SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
DONATEHurricane Epsilon – 2020 Hurricane Season
NHC Important Links: NHC Discussion / NHC Public Advisory / NHC Forecast / Wind Probs / Storm Archive
Important LOCAL Links: NWS Lake Charles, Louisiana / NWS New Orleans/ Baton Rouge / Loops of Laura / Power Outages
Storm Tracking Important Links:
FSU Track Probability /
NOAA Tracker /
Albany Tracker /
Navy NRL Page /
HFIP Products /
TropicalAtlantic Tracker /
NCAR Guidance Page /
CyclonicWX Tracker Products /
CIMSS Tracker / TropicalTidbits Tracker / UWM Tracker / SFWMD Models
Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Additional Projected Path Swath
Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds
Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds
Hurricane Force Wind Probabilities
Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities
Past Track History
NOAA NESDIS Floaters
Surface Wind Field
Cumulative Wind History
Top Analog Tracks
Windfield
Microwave Imagery
Epsilon Key Messages
Intensity Forecasts
Model Tracks
GFS / Canadian Ensemble Tracks
EURO Ensemble Tracks
EPS Ensemble Tracks
- Wed, 15 Oct 2025 20:32:01 +0000: Atlantic Remnants of Lorenzo Advisory Number 11 - Atlantic Remnants of Lorenzo Advisory Number 11
498
WTNT32 KNHC 152031
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
Remnants Of Lorenzo Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122025
500 PM AST Wed Oct 15 2025
...LORENZO DISSIPATES...
...THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 42.5W
ABOUT 1300 MI...2090 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the remnants of Lorenzo were located near
latitude 23.1 North, longitude 42.5 West. The remnants are moving
toward the northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue with a faster forward speed for the next day
or so.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Bucci
- Wed, 15 Oct 2025 20:31:35 +0000: Atlantic Remnants of Lorenzo Forecast/Advisory Num... - Atlantic Remnants of Lorenzo Forecast/Advisory Number 11
752
WTNT22 KNHC 152031
TCMAT2
REMNANTS OF LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122025
2100 UTC WED OCT 15 2025
REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 42.5W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
4 M SEAS.... 45NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 42.5W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 43.3W
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 42.5W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI
- Wed, 15 Oct 2025 20:32:30 +0000: Atlantic Remnants of Lorenzo Discussion Number 11 - Atlantic Remnants of Lorenzo Discussion Number 11
000
WTNT42 KNHC 152032
TCDAT2
Remnants Of Lorenzo Discussion Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122025
500 PM AST Wed Oct 15 2025
Visible satellite imagery shows that Lorenzo no longer has a
well-defined circulation and has dissipated. Recent microwave
imagery also suggested that the system had opened to its west.
Satellite intensity estimates have decreased as well, indicating
that Lorenzo has lost its organized convection. The initial
intensity is lowered to 30 kt based on a blend of these estimates.
The remnants of Lorenzo have turned northeastward and are moving an
estimated 16 kt. This general motion with an accelerated forward
speed is expected for the next day or so.
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header
NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 15/2100Z 23.1N 42.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Bucci
2 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
5 Day Tropical Weather Outlook