Currently 53 Visitors Tracking The Tropics!

Current Tropics Activity

2020 Hurricane Season Ends In
days
1
1
2
hours
0
0
minutes
5
9
seconds
1
0

PLEASE DONATE TO SUPPORT

I have decided to TRY and bring you Track The Tropics AD FREE but by doing this I need yearly SUPPORT to keep this website running! I do it for FREE and it cost a lot to pay for hosting and other website expenses. SO PLEASE if you appreciate my website and the information I provide then consider a one time or recurring donation!! Donate
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale
CategoryWind SpeedStorm Surge
 mphft
5≥157>18
4130–15613–18
3111–1299–12
296–1106–8
174–954–5
Additional Classifications
Tropical Storm39–730–3
Tropical Depression0–380
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a classification used for most Western Hemisphere tropical cyclones that exceed the intensities of "tropical depressions" and "tropical storms", and thereby become hurricanes. Source: Intellicast

Beaufort Wind Scale

Number Of Storms Per 100 Yrs

00Z Runs of TC Genesis Probability Ensemble-based Probability (%) of TC Genesis Consensus (NCEP, CMC and ECMWF) 0-48 Hours 0-120 Hours 120-240 Hours Ensemble-based Probability (%) of TC Genesis Consensus (NCEP) 0-48 Hours 0-120 Hours 120-240 Hours 12Z Runs of TC Genesis Probability Ensemble-based Probability (%) of TC Genesis Consensus (NCEP, CMC and ECMWF) 0-48 Hours 0-120 Hours 120-240 Hours Ensemble-based Probability (%) of TC Genesis Consensus (NCEP) 0-48 Hours 0-120 Hours 120-240 Hours

Atlantic Basin Storm Count Since 1850


Atlantic Basin Storm Count Since 1850

Hurricane Strike Percentages

[Map of return period in years for hurricanes passing within 50 nautical miles]
Estimated return period in years for hurricanes passing within 50 nautical miles of various locations on the U.S. Coast
[Map of return period in years for major hurricanes passing within 50 nautical miles]
Estimated return period in years for MAJOR passing within 50 nautical miles of various locations on the U.S. Coast

CONUS Hurricane Strikes

1950-2017
[Map of 1950-2017 CONUS Hurricane Strikes]
Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total MAJOR Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Major Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Major Hurricane StrikesEastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Major Hurricane StrikesSE Coast Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Hurricane Strikes SE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Major Hurricane StrikesNE Coast Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Hurricane Strikes NE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Major Hurricane Strikes

Lookup Historic Hurricane Tracks

Hurricane Katrina Track 2005

Typical Tropical Cyclone Origins and Tracks by Month

June
June Hurricane Climatology July
July Hurricane Climatology August
August Hurricane Climatology September
September Hurricane Climatology October
October Hurricane Climatology November
November Hurricane Climatology

Search The Site!

Isaias – 2020 Hurricane Season

Share This Storm Page

Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Zoomed In Watches and Warnings
Projected Path with Watches and WarningsAdditional Projected Path Swath
Additional Projected Path SwathAdditional Projected Path Swath
Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force WindsMost Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force WindsHurricane Force Wind Probabilities Hurricane Force Wind ProbabilitiesTropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities
Windfield
Windfield
Microwave Imagery
Microwave Imagery
Isaias NRL Floater
09L
Additional RAMMB Sat - Model Data - Wind Products
NOAA NESDIS Floaters
Floater
Floater
Other Floaters:
TropicalTidbits - WeatherNerds - GOES16
U.S. Rainfall Potential
09L
Flash Flood Potential
09L
Peak Storm Surge Forecast
09L
LIVE Power Outage Map
Power Outages
SPC Watches and Warnings
Power Outages
Surface Wind Field Surface Wind FieldCumulative Wind History Cumulative Wind HistoryPast Track History Past Track HistoryTop Analog Tracks Top Analog Tracks
Isaias Key Messages
Key Messages
Radar Loops Near Isaias
Radar Loops Near Isaias
Radar Loops Near Isaias
Archived Loops of Isaias
Static Radar With WInds
Radar Loops Near Isaias
Intensity Forecasts Intensity ForecastsModel Tracks Model TracksModel TracksModel TracksGFS / Canadian Ensemble Tracks GFS / Canadian Ensemble Tracks
EURO Ensemble Tracks EURO/GFS Ensembles from WeatherNerds
EPS Ensemble Tracks
NHC Public Advisory on Isaias
  • Wed, 05 Aug 2020 08:37:49 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias Advisory Number 33 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias Advisory Number 33

    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 050837
    TCPAT4

    BULLETIN
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias Advisory Number 33
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020
    500 AM EDT Wed Aug 05 2020

    ...RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER EASTERN QUEBEC...
    ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...


    SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...47.5N 71.8W
    ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM NNW OF QUEBEC CITY
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias
    was located near latitude 47.5 North, longitude 71.8 West. The
    post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northeast near 28
    mph (44 km/h), and this general motion is expected with a decrease
    in forward speed through tonight.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Weakening is expected, and the winds are expected to drop below
    tropical-storm force this morning. The post-tropical cyclone is
    expected to dissipate over southeastern Canada on Thursday.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
    to the northeast and east of the center primarily over and near
    the St. Lawrence River.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND: Gale-force winds will continue over and near the St.
    Lawrence River this morning. Gale-force wind gusts are possible
    elsewhere over southeastern Quebec today. See products issued by
    Environment Canada for more information.

    RAINFALL: Rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are expected along
    and near the track of Isaias across southern Quebec.

    Even though the rainfall has ended, scattered minor to moderate and
    isolated major river flooding is ongoing across portions of the
    Mid-Atlantic with most rivers expected to fall below flood stage
    by later today.

    SURF: Swells generated by Isaias will affect the coast of the
    Northeast United States through this morning. These swells are
    likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
    Please consult products from your local weather office.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on this system. Additional information on the post-tropical
    cyclone can be found in products issued by the Canadian Hurricane
    Center at https://weather.gc.ca/hurricane/index_e.html

    $$
    Forecaster Brown

NHC Forecast Advisory on Isaias
  • Wed, 05 Aug 2020 08:37:17 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone ISAIAS Forecast/Adv... - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone ISAIAS Forecast/Advisory Number 33 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL092020 0900 UTC WED AUG 05 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL Cyclone CENTER LOCATED NEAR 47.5N 71.8W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 24 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 480SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 47.5N 71.8W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 46.4N 72.1W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 50.7N 70.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 53.3N 69.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 47.5N 71.8W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/Advisory ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. $$ FORECASTER BROWN

    562
    WTNT24 KNHC 050837
    TCMAT4

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ISAIAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092020
    0900 UTC WED AUG 05 2020

    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 47.5N 71.8W AT 05/0900Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 24 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
    34 KT.......120NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
    12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 480SE 0SW 0NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 47.5N 71.8W AT 05/0900Z
    AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 46.4N 72.1W

    FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 50.7N 70.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 53.3N 69.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 47.5N 71.8W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

    $$
    FORECASTER BROWN



NHC Discussion on Isaias
  • Wed, 05 Aug 2020 08:38:17 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias Discussion Number 33 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias Discussion Number 33

    000
    WTNT44 KNHC 050838
    TCDAT4

    Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias Discussion Number 33
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020
    500 AM EDT Wed Aug 05 2020

    Surface observations indicate that Isaias continues to gradually
    weaken over southeastern Quebec. There have been a couple of
    observing sites with marine exposure along the St. Lawrence River
    that have reported winds of around 35 kt within the past few
    hours. Therefore, the initial intensity is set at that value for
    this advisory. The post-tropical cyclone should continue to
    weaken today, and the system is expected to be absorbed by a larger
    extratropical low over eastern Canada on Thursday.

    The cyclone has begun to decelerate and is now moving 015/24 kt.
    The post-tropical cyclone should continue on a general
    north-northeastward motion with an additional decrease in forward
    speed over the next 12-24 hours. The updated NHC track forecast is
    similar to previous advisory and is near the middle of the tightly
    clustered dynamical model guidance.

    This is the last NHC advisory on Isaias. Additional information
    on the post-tropical cyclone can be found in products issued by
    the Canadian Hurricane Center at:
    https://weather.gc.ca/hurricane/index_e.html


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 05/0900Z 47.5N 71.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
    12H 05/1800Z 50.7N 70.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    24H 06/0600Z 53.3N 69.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    36H 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Brown

2 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
5 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 5 Day GTWO graphic

Facebook Comments