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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 07 Apr 2026 18:19:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 071819
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Apr 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1630 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning:
A stationary front extends southwestward from north of Bermuda
across 31N74W and central Florida to a low at the east-central
Gulf of America. Near-gale to gale-force NE to ENE winds are
found behind this front off northeastern Florida to near 78W. Seas
near these winds range from 10 to 12 ft. As the low starts
tracking east-northeastward tonight through Wednesday, it will
cause the front to sink southward and spread near-gale to strong
gale-force winds to off central Florida, and also eastward to near
70W. Seas are expected to peak at 14 to 18 ft under the strongest
winds. As the low begins to weaken Wed evening, both winds and
seas should gradually subside Wed night through Thu night.
East Atlantic Large Swell:
Large N swell behind a cold front is creating seas at 11 to 13 ft
north of 25N and east of 40W. These very rough seas are going to
shift southward through Thursday morning to as far south as 20N.
By late Thursday afternoon, the swell should decline enough to
allow seas to drop below 12 ft.
For both events above, please read the latest High Seas and
Offshore Waters Forecasts issued by the National Hurricane Center
at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more information
on the Gale Warning.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough stays mostly over Africa. To the south, an ITCZ
extends west-southwestward from east of southern Liberia at 03N14W
across 00N30W to near the Amazon Delta area. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is noted up to 140 m along either side
of the ITCZ east of 22W. Widely scattered moderate convection is
found up to 50 nm along either side of the rest of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends southwestward from near Sarasota,
Florida through a 1010 mb low near 26N84W to a 1012 mb low at
23N90W, then continues southward as a cold front to over the
Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
are seen up to 120 nm north and 60 nm south of the stationary
front. A surface trough reaches northwestward from the 1012 mb low
to southeast of Corpus Christi. Patchy showers are occurring near
the cold front and surface trough, and over the western Bay of
Campeche. Fresh to strong NE to ENE winds and 7 to 9 ft seas exist
north of the stationary front at the northeastern Gulf, including
the Florida Big Bend area. Moderate to fresh with locally strong
ENE winds and 6 to 8 ft seas are present at the north-central
Gulf. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft exist
across the southwestern Gulf, including the Bay of Campeche.
Gentle to moderate NW to N winds and seas at 2 to 5 ft prevail
for the rest of the Gulf.
For the forecast, fresh to strong winds and rough seas in the
southwestern Gulf will decrease today, but strong NE winds and
rough seas in the northeastern Gulf will increase as the low
tracks east along the slow-moving front and across Florida into
tonight. Thunderstorms with locally gusty winds can be expected
across the eastern Gulf ahead of the low. The front will then
stall into late week over the far southeastern Gulf and gradually
dissipate, leaving a tight pressure gradient between it and
building high pressure from the southeastern U.S. This will
maintain the strong winds and rough seas over the northeastern
Gulf much of the week, with near gale conditions possible Wed and
Thu offshore Florida. Conditions will begin to improve somewhat
Fri as the high pressure builds southwestward across the northern
Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The southwestern end of the Atlantic Ridge is supporting moderate
to fresh NE to E trades and seas of 6 to 8 ft across the eastern
and south-central basin. Gentle to moderate NNE to ESE winds and 3
to 5 ft seas exist at the southwestern basin. Light to gentle
winds and seas at 1 to 3 ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.
For the forecast, fresh to locally strong trades will prevail
over the central and eastern basin into Thu, with gentle to
moderate winds to the west. Strong high pressure will then build
southward from the western Atlantic, leading to increasing winds,
especially in the south-central basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features Section at the very beginning
about a Gale Warning.
A stationary front extends southwestward from north of Bermuda
across 31N74W and central Florida. Scattered heavy showers and
strong isolated thunderstorms are noted near and south of the
front to near 26N, including the northwest Bahamas. Farther
southeast, a surface trough is triggering scattered showers from
25N to 28N between 65W and 71W. A cold front curves west-
southwestward from near the Canary Islands to 25N43W. Patchy
showers are evident up to 50 nm along either side of the front.
Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for additional convection
in the Atlantic Basin.
Outside the Gale Warning area, fresh to strong NE winds and seas
at 8 to 10 ft are evident behind the aforementioned stationary
front. Southeast of this front to near the Turks and Caicos
Islands and 70W, gentle to moderate E to SE winds and 5 to 7 ft
seas exist. For the rest of the western Atlantic north of 00Z
between 50W and 70W/Lesser Antilles, gentle to moderate with
locally fresh E to SE winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft in mixed
moderate to large swells dominate. For the remainder of the
Atlantic west of 35W outside the significant N swell mentioned in
the Special Features section, moderate to fresh NE to E winds and
7 to 11 ft seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will drift
southeastward tonight, then stall through much of the week along
a Bermuda to Florida Straits line. Low pressure will track east-
northeastward along the boundary from the Florida Peninsula
tonight to north of the area near Bermuda Thu. Thunderstorms with
gusty winds will accompany this low pressure. The pressure
gradient between strong high pressure and the front is supporting
NE gales offshore northeastern Florida. These gales will spread
east to about 73W, mainly north of 28N, through Wed night, before
gradually ending as the low pressure moves north of the area.
Very rough seas of 16 to 18 ft will be generated by these gales,
and rough seas in N swell will impact a much larger area through
the end of the week. The front is likely to linger over the basin
into the weekend, so marine conditions could be slow to improve.
$$
Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 07 Apr 2026 18:19:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 071819
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Apr 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1630 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning:
A stationary front extends southwestward from north of Bermuda
across 31N74W and central Florida to a low at the east-central
Gulf of America. Near-gale to gale-force NE to ENE winds are
found behind this front off northeastern Florida to near 78W. Seas
near these winds range from 10 to 12 ft. As the low starts
tracking east-northeastward tonight through Wednesday, it will
cause the front to sink southward and spread near-gale to strong
gale-force winds to off central Florida, and also eastward to near
70W. Seas are expected to peak at 14 to 18 ft under the strongest
winds. As the low begins to weaken Wed evening, both winds and
seas should gradually subside Wed night through Thu night.
East Atlantic Large Swell:
Large N swell behind a cold front is creating seas at 11 to 13 ft
north of 25N and east of 40W. These very rough seas are going to
shift southward through Thursday morning to as far south as 20N.
By late Thursday afternoon, the swell should decline enough to
allow seas to drop below 12 ft.
For both events above, please read the latest High Seas and
Offshore Waters Forecasts issued by the National Hurricane Center
at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more information
on the Gale Warning.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough stays mostly over Africa. To the south, an ITCZ
extends west-southwestward from east of southern Liberia at 03N14W
across 00N30W to near the Amazon Delta area. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is noted up to 140 m along either side
of the ITCZ east of 22W. Widely scattered moderate convection is
found up to 50 nm along either side of the rest of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends southwestward from near Sarasota,
Florida through a 1010 mb low near 26N84W to a 1012 mb low at
23N90W, then continues southward as a cold front to over the
Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
are seen up to 120 nm north and 60 nm south of the stationary
front. A surface trough reaches northwestward from the 1012 mb low
to southeast of Corpus Christi. Patchy showers are occurring near
the cold front and surface trough, and over the western Bay of
Campeche. Fresh to strong NE to ENE winds and 7 to 9 ft seas exist
north of the stationary front at the northeastern Gulf, including
the Florida Big Bend area. Moderate to fresh with locally strong
ENE winds and 6 to 8 ft seas are present at the north-central
Gulf. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft exist
across the southwestern Gulf, including the Bay of Campeche.
Gentle to moderate NW to N winds and seas at 2 to 5 ft prevail
for the rest of the Gulf.
For the forecast, fresh to strong winds and rough seas in the
southwestern Gulf will decrease today, but strong NE winds and
rough seas in the northeastern Gulf will increase as the low
tracks east along the slow-moving front and across Florida into
tonight. Thunderstorms with locally gusty winds can be expected
across the eastern Gulf ahead of the low. The front will then
stall into late week over the far southeastern Gulf and gradually
dissipate, leaving a tight pressure gradient between it and
building high pressure from the southeastern U.S. This will
maintain the strong winds and rough seas over the northeastern
Gulf much of the week, with near gale conditions possible Wed and
Thu offshore Florida. Conditions will begin to improve somewhat
Fri as the high pressure builds southwestward across the northern
Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The southwestern end of the Atlantic Ridge is supporting moderate
to fresh NE to E trades and seas of 6 to 8 ft across the eastern
and south-central basin. Gentle to moderate NNE to ESE winds and 3
to 5 ft seas exist at the southwestern basin. Light to gentle
winds and seas at 1 to 3 ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.
For the forecast, fresh to locally strong trades will prevail
over the central and eastern basin into Thu, with gentle to
moderate winds to the west. Strong high pressure will then build
southward from the western Atlantic, leading to increasing winds,
especially in the south-central basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features Section at the very beginning
about a Gale Warning.
A stationary front extends southwestward from north of Bermuda
across 31N74W and central Florida. Scattered heavy showers and
strong isolated thunderstorms are noted near and south of the
front to near 26N, including the northwest Bahamas. Farther
southeast, a surface trough is triggering scattered showers from
25N to 28N between 65W and 71W. A cold front curves west-
southwestward from near the Canary Islands to 25N43W. Patchy
showers are evident up to 50 nm along either side of the front.
Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for additional convection
in the Atlantic Basin.
Outside the Gale Warning area, fresh to strong NE winds and seas
at 8 to 10 ft are evident behind the aforementioned stationary
front. Southeast of this front to near the Turks and Caicos
Islands and 70W, gentle to moderate E to SE winds and 5 to 7 ft
seas exist. For the rest of the western Atlantic north of 00Z
between 50W and 70W/Lesser Antilles, gentle to moderate with
locally fresh E to SE winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft in mixed
moderate to large swells dominate. For the remainder of the
Atlantic west of 35W outside the significant N swell mentioned in
the Special Features section, moderate to fresh NE to E winds and
7 to 11 ft seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will drift
southeastward tonight, then stall through much of the week along
a Bermuda to Florida Straits line. Low pressure will track east-
northeastward along the boundary from the Florida Peninsula
tonight to north of the area near Bermuda Thu. Thunderstorms with
gusty winds will accompany this low pressure. The pressure
gradient between strong high pressure and the front is supporting
NE gales offshore northeastern Florida. These gales will spread
east to about 73W, mainly north of 28N, through Wed night, before
gradually ending as the low pressure moves north of the area.
Very rough seas of 16 to 18 ft will be generated by these gales,
and rough seas in N swell will impact a much larger area through
the end of the week. The front is likely to linger over the basin
into the weekend, so marine conditions could be slow to improve.
$$
Chan
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 07 Apr 2026 20:11:34 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf