2024 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

• Sat, 30 Nov 2024 23:31:37 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  
  000
  ABNT20 KNHC 302331
  TWOAT
  
  Tropical Weather Outlook
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  700 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2024
  
  For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
  
  Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
  
  This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
  the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the
  Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2025. During the
  off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
  conditions warrant.
  
  $$
  Forecaster Beven
  
  

• Sun, 12 Jan 2025 12:08:58 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
  
  965
  AXNT20 KNHC 121208
  TWDAT
  
  Tropical Weather Discussion
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  1215 UTC Sun Jan 12 2025
  
  Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
  Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
  America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
  Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
  imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
  
  Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
  0900 UTC.
  
  ...SPECIAL FEATURES...
  
  Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front extends from 31N62W to
  23N80W. Gale force winds are noted N of 29N and east of the front
  to 54W, where rough to very rough seas prevail. The front will
  shift eastward today, with gale force winds within 60 nm east of
  the front and N of 28N. Winds will diminish below gale force
  tonight.
  
  Atlantic Significant Swell Event: Two sets of large long-period
  northwest swell are impacting the discussion waters, producing
  rough to very rough seas. Seas 12 ft or greater associated to the
  first swell cover the waters N of a line from 17N52W to 30N30W,
  while seas 12 ft or greater associated to the other swell cover
  the waters N of 27N between 52W and 73W. Seas are now peaking
  near 18 ft north of 30N between 65W and 70W. Seas associated to
  the first swell will subside below 12 ft today, while the second
  swell spreads SE through the middle of the week before subsiding.
  
  Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
  National Hurricane Center at the website:
  https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, for more details.
  
  ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
  
  The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 05N10W to
  04N13W. The ITCZ continues from 04N13W to 01N32W. Scattered
  moderate convection is observed from 04N to 08N between 12W and
  19W.
  
  GULF OF MEXICO...
  
  High pressure prevails over the Gulf of Mexico. Moderate to fresh
  winds are over the far western Gulf, with moderate winds N and W
  of the Yucatan peninsula. Light to gentle anticyclonic wind flow
  prevails over the remainder of the Gulf. Seas are in the 4-7 ft
  range over the waters SE of a line from central Florida to
  Tampico, Mexico, and 2-4 ft elsewhere.
  
  For the forecast, a cold front will move into the Gulf early this
  week followed by strong winds and rough seas, possibly reaching
  near- gale off the coast of Veracruz, Mexico Mon night.
  
  CARIBBEAN SEA...
  
  Fresh to strong winds prevail over the south central Caribbean,
  with gentle to moderate winds over the north central Caribbean and
  eastern Caribbean. Seas over these waters are in the 4-7 ft
  range. Gentle winds, and seas of 2-4 ft, prevail over the western
  Caribbean.
  
  For the forecast, large long- period northerly swell moving
  through the Atlantic passages into the northeast Caribbean and the
  Atlantic waters east of the Leeward and Windward Islands will
  subside late tonight through early Mon. Meanwhile, high pressure
  building across the western Atlantic will maintain moderate to
  fresh trade winds over the eastern and south- central Caribbean,
  with strong winds pulsing off Colombia through the middle of next
  week.
  
  ATLANTIC OCEAN...
  
  Please refer to SPECIAL FEATURES above for more on a gale and a
  significant swell in the ATLC waters.
  
  A cold front extends from 31N62W to 23N80W. Aside from the area of
  gale force winds, fresh to near gale force winds are over the
  waters N of a line from 30N72W to 25N63W to 30N48W. Farther east,
  another cold front extends from 31N31W to 16N58W, with little
  impact on winds. Aside from the winds described above, mainly
  light to gentle winds are west of the front; with light to gentle
  winds within 60 nm east of the front. Moderate to fresh winds are
  noted elsewhere. Aside from the area of 12 ft seas discussed in
  the Special Features section, seas 8 ft or greater are over the
  waters W of a line from 31N24W to 10N56W. The exception is within
  120 nm NE of the central and southern Bahamas where seas of 5-7 ft
  prevail. Otherwise, seas are in the 6-7 ft range.
  
  For the forecast W of 55W, the front will reach from 31N55W to
  the Straits of Florida today, before stalling and dissipating
  along roughly 21N late tonight into Mon. The gale force winds and
  rough seas will impact the waters north of 28N in the vicinity of
  the front today. These winds and seas will decrease as high
  pressure builds over the basin into Mon. A reinforcing front will
  move into the waters off northeast Florida Tue, and reach from
  Bermuda to South Florida Wed.
  
  $$
  AL
  
  

• Mon, 02 Dec 2024 11:31:37 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
  The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.

• Sat, 11 Jan 2025 17:01:58 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
  

   
   000
   NOUS42 KNHC 111701
   REPRPD
   WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
   CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
   1200 PM EST SAT 11 JANUARY 2025
   SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
            VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z JANUARY 2025
            WSPOD NUMBER.....24-042
   
   I.  ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
       1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
       2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
   
   II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
       1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
       2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
   
   $$
   AOM/WJM
   
   NNNN
   

• Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
  
  000
  AGXX40 KNHC 171522
  MIMATS
  
  Marine Weather Discussion
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
  
  Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
  and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
  and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
  
  This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
  Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
  Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
  
  ...GULF OF MEXICO...
  
  High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
  the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
  week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
  basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
  Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
  Plains.
  
  ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
  55W AND 64W...
  
  A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
  diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
  will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
  pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
  
  ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
  
  A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
  will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
  drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
  pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
  an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
  with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
  
  $$
  
  .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
  coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
  telephone:
  
  .GULF OF MEXICO...
  None.
  
  .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
  55W AND 64W...
  None.
  
  .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
  None.
  
  $$
  
  *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
  
  Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
  Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
  
  For additional information, please visit:
  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
  
  $$
  
  .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
  

• Sun, 01 Dec 2024 03:00:40 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
  000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 010300<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />1000 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2024<br /><br />For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:<br /><br />Tropical cyclone activity this November was above average in terms <br />of the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes in <br />the Atlantic basin. Three named storms formed during the month, <br />including one (Rafael) that became a major hurricane. Based on a <br />30-year climatology (1991-2020), a tropical storm forms in November <br />once every year or two, and a hurricane forms once every two years.<br /><br />Rafael strengthened into a hurricane while passing near Jamaica and <br />the Cayman Islands before making landfall in western Cuba as a <br />category 3 hurricane. Elsewhere, Patty brought tropical storm <br />conditions to portions of the Azores. Sara meandered near the coast <br />of Honduras before making landfall as a tropical storm in Belize.<br /><br />Overall, the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season had above-normal <br />activity in terms of the number of named storms, hurricanes, and <br />major hurricanes. In 2024, there were 18 named storms that formed in <br />the Atlantic basin, of which 11 became hurricanes and 5 strengthened <br />into major hurricanes (category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson <br />Hurricane Wind Scale). These numbers are greater than the long-term <br />(1991-2020) averages of 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major <br />hurricanes. In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which <br />measures the strength and duration of tropical storms and <br />hurricanes, activity in the basin in 2024 was about 34 percent above <br />the long-term (1991-2020) average.<br /><br />Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at the <br />National Hurricane Center website at<br />www.hurricanes.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2024&basin=atl<br /><br />Summary Table<br /><br />Name Dates Max Wind (mph)<br />------------------------------------------------------------------<br />TS Alberto 19-20 Jun 50*<br />MH Beryl 28 Jun-9 Jul 165<br />TS Chris 30 Jun-1 Jul 45*<br />H Debby 3-9 Aug 80<br />H Ernesto 12-20 Aug 100<br />H Francine 9-12 Sep 100<br />TS Gordon 11-17 Sep 45<br />MH Helene 24-27 Sep 140<br />H Isaac 26-30 Sep 105<br />TS Joyce 27 Sep-1 Oct 50<br />MH Kirk 29 Sep-7 Oct 145<br />H Leslie 2-12 Oct 105 <br />MH Milton 5-10 Oct 180<br />TS Nadine 19-20 Oct 60<br />H Oscar 19-22 Oct 85<br />TS Patty 2-4 Nov 65<br />MH Rafael 4-10 Nov 120<br />TS Sara 14-18 Nov 50<br /><br />------------------------------------------------------------------ <br /><br />Dates are based on Coordinated Universal Time (UTC).<br />* Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.<br /><br />$$<br />Hurricane Specialist Unit