SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 25 May 2025 10:27:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
333 <br />AXNT20 KNHC 251026<br />TWDAT <br /><br />Tropical Weather Discussion<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />1215 UTC Sun May 25 2025<br /><br />Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America<br />Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South<br />America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the<br />Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite<br />imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.<br /><br />Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through <br />1020 UTC.<br /><br />...TROPICAL WAVES...<br /><br />A tropical wave is southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands extending <br />from 01N to 14N with axis near 29W, moving west near 5-10 kt. <br />Scattered moderate convection is seen from 04N to 09N between 27W <br />and 32W. <br /><br />A tropical wave is east of the Lesser Antilles extending S of 15N<br />with axis near 58W, moving west at 15 to 20 kt. Numerous moderate<br />to isolated strong convection is noted from 06N to 10N between <br />54W and 61W.<br /><br />...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... <br /><br />The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of W Africa<br />near 12N16W and runs southwestward to 08N22W. The ITCZ continues <br />westward from 08N22W to 06N27W then resumes W of a tropical wave<br />from 06N30W to 05N52W. Scattered moderate convection is from 01N<br />to 07N between 13W and 22W. <br /><br />The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering <br />numerous moderate to strong convection along with thunderstorms <br />across the Costa Rica and northern Panama offshore waters.<br /><br />...GULF OF AMERICA...<br /><br />A surface ridge extends southwestward from a 1021 mb high at the <br />east-central Gulf to south of Tampico, Mexico. Light to gentle <br />winds and seas of 1 to 2 ft are present across the northeastern <br />and east-central Gulf. Moderate to fresh SE winds and 3 to 5 ft <br />seas are found W of 88W. Gentle to moderate trades with seas at 2<br />to 3 ft prevail for the SE Gulf, including the Florida Straits.<br /><br />For the forecast, high pressure will develop across the NE Gulf <br />through mid-week, supporting moderate to fresh SE wind across the <br />western half of the Gulf. Fresh NE to E winds will pulse along and<br />just north of the Yucatan Peninsula each afternoon and evening <br />through Thu night as a trough develops inland daily and then <br />drifts westward to the Bay of Campeche at night. Smoke from <br />agricultural fires in SE Mexico are expected to maintain hazy sky <br />conditions across the Bay of Campeche and western Gulf through <br />early next weekend. <br /><br />...CARIBBEAN SEA... <br /><br />A broad surface ridge across the subtropical Atlantic waters is <br />supporting trade winds across the entire Caribbean Sea. Fresh to <br />strong with locally near-gale ENE winds and seas of 8 to 11 ft <br />are evident at the south-central basin. Mostly fresh ENE to E <br />winds with 5 to 8 ft seas are noted at the north-central basin. <br />Fresh to strong E winds and seas of 4 to 5 ft dominate the Gulf <br />of Honduras. Moderate or weaker winds are elsewhere in the <br />Caribbean Basin, including the Windward Passage.<br /><br />For the forecast, high pressure north of the region will continue<br />to support fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas to 10 ft <br />in the central and portions of the SW Caribbean through Thu night.<br />Winds will likely pulse to near gale force off Colombia at night <br />through Sun. Moderate to fresh trades are forecast for the <br />majority of the remainder basin, except for pulsing fresh to <br />strong winds in the Gulf of Honduras at night. A tropical wave <br />will enter the eastern Caribbean today, and will continue to <br />enhance the winds and seas over the tropical Atlantic waters <br />mainly east of the Windward Islands through Mon. The wave is <br />forecast to move across Puerto Rico today and across Hispaniola <br />Mon.<br /><br />...ATLANTIC OCEAN...<br /><br />The Atlantic sub-tropical ridge extends southwestward from a pair<br />of 1030 mb highs to beyond central Florida. This feature is <br />supporting moderate to fresh easterlies S of 23N between 41W and<br />75W. Moderate or weaker winds are elsewhere in the subtropical<br />waters. Over the western tropical waters, the passage of a<br />tropical wave is supporting fresh trades and rough seas to 9 ft<br />between 40W and the Lesser Antilles. <br /><br />For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic subtropical ridge will<br />persist from east to west along roughly 28N through Thu night, <br />supporting moderate to fresh winds south of 25N, except for <br />locally strong winds just north of Hispaniola pulsing tonight. <br />Otherwise, a series of weak frontal troughs will sweep eastward <br />across the waters north of the ridge and between northeast Florida<br />and Bermuda through early next week. <br /><br />$$<br />Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 25 May 2025 10:27:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
