2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale
Category Wind Speed (mph) Storm Surge (ft)
5 ≥157 >18
4 130–156 13–18
3 111–129 9–12
2 96–110 6–8
1 74–95 4–5
Additional Classifications
Tropical Storm 39–73 0–3
Tropical Depression 0–38 0
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a classification used for most Western Hemisphere tropical cyclones that exceed the intensities of "tropical depressions" and "tropical storms", and thereby become hurricanes. Source: Intellicast

Hurricane Season 101

The official Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season runs from June 1st to November 30th. A tropical cyclone is a warm-core, low pressure system without any “front” attached. It develops over tropical or subtropical waters, and has an organized circulation. Depending upon location, tropical cyclones have different names around the world. The Tropical Cyclones we track in the Atlantic basin are called Tropical Depressions, Tropical Storms and Hurricanes! Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones are classified as follows: Tropical Depression: Organized system of clouds and thunderstorms with defined surface circulation and max sustained winds of 38 mph or less. Tropical Storm: Organized system of strong thunderstorms with a defined surface circulation and maximum sustained winds of 39-73 mph. Hurricane: Intense tropical weather system of strong thunderstorms with a well-defined surface circulation. A Hurricane has max sustained winds of 74 mph or higher!

The difference between Tropical Storm and Hurricane Watches, Warnings, Advisories and Outlooks

Warnings: Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials. Evacuate immediately if told to do so. Please note that hurricane and tropical storm watches and warnings for winds on land as well as storm surge watches and warnings can be issued for storms that the NWS believes will become tropical cyclones but have not yet attained all of the characteristics of a tropical cyclone (i.e., a closed low-level circulation, sustained thunderstorm activity, etc.). In these cases, the forecast conditions on land warrant alerting the public. These storms are referred to as “potential tropical cyclones” by the NWS. Hurricane, tropical storm, and storm surge watches and warnings can also be issued for storms that have lost some or all of their tropical cyclone characteristics, but continue to produce dangerous conditions. These storms are called “post-tropical cyclones” by the NWS.

Watches: Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials. Evacuate if told to do so. Advisories: Outlooks: Be sure to read up on tons of more information on Hurricane knowledge, preparedness, statistics and history under the menu on the left hand side of the page!

CONUS Hurricane Strikes

1950-2017
[Map of 1950-2017 CONUS Hurricane Strikes]

Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010

Total MAJOR Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Major Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010

Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes

Western Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Major Hurricane Strikes

Eastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes

Eastern Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Major Hurricane Strikes

SE Coast Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Hurricane Strikes

SE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Major Hurricane Strikes

NE Coast Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Hurricane Strikes

NE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Major Hurricane Strikes

Tracking Beryl- 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season

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NHC Public Advisory on Beryl
  • Mon, 04 Nov 2024 14:39:55 +0000: Atlantic Remnants Of Patty Advisory Number 10 - Atlantic Remnants Of Patty Advisory Number 10

    000
    WTNT32 KNHC 041439
    TCPAT2

    BULLETIN
    Remnants Of Patty Advisory Number 10
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172024
    300 PM GMT Mon Nov 04 2024

    ...PATTY DISSIPATES OVER THE NORTHEASTERN ATLANTIC...
    ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


    SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...38.5N 16.2W
    ABOUT 585 MI...945 KM E OF THE AZORES
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the remnants of Patty were located near
    latitude 38.5 North, longitude 16.2 West. The remnants are moving
    toward the east-northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h).

    Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL: Between late today and Tuesday, the remnants of Patty
    are expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75
    millimeters) with local amounts to 5 inches (125 millimeters) across
    portions of Portugal and western Spain.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
    found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header
    FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at
    wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/display/2

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly

NHC Forecast Advisory on Beryl
  • Mon, 04 Nov 2024 14:39:25 +0000: Atlantic Remnants of PATTY Forecast/Advisory Numbe... - Atlantic Remnants of PATTY Forecast/Advisory Number 10 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL172024 1500 UTC MON NOV 04 2024 REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 16.2W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 240SE 300SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 16.2W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 17.1W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.5N 16.2W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/Advisory ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO FRANCE...UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW. $$ FORECASTER KELLY

    000
    WTNT22 KNHC 041439
    TCMAT2

    REMNANTS OF PATTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172024
    1500 UTC MON NOV 04 2024

    REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 16.2W AT 04/1500Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 15 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
    12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 240SE 300SW 90NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 16.2W AT 04/1500Z
    AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 17.1W

    FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.5N 16.2W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
    FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO FRANCE...UNDER WMO
    HEADER FQNT50 LFPW.

    $$
    FORECASTER KELLY


NHC Discussion on Beryl
  • Mon, 04 Nov 2024 14:40:25 +0000: Atlantic Remnants Of Patty Discussion Number 10 - Atlantic Remnants Of Patty Discussion Number 10

    000
    WTNT42 KNHC 041440
    TCDAT2

    Remnants Of Patty Discussion Number 10
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172024
    300 PM GMT Mon Nov 04 2024

    Satellite images and satellite derived wind data indicate that the
    low-level center of Patty has become elongated, and opened into a
    trough over the northeastern Atlantic. Therefore, the system is no
    longer a tropical cyclone, and this is the last NHC advisory.

    The remnants of Patty will turn toward the east-northeast later
    today. Between tonight and Tuesday, heavy rainfall across portions
    of Portugal and western Spain is possible from the remnants of
    Patty.

    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
    found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO
    header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at
    wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/display/2

    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 04/1500Z 38.5N 16.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
    12H 05/0000Z...Dissipated

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly

2 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic
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