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Track The Tropics has been the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7 since 2013! The main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2021 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season had a record breaking 30 named storms this season, 13 developed into hurricanes, and six further intensified into major hurricanes!

2020 Season Storms...
Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine ,Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred, Alpha , Beta , Gamma , Delta , Epsilon , Zeta , Eta and Iota!!!! WHAT A SEASON #2020!!!!
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale
Category Wind Speed Storm Surge
  mph ft
5 ≥157 >18
4 130–156 13–18
3 111–129 9–12
2 96–110 6–8
1 74–95 4–5
Additional Classifications
Tropical Storm 39–73 0–3
Tropical Depression 0–38 0
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a classification used for most Western Hemisphere tropical cyclones that exceed the intensities of "tropical depressions" and "tropical storms", and thereby become hurricanes. Source: Intellicast

Hurricane Season 101

The official Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season runs from June 1st to November 30th. A tropical cyclone is a warm-core, low pressure system without any “front” attached. It develops over tropical or subtropical waters, and has an organized circulation. Depending upon location, tropical cyclones have different names around the world. The Tropical Cyclones we track in the Atlantic basin are called Tropical Depressions, Tropical Storms and Hurricanes! Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones are classified as follows: Tropical Depression: Organized system of clouds and thunderstorms with defined surface circulation and max sustained winds of 38 mph or less. Tropical Storm: Organized system of strong thunderstorms with a defined surface circulation and maximum sustained winds of 39-73 mph. Hurricane: Intense tropical weather system of strong thunderstorms with a well-defined surface circulation. A Hurricane has max sustained winds of 74 mph or higher!

The difference between Tropical Storm and Hurricane Watches, Warnings, Advisories and Outlooks

Warnings:Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials.Evacuate immediately if told to do so.
  • Storm Surge Warning: There is a danger of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area. This is generally within 36 hours. If you are under a storm surge warning, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Warning: Hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are expected somewhere within the specified area. NHC issues a hurricane warning 36 hours in advance of tropical storm-force winds to give you time to complete your preparations. All preparations should be complete. Evacuate immediately if so ordered.
  • Tropical Storm Warning: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are expected within your area within 36 hours.
  • Extreme Wind Warning: Extreme sustained winds of a major hurricane (115 mph or greater), usually associated with the eyewall, are expected to begin within an hour. Take immediate shelter in the interior portion of a well-built structure.
Please note that hurricane and tropical storm watches and warnings for winds on land as well as storm surge watches and warnings can be issued for storms that the NWS believes will become tropical cyclones but have not yet attained all of the characteristics of a tropical cyclone (i.e., a closed low-level circulation, sustained thunderstorm activity, etc.). In these cases, the forecast conditions on land warrant alerting the public. These storms are referred to as “potential tropical cyclones” by the NWS. Hurricane, tropical storm, and storm surge watches and warnings can also be issued for storms that have lost some or all of their tropical cyclone characteristics, but continue to produce dangerous conditions. These storms are called “post-tropical cyclones” by the NWS. Watches: Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials. Evacuate if told to do so.
  • Storm Surge Watch: Storm here is a possibility of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area, generally within 48 hours. If you are under a storm surge watch, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Watch: Huriricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are possible within your area. Because it may not be safe to prepare for a hurricane once winds reach tropical storm force, The NHC issues hurricane watches 48 hours before it anticipates tropical storm-force winds.
  • Tropical Storm Watch: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are possible within the specified area within 48 hours.
Advisories:
  • Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory:The Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory contains a list of all current coastal watches and warnings associated with an ongoing or potential tropical cyclone, a post-tropical cyclone, or a subtropical cyclone. It also provides the cyclone position, maximum sustained winds, current motion, and a description of the hazards associated with the storm.
  • Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Cone:This graphic shows areas under tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings, the current position of the center of the storm, and its predicted track. Forecast uncertainty is conveyed on the graphic by a “cone” (white and stippled areas) drawn such that the center of the storm will remain within the cone about 60 to 70 percent of the time. Remember, the effects of a tropical cyclone can span hundreds of miles. Areas well outside of the cone often experience hazards such as tornadoes or inland flooding from heavy rain.
Outlooks:
  • Tropical Weather Outlook:The Tropical Weather Outlook is a discussion of significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for development during the next 5 days. The Outlook includes a categorical forecast of the probability of tropical cyclone formation during the first 48 hours and during the entire 5-day forecast period. You can also find graphical versions of the 2-day and 5-day Outlook here
Be sure to read up on tons of more information on Hurricane knowledge, preparedness, statistics and history under the menu on the left hand side of the page! Here are your 2020 Hurricane Season Names: Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine ,Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky and Wilfred!!!

CONUS Hurricane Strikes

1950-2017
[Map of 1950-2017 CONUS Hurricane Strikes]
Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total MAJOR Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Major Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Major Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Major Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Hurricane Strikes SE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Major Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Hurricane Strikes NE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Major Hurricane Strikes

Tracking Delta – 2020 Hurricane Season

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ATTENTION: The NHC has issued it's last advisory on Delta as of 10-10-2020. All Graphics and Information on this page will eventually cease to update.

NHC Important Links:
NHC Discussion / NHC Public Advisory / NHC Forecast / Wind Probs / Storm Archive
Important LOCAL Links:
NWS Lake Charles, Louisiana / NWS New Orleans/ Baton Rouge / Loops of Laura / Power Outages
Storm Tracking Important Links:
FSU Track Probability - NOAA Tracker - Albany Tracker - Navy NRL Page - HFIP Products - TropicalAtlantic Tracker - NCAR Guidance Page - CyclonicWX Tracker Products - CIMSS Tracker - TropicalTidbits Tracker - UWM Tracker - SFWMD Models

Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Zoomed In Watches and Warnings
Projected Path with Watches and Warnings Additional Projected Path Swath
Additional Projected Path Swath Track with Current Water Temps
Additional Projected Path Swath Additional Projected Path Swath
Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Hurricane Force Wind Probabilities Hurricane Force Wind Probabilities Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities
Past Track History Past Track History
NOAA Delta NESDIS Floaters
Floater
Floater
Other Floaters:
TropicalTidbits - WeatherNerds - GOES16
Peak Storm Surge Forecast
 Peak Storm Surge Forecast
Peak Storm Surge Forecast
 Peak Storm Surge Forecast
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map (Inundation)
Additional Potential Storm Surge Map
Rainfall Forecast
13L
Rainfall Forecast
19L
5 Day WPC Rainfall Forecast
13L
24 hour - 7 Day
Flash Flood Potential
13L
Power Outage Potential
Power Outages
LIVE Power Outage Map
Power Outages
SPC Watches and Warnings
Power Outages
Surface Wind Field Surface Wind Field Cumulative Wind History Cumulative Wind History Top Analog Tracks Top Analog Tracks
Windfield
Windfield
Microwave Imagery
Microwave Imagery
Radar Loops Near Delta
Radar Loops Near Beta
Archived Loops of Laura
Delta Key Messages
Storm Recon
Delta Current Wind Field
Radar Loops Current Wind Readings Around Delta
Radar Loops Delta Current Satellite
Radar Loops Delta Current Water Vapor
Radar Loops
Intensity Forecasts Intensity Forecasts Model Tracks Model Tracks Model Tracks Model Tracks GFS / Canadian Ensemble Tracks GFS / Canadian Ensemble Tracks
EURO Ensemble Tracks EURO/GFS Ensembles from WeatherNerds
EPS Ensemble Tracks
NHC Public Advisory on Delta
NHC Forecast Advisory on Delta
  • Wed, 18 Nov 2020 14:40:32 +0000: Atlantic Remnants of IOTA Forecast/Advisory Number... - Atlantic Remnants of IOTA Forecast/Advisory Number 21 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL312020 1500 UTC WED NOV 18 2020 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 89.5W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 89.5W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 89.0W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 89.5W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/Advisory ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS, PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER PASCH

    000
    WTNT21 KNHC 181440
    TCMAT1

    REMNANTS OF IOTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL312020
    1500 UTC WED NOV 18 2020

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

    REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 89.5W AT 18/1500Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 89.5W AT 18/1500Z
    AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 89.0W

    FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 89.5W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS,
    PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
    SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.

    $$
    FORECASTER PASCH


NHC Discussion on Delta
  • Sat, 10 Oct 2020 14:41:57 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Depression Delta Discussion Number 24 - Atlantic Tropical Depression Delta Discussion Number 24

    000
    WTNT41 KNHC 101441
    TCDAT1

    Tropical Depression Delta Discussion Number 24
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020
    1000 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020

    Surface observations, Doppler radar data, and satellite imagery
    indicate that Delta has continued to weaken as it moves from
    northeastern Louisiana into western Mississippi. There are no
    recent surface observations of sustained tropical-storm-force
    winds in the areas where the radar data show the strongest winds
    are occurring, so based on this the initial intensity is reduced to
    30 kt. It should be noted that wind gusts to tropical-storm force
    are still occurring over portions of northern Mississippi and
    southeastern Arkansas, and these should continue through this
    afternoon.

    The initial motion is now northeastward or 035/14. The flow
    between a mid-to upper-level ridge over the Gulf of Mexico and the
    mid-latitude westerlies over the United States should steer Delta
    or its remnants generally northeastward until the system
    dissipates. The new forecast track has only minor adjustments from
    the previous forecast, and it lies near the consensus models.

    Continued weakening is expected, and Delta is forecast to
    degenerate to a remnant low pressure area in about 24 h. The
    global models are in good agreement that the cyclone should weaken
    to a trough between 48-60 h, and the intensity forecast follows
    this scenario.

    This is the last advisory on Delta issued by the National Hurricane
    Center. Future information on this system can be found in Public
    Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at
    4 PM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT1, WMO header WTNT31 KWNH, and on
    the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov.

    Key Messages:

    1. Water levels will continue to subside today along the
    Louisiana coast. Consult products issued by your local National
    Weather Service forecast office for additional information.

    2. Tropical-storm-force wind gusts will persist for a few more
    hours over portions of northern Mississippi and southeastern
    Arkansas.

    3. Heavy rainfall will lead to flash flooding and minor river
    flooding across portions of the Lower Mississippi and Tennessee
    Valleys today, and into the Southern Appalachians through Sunday.
    Minor to major river flooding will continue across portions of
    Louisiana and Mississippi though much of next week.


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 10/1500Z 33.1N 90.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
    12H 11/0000Z 34.1N 89.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
    24H 11/1200Z 35.5N 87.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    36H 12/0000Z 37.5N 84.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    48H 12/1200Z 39.7N 82.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    60H 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Beven

2 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
5 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 5 Day GTWO graphic

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