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Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale
CategoryWind SpeedStorm Surge
 mphft
5≥157>18
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Tropical Depression0–380
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a classification used for most Western Hemisphere tropical cyclones that exceed the intensities of "tropical depressions" and "tropical storms", and thereby become hurricanes. Source: Intellicast

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Tropical Storm Zeta – 2020 Hurricane Season

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NHC Public Advisory on Zeta
  • Thu, 29 Oct 2020 20:36:48 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Zeta Advisory Number 21 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Zeta Advisory Number 21

    000
    WTNT33 KNHC 292036
    TCPAT3

    BULLETIN
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Zeta Advisory Number 21
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020
    500 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

    ...ZETA ZOOMING OFFSHORE THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TOWARD THE WESTERN
    ATLANTIC...
    ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


    SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...38.8N 75.3W
    ABOUT 25 MI...35 KM WSW OF CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 55 MPH...89 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Zeta
    was located near latitude 38.8 North, longitude 75.3 West. Zeta is
    moving toward the east-northeast near 55 mph (89 km/h), and this
    general motion is expected to continue through tonight. On the
    forecast track, the center of Zeta will emerge over the western
    Atlantic this evening.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Some strengthening is forecast tonight, but the cyclone should
    become absorbed by a frontal system on Friday.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km)
    mainly to the southeast of the center. A sustained wind of 39 mph
    (63 km/h) and a gust to 46 mph (74 km/h) were recently reported at
    Ocean City, Maryland.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Zeta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
    on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml.

    WIND: A few strong gusts are still possible across portions of
    extreme eastern North Carolina, southