SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 27 Dec 2025 08:45:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 270845
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Dec 27 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Central Atlantic Significant Swell: A cold front extends from
31N48W to 27N67W. Large NW swell behind the front is producing 12
to 16 ft seas north of 28N between 49W and 63W. A reinforcing set
of large NW swell will move into the northern waters tonight to
maintain the area of rough to very rough seas.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N15W to 05N19W. The
ITCZ continues from 05N19W to 03N50W. Scattered moderate and
isolated strong convection is noted from 00N to 05N between 20W
and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure prevails across the Gulf waters, anchored by a 1019
mb high centered over the NE Gulf. Light to gentle winds are in
the vicinity of the high center, with gentle to moderate winds
elsewhere. Seas are in the 1-3 ft range.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support gentle to
moderate E to SE winds and slight to moderate seas across the
Gulf through late Sun. The next cold front is expected to enter
the northwest Gulf early Mon, followed by fresh to strong
northerly winds and rough seas, except gale conditions will be
possible in the far west central and southwest Gulf by Mon night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 6-8 ft, prevail over the south
central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 5-6 ft,
are in the north central Caribbean. Moderate winds, and seas of
4-5 ft prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between strong high pressure
across the western Atlantic and the Colombian low will support
fresh to strong winds off Colombia through mid week, with
moderate to fresh trade winds elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See the Special Features section above for details on the ongoing
significant swell.
A cold front extends from 31N48W to 27N67W. Scattered moderate and
isolated strong convection is N of 28N within 60 nm east of the
front. Fresh to strong winds are also within 60 nm east of the
front. Moderate to fresh winds prevail N of the front. Aside from
the very rough seas discussed above, rough seas greater than 8 ft
cover the waters N of 28N between 65W and 70W, and N of a line
from 20N65W to 18N56W to 30N35W. Rough seas of 8-9 ft are found S
of 10N between 35W and 45W. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or
weaker, with moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will move east of 55W
through early Sun. Large N swell following the front will mix
with earlier large swell still covering the area east of 65W.
Another cold front will move into the waters between northeast
Florida and Bermuda by late today, and move to the east of the
area by early Mon, leaving a trailing stationary front to
dissipate along 21N. Strong winds and additional large N swell
follow this front across waters east of 70W into early next week.
A third cold front will move off the northeast Florida coast Mon
night, and will reach from Bermuda to Jupiter Inlet, Florida by
late Tue, and from 31N60W to central Cuba by late Wed.
$$
AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 27 Dec 2025 08:45:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 270845
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Dec 27 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Central Atlantic Significant Swell: A cold front extends from
31N48W to 27N67W. Large NW swell behind the front is producing 12
to 16 ft seas north of 28N between 49W and 63W. A reinforcing set
of large NW swell will move into the northern waters tonight to
maintain the area of rough to very rough seas.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N15W to 05N19W. The
ITCZ continues from 05N19W to 03N50W. Scattered moderate and
isolated strong convection is noted from 00N to 05N between 20W
and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure prevails across the Gulf waters, anchored by a 1019
mb high centered over the NE Gulf. Light to gentle winds are in
the vicinity of the high center, with gentle to moderate winds
elsewhere. Seas are in the 1-3 ft range.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support gentle to
moderate E to SE winds and slight to moderate seas across the
Gulf through late Sun. The next cold front is expected to enter
the northwest Gulf early Mon, followed by fresh to strong
northerly winds and rough seas, except gale conditions will be
possible in the far west central and southwest Gulf by Mon night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 6-8 ft, prevail over the south
central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 5-6 ft,
are in the north central Caribbean. Moderate winds, and seas of
4-5 ft prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between strong high pressure
across the western Atlantic and the Colombian low will support
fresh to strong winds off Colombia through mid week, with
moderate to fresh trade winds elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See the Special Features section above for details on the ongoing
significant swell.
A cold front extends from 31N48W to 27N67W. Scattered moderate and
isolated strong convection is N of 28N within 60 nm east of the
front. Fresh to strong winds are also within 60 nm east of the
front. Moderate to fresh winds prevail N of the front. Aside from
the very rough seas discussed above, rough seas greater than 8 ft
cover the waters N of 28N between 65W and 70W, and N of a line
from 20N65W to 18N56W to 30N35W. Rough seas of 8-9 ft are found S
of 10N between 35W and 45W. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or
weaker, with moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will move east of 55W
through early Sun. Large N swell following the front will mix
with earlier large swell still covering the area east of 65W.
Another cold front will move into the waters between northeast
Florida and Bermuda by late today, and move to the east of the
area by early Mon, leaving a trailing stationary front to
dissipate along 21N. Strong winds and additional large N swell
follow this front across waters east of 70W into early next week.
A third cold front will move off the northeast Florida coast Mon
night, and will reach from Bermuda to Jupiter Inlet, Florida by
late Tue, and from 31N60W to central Cuba by late Wed.
$$
AL
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 27 Dec 2025 14:20:08 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 27 Dec 2025 13:47:11 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
046
NOUS42 KNHC 271347
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EST SAT 27 DECEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-027
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf