean. Elsewhere, light to gentle
    winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, moderate pressure gradient between weak high
    pressure centered north of the Greater Antilles and lower
    pressures in northern South America will sustain moderate to
    fresh easterly trade winds and moderate seas over the central
    and eastern Caribbean through the middle of next week. Moderate
    or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail
    elsewhere. A persistent E-NE swell will support rough seas in
    the Atlantic passages of the Lesser Antilles through the
    forecast period. Looking ahead, a weakening cold front may
    approach the northwestern Caribbean on Tue and linger across the
    area through Wed. High pressure will build in by the middle of
    next week, leading to strong winds and rough seas in the south-
    central Caribbean into late next week.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from 31N77W to Palm Coast, Florida. Fresh to
    locally strong SW winds and moderate to locally rough seas are
    noted ahead of the front to 70W and north of 30N. Meanwhile,
    moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
    found south of 23N and west of 55W. Elsewhere west of 55W, light
    to gentle winds and moderate seas prevail.

    A frontal trough extends from 31N47W to 24N61W and moderate to
    locally strong SW winds and seas of 6-10 ft are found east of the
    trough to 35W and north of 27N. A broad subtropical ridge extends
    southwestward from a 1025 mb high pressure in the far eastern
    Atlantic to the Bahamas. The pressure gradient between this ridge
    and lower pressures in the deep tropics results in moderate to
    fresh easterly winds and rough seas south of 22N and between
    Africa and Lesser Antilles. In the remainder of the basin,
    moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the winds and seas associated with
    the front off NE Florida will push eastward quickly today into
    Sun. The front will extend from near Bermuda to central Florida by
    early Sun morning and dissipate Sun evening. Looking ahead, a
    complex low pressure system and strong cold front will move
    through the northwestern tropical Atlantic by early next week,
    supporting widespread fresh to strong winds and building seas
    ahead of and behind the front Mon through Tue. Conditions will
    improve late Tue into Wed.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 05 Dec 2025 16:26:49 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 051626
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1130 AM EST FRI 05 DECEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 06/1100Z TO 07/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-005

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    08/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
    3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    09/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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