333 <br />AXNT20 KNHC 251026<br />TWDAT <br /><br />Tropical Weather Discussion<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />1215 UTC Sun May 25 2025<br /><br />Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America<br />Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South<br />America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the<br />Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite<br />imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.<br /><br />Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through <br />1020 UTC.<br /><br />...TROPICAL WAVES...<br /><br />A tropical wave is southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands extending <br />from 01N to 14N with axis near 29W, moving west near 5-10 kt. <br />Scattered moderate convection is seen from 04N to 09N between 27W <br />and 32W. <br /><br />A tropical wave is east of the Lesser Antilles extending S of 15N<br />with axis near 58W, moving west at 15 to 20 kt. Numerous moderate<br />to isolated strong convection is noted from 06N to 10N between <br />54W and 61W.<br /><br />...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... <br /><br />The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of W Africa<br />near 12N16W and runs southwestward to 08N22W. The ITCZ continues <br />westward from 08N22W to 06N27W then resumes W of a tropical wave<br />from 06N30W to 05N52W. Scattered moderate convection is from 01N<br />to 07N between 13W and 22W. <br /><br />The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering <br />numerous moderate to strong convection along with thunderstorms <br />across the Costa Rica and northern Panama offshore waters.<br /><br />...GULF OF AMERICA...<br /><br />A surface ridge extends southwestward from a 1021 mb high at the <br />east-central Gulf to south of Tampico, Mexico. Light to gentle <br />winds and seas of 1 to 2 ft are present across the northeastern <br />and east-central Gulf. Moderate to fresh SE winds and 3 to 5 ft <br />seas are found W of 88W. Gentle to moderate trades with seas at 2<br />to 3 ft prevail for the SE Gulf, including the Florida Straits.<br /><br />For the forecast, high pressure will develop across the NE Gulf <br />through mid-week, supporting moderate to fresh SE wind across the <br />western half of the Gulf. Fresh NE to E winds will pulse along and<br />just north of the Yucatan Peninsula each afternoon and evening <br />through Thu night as a trough develops inland daily and then <br />drifts westward to the Bay of Campeche at night. Smoke from <br />agricultural fires in SE Mexico are expected to maintain hazy sky <br />conditions across the Bay of Campeche and western Gulf through <br />early next weekend. <br /><br />...CARIBBEAN SEA... <br /><br />A broad surface ridge across the subtropical Atlantic waters is <br />supporting trade winds across the entire Caribbean Sea. Fresh to <br />strong with locally near-gale ENE winds and seas of 8 to 11 ft <br />are evident at the south-central basin. Mostly fresh ENE to E <br />winds with 5 to 8 ft seas are noted at the north-central basin. <br />Fresh to strong E winds and seas of 4 to 5 ft dominate the Gulf <br />of Honduras. Moderate or weaker winds are elsewhere in the <br />Caribbean Basin, including the Windward Passage.<br /><br />For the forecast, high pressure north of the region will continue<br />to support fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas to 10 ft <br />in the central and portions of the SW Caribbean through Thu night.<br />Winds will likely pulse to near gale force off Colombia at night <br />through Sun. Moderate to fresh trades are forecast for the <br />majority of the remainder basin, except for pulsing fresh to <br />strong winds in the Gulf of Honduras at night. A tropical wave <br />will enter the eastern Caribbean today, and will continue to <br />enhance the winds and seas over the tropical Atlantic waters <br />mainly east of the Windward Islands through Mon. The wave is <br />forecast to move across Puerto Rico today and across Hispaniola <br />Mon.<br /><br />...ATLANTIC OCEAN...<br /><br />The Atlantic sub-tropical ridge extends southwestward from a pair<br />of 1030 mb highs to beyond central Florida. This feature is <br />supporting moderate to fresh easterlies S of 23N between 41W and<br />75W. Moderate or weaker winds are elsewhere in the subtropical<br />waters. Over the western tropical waters, the passage of a<br />tropical wave is supporting fresh trades and rough seas to 9 ft<br />between 40W and the Lesser Antilles. <br /><br />For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic subtropical ridge will<br />persist from east to west along roughly 28N through Thu night, <br />supporting moderate to fresh winds south of 25N, except for <br />locally strong winds just north of Hispaniola pulsing tonight. <br />Otherwise, a series of weak frontal troughs will sweep eastward <br />across the waters north of the ridge and between northeast Florida<br />and Bermuda through early next week. <br /><br />$$<br />Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 26 May 2025 23:40:53 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 25 May 2025 14:30:06 GMT - Sun, 25 May 2025 11:40:53 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 251140
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun May 25 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 31 Mar 2025 20:15:38 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
502 <br />NOUS42 KNHC 312015<br />REPRPD<br />WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS<br />CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.<br />0415 PM EDT MON 31 MARCH 2025<br />SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)<br /> VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2025<br /> WSPOD NUMBER.....24-121<br /><br />SECOND TEST RETRANSMISSION<br /><br />I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS<br /> 1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.<br /> 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.<br /><br />NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS<br /> DICTATE OTHERWISE.<br /><br />$$<br />SEF<br /><br />NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf