{"id":439,"date":"2014-06-01T09:12:24","date_gmt":"2014-06-01T15:12:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/trackthetropics.com\/?page_id=439"},"modified":"2024-06-10T09:59:07","modified_gmt":"2024-06-10T14:59:07","slug":"graphical-tropical-weather-outlook","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.trackthetropics.com\/graphical-tropical-weather-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"2024 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>Page Navigation:<\/b> <a href=\"#ATWO\">Atlantic Tropical Outlook<\/a> \/ <a href=\"#TWD\">Tropical Discussion<\/a> \/ <a href=\"#ATS\">Active Tropical Systems<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"#SRFP\">Scheduled Recon Flight Plans<\/a> \/ <a href=\"#MWD\">Marine Weather Discussion<\/a> \/ <a href=\"#ATMS\">Tropical Monthly Summary<\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook<\/b><br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/xgtwo\/two_atl_2d0.png\" alt=\"Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic\" width=\"100%\"><\/p>\n<p><b>7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook<\/b><br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/xgtwo\/two_atl_7d0.png\" alt=\"Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic\" width=\"100%\"><\/p>\n<section id=\"ATWO\">\n<h4>Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook<\/h4>\n<\/section>\n<ul><li>Sat, 30 Nov 2024 23:31:37 +0000: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/gtwo.php?basin=atlc\" target=\"_self\" title=\"Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook\">Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook<\/a> - Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook<br \/><br>\n 000<br>\n ABNT20 KNHC 302331<br>\n TWOAT <br>\n <br>\n Tropical Weather Outlook<br>\n NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br>\n 700 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2024<br>\n <br>\n For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:<br>\n <br>\n Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.<br>\n <br>\n This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of <br>\n the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the <br>\n Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2025. During the <br>\n off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as <br>\n conditions warrant.<br>\n <br>\n $$<br>\n Forecaster Beven<br>\n <br><\/li><\/ul>\n<section id=\"TWD\">\n<h4>Tropical Weather Discussion<\/h4>\n<\/section>\n<ul><li>Thu, 12 Dec 2024 18:25:14 +0000: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/text\/MIATWDAT.shtml\" target=\"_self\" title=\"NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion\">NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion<\/a> - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)<br \/><br>\n 000<br>\n AXNT20 KNHC 121825 AAA<br>\n TWDAT <br>\n <br>\n Tropical Weather Discussion...UPDATED<br>\n NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br>\n 1815 UTC Thu Dec 12 2024<br>\n <br>\n UPDATED IN ORDER TO INCLUDE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION<br>\n FOR THE OUTLOOK FOR GALE-FORCE WINDS FOR THE METEO-FRANCE<br>\n MARINE ZONE IRVING<br>\n <br>\n Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America<br>\n Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South<br>\n America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the<br>\n Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite<br>\n imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.<br>\n <br>\n Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through <br>\n 1710 UTC.<br>\n <br>\n ...SPECIAL FEATURES:<br>\n <br>\n The OUTLOOK section for the METEO-FRANCE marine forecast <br>\n consists of the threat of cyclonic near gale or gale in the <br>\n marine zone IRVING. The OUTLOOK period covers the next 24 hours <br>\n after the initial 36-hour forecast period. Please, refer to the <br>\n website: https:\/\/wwmiws.wmo.int, for details.<br>\n <br>\n ...MONSOON TROUGH\/ITCZ...<br>\n <br>\n The monsoon trough passes through the southern coastal plains <br>\n of Liberia close to 05N09W, to 05N14W. The ITCZ continues from <br>\n 05N14W, to 04N30W, and 04N40W. Precipitation: scattered moderate <br>\n to isolated strong is from 08N southward between 20W and 50W.<br>\n <br>\n ...GULF OF MEXICO...<br>\n <br>\n A cold front has passed through the entire Gulf during the last 24<br>\n hours. The front now passes through central Cuba to Honduras.<br>\n Surface anticyclonic wind flow covers the entire area. A surface<br>\n ridge passes through the north central Gulf, toward the<br>\n southwestern corner of the area.<br>\n <br>\n Rough seas in general cover the Gulf from the east central <br>\n sections, toward the SW corner of the area. Slight seas are in the<br>\n coastal waters from Louisiana to the middle Texas Gulf coast. <br>\n Moderate seas are in the remainder of the Gulf of Mexico. Strong N<br>\n to NE winds, and rough seas, are from 22N to 28N between 81W and <br>\n 87W. Fresh or slower winds, and rough seas, are elsewhere from 18N<br>\n to 28N between 83W and 97W. <br>\n <br>\n Fresh to strong N winds and rough seas will continue to diminish <br>\n through this afternoon in the Bay of Campeche and eastern Gulf. <br>\n However, strong ridging over the SE US will continue to support <br>\n fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas over the SE Gulf and the <br>\n Straits of Florida through Sun night. Afterward, moderate to fresh<br>\n E-SE winds across the basin will further diminish to gentle to <br>\n moderate speeds by Tue.<br>\n <br>\n ...CARIBBEAN SEA...<br>\n <br>\n A cold front passes through the Atlantic Ocean to central Cuba, <br>\n to 20N80W in the NW corner of the Caribbean Sea. The front is <br>\n stationary from 20N80W, to NW Honduras. Strong N to NE winds, and<br>\n rough seas, are from 17N northward from 77W westward. <br>\n Precipitation: scattered moderate to isolated strong is in the <br>\n waters that are from 19N southward from 86W westward; and from 15N<br>\n southward from 80W westward.<br>\n <br>\n Strong to near gale-force NE to N winds, and rough seas, are from<br>\n 10N to 12N between 74W and 78W. Fresh or slower winds, and rough<br>\n seas in NE to E swell, are elsewhere from 09N to 14N between 76W <br>\n and 79W. Strong NE to E winds, and moderate to rough seas, are <br>\n from 16N to 18N between 70W and 72W. <br>\n <br>\n The monsoon trough is along 10N75W in Colombia, southwestward<br>\n beyond the southern Panama, and into the Pacific Ocean.<br>\n <br>\n The 24-hour rainfall totals in inches, for the period that ended <br>\n at 12\/0000 UTC, are: 0.11 in Curacao; 0.06 in San Juan in Puerto<br>\n Rico; and 0.05 in Trinidad. This information is from the Pan <br>\n American Temperature and Precipitation Tables\/MIATPTPAN.<br>\n <br>\n Strong high pressure over the Gulf of Mexico in the wake of a <br>\n cold front extending across the central Bahamas to central Cuba <br>\n and into Honduras will continue to support fresh to strong NE <br>\n winds and moderate to rough seas in the NW Caribbean and the <br>\n Windward Passage through Sun morning. Afterward, moderate to fresh<br>\n NE winds will further diminish to gentle to moderate speeds by <br>\n Mon afternoon as the broad high pressure shift NE and then <br>\n eastward to the north-central Atlantic waters. The high pressure <br>\n will also support fresh to strong NE winds over the central and SW<br>\n Caribbean through Sat morning. Moderate to fresh NE winds over <br>\n the E Caribbean will diminish on Fri as a surface trough enters <br>\n the region. Otherwise, the front will stall this morning over the <br>\n NW Caribbean before dissipating tonight. <br>\n <br>\n ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...<br>\n <br>\n A cold front passes through 31N71W, to central Cuba, to 20N80W in<br>\n the NW corner of the Caribbean Sea. The front is stationary from <br>\n 20N80W, to NW Honduras. Strong northerly winds, and rough seas, <br>\n are from the cold front westward. Fresh or slower winds, and rough<br>\n seas in NW to N swell, are elsewhere from 23N northward from 72W <br>\n westward. Precipitation: scattered moderate to isolated strong is <br>\n in the waters that are from 19N southward from 86W westward; and <br>\n from 15N southward from 80W westward. The 24-hour rainfall totals <br>\n in inches, for the period that ended at 12\/0000 UTC, are: 0.37 in <br>\n Freeport in the Bahamas. This information is from the Pan American<br>\n Temperature and Precipitation Tables\/MIATPTPAN.<br>\n <br>\n Upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the areas that are from 09N<br>\n northward between 47W and 67W. A N-to-S oriented surface trough <br>\n is along 31N56W 23N55W 13N55W. Strong to near gale-force easterly <br>\n winds, and rough to very rough seas, are within 600 nm to the east<br>\n of the surface trough and overall between 44W and 58W from 20N <br>\n northward. Fresh or slower winds, and rough seas in NE to E swell,<br>\n are elsewhere from 07N northward between 35W and 67W. <br>\n Precipitation: scattered moderate to isolated strong is within 390<br>\n nm to the east of the surface trough from 17N to 27N; and it is <br>\n within 180 nm to the west of the surface trough from 19N to 28N. <br>\n <br>\n A cold front extending from 31N71W to the central Bahamas and <br>\n into central Cuba will stall from 31N68W to the eastern Bahamas <br>\n this evening and dissipate tonight into early Fri. Fresh to strong<br>\n northerly winds and rough seas affecting the Florida offshore <br>\n waters, and the northern and central Bahamas will prevail and <br>\n expand in areal coverage through the weekend as strong high <br>\n pressure building in the wake of the front will tighten the <br>\n pressure gradient against an approaching surface trough from the <br>\n east. Frequent gust to gale force winds may develop over the <br>\n northern Bahamas offshore waters Sat through Sun. Winds will start<br>\n to gradually weaken across the region Sun night into Mon. <br>\n <br>\n $$<br>\n mt\/sd<br><\/li><\/ul>\n<section id=\"ATS\">\n<h4>Active Tropical Systems<\/h4>\n<\/section>\n<ul><li>Mon, 02 Dec 2024 11:31:37 +0000: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/\" target=\"_self\" title=\"The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.\">The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.<\/a> - NHC Atlantic<br \/>The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.<\/li><\/ul>\n<section id=\"SRFP\">\n<h4>Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans<\/h4>\n<\/section>\n<ul><li>Thu, 12 Dec 2024 16:45:48 +0000: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/text\/MIAREPRPD.shtml\" target=\"_self\" title=\"Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day\">Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day<\/a> - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day<br \/><pre> \n 000\n NOUS42 KNHC 121645\n REPRPD\n WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS\n CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.\n 1145 AM EST THU 12 DECEMBER 2024\n SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)\n          VALID 13\/1100Z TO 14\/1100Z DECEMBER 2024\n          WSPOD NUMBER.....24-012\n \n I.  ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS\n     1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.\n     2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.\n \n II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS\n     1. MISSION REQUESTS FOR A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT AND THE\n        NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FROM NCEP FOR THE 14\/0000Z\n        SYNOPTIC TIME, BUT NEITHER REQUEST CAN BE SUPPORTED.\n \n     2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN\n        ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE\n        15\/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.\n \n     3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN\n        ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE\n        16\/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.\n \n $$\n KAL\/SEF\/WJM\n <\/pre><\/li><\/ul>\n<section id=\"MWD\">\n<h4>Marine Weather Discussion<\/h4>\n<\/section>\n<ul><li>Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/text\/MIAMIMATS.shtml\" target=\"_self\" title=\"NHC Marine Weather Discussion\">NHC Marine Weather Discussion<\/a> - NHC Marine Weather Discussion<br \/><br>\n 000<br>\n AGXX40 KNHC 171522<br>\n MIMATS<br>\n <br>\n Marine Weather Discussion<br>\n NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br>\n 1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021<br>\n <br>\n Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,<br>\n and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W<br>\n and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas<br>\n <br>\n This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National<br>\n Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical<br>\n Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.<br>\n <br>\n ...GULF OF MEXICO...<br>\n <br>\n High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to<br>\n the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the<br>\n week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the<br>\n basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late<br>\n Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern<br>\n Plains.  <br>\n <br>\n ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN<br>\n 55W AND 64W...<br>\n <br>\n A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,<br>\n diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds<br>\n will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high<br>\n pressure builds across the western Atlantic.  <br>\n <br>\n ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...<br>\n <br>\n A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas<br>\n will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will<br>\n drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high <br>\n pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support<br>\n an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W<br>\n with  seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.  <br>\n <br>\n $$<br>\n <br>\n .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be<br>\n coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by<br>\n telephone:<br>\n <br>\n .GULF OF MEXICO...<br>\n      None.<br>\n <br>\n .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN<br>\n 55W AND 64W...<br>\n      None.<br>\n <br>\n .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...<br>\n      None.<br>\n <br>\n $$<br>\n <br>\n *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:<br>\n http:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF<br>\n <br>\n Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National<br>\n Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:<br>\n http:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/marine\/grids.php<br>\n <br>\n For additional information, please visit:<br>\n http:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/marine<br>\n <br>\n $$<br>\n <br>\n .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.<br><\/li><\/ul>\n<section id=\"ATMS\">\n<h4>Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary<\/h4>\n<\/section>\n<ul><li>Sun, 01 Dec 2024 03:00:40 +0000: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/text\/MIATWSAT.shtml\" target=\"_self\" title=\"Atlantic\">Atlantic<\/a> - Atlantic<br \/><br>\n 000<br>\n ABNT30 KNHC 010300<br>\n TWSAT <br>\n <br>\n Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br>\n NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br>\n 1000 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2024<br>\n <br>\n For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:<br>\n <br>\n Tropical cyclone activity this November was above average in terms <br>\n of the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes in <br>\n the Atlantic basin. Three named storms formed during the month, <br>\n including one (Rafael) that became a major hurricane. Based on a <br>\n 30-year climatology (1991-2020), a tropical storm forms in November <br>\n once every year or two, and a hurricane forms once every two years.<br>\n <br>\n Rafael strengthened into a hurricane while passing near Jamaica and <br>\n the Cayman Islands before making landfall in western Cuba as a <br>\n category 3 hurricane. Elsewhere, Patty brought tropical storm <br>\n conditions to portions of the Azores. Sara meandered near the coast <br>\n of Honduras before making landfall as a tropical storm in Belize.<br>\n <br>\n Overall, the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season had above-normal <br>\n activity in terms of the number of named storms, hurricanes, and <br>\n major hurricanes. In 2024, there were 18 named storms that formed in <br>\n the Atlantic basin, of which 11 became hurricanes and 5 strengthened <br>\n into major hurricanes (category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson <br>\n Hurricane Wind Scale). These numbers are greater than the long-term <br>\n (1991-2020) averages of 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major <br>\n hurricanes. In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which <br>\n measures the strength and duration of tropical storms and <br>\n hurricanes, activity in the basin in 2024 was about 34 percent above <br>\n the long-term (1991-2020) average.<br>\n <br>\n Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at the <br>\n National Hurricane Center website at<br>\n www.hurricanes.gov\/data\/tcr\/index.php?season=2024&amp;basin=atl<br>\n <br>\n Summary Table<br>\n <br>\n Name                     Dates               Max Wind (mph)<br>\n ------------------------------------------------------------------<br>\n TS Alberto              19-20 Jun                 50*<br>\n MH Beryl             28 Jun-9 Jul                165<br>\n TS Chris     30 Jun-1 Jul                 45*<br>\n H  Debby                  3-9 Aug                 80<br>\n H  Ernesto              12-20 Aug                100<br>\n H  Francine              9-12 Sep                100<br>\n TS Gordon               11-17 Sep                 45<br>\n MH Helene               24-27 Sep                140<br>\n H  Isaac                26-30 Sep                105<br>\n TS Joyce             27 Sep-1 Oct                 50<br>\n MH Kirk              29 Sep-7 Oct                145<br>\n H  Leslie                2-12 Oct                105 <br>\n MH Milton                5-10 Oct                180<br>\n TS Nadine               19-20 Oct                 60<br>\n H  Oscar                19-22 Oct                 85<br>\n TS Patty                  2-4 Nov                 65<br>\n MH Rafael                4-10 Nov                120<br>\n TS Sara                 14-18 Nov                 50<br>\n <br>\n ------------------------------------------------------------------ <br>\n <br>\n Dates are based on Coordinated Universal Time (UTC).<br>\n * Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.<br>\n <br>\n $$<br>\n Hurricane Specialist Unit<br>\n <br><\/li><\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Page Navigation: Atlantic Tropical Outlook \/ Tropical Discussion \/ Active Tropical Systems Scheduled Recon Flight Plans \/ Marine Weather Discussion \/ Tropical Monthly Summary<\/p>\n<p>2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook <\/p>\n<p>7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook <\/p>\n<p> Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook Sat, 30 Nov 2024 23:31:37 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook &#8211; Atlantic Tropical [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-439","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry","odd"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.trackthetropics.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/439","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.trackthetropics.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.trackthetropics.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.trackthetropics.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.trackthetropics.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=439"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.trackthetropics.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/439\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10222,"href":"https:\/\/www.trackthetropics.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/439\/revisions\/10222"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.trackthetropics.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=439"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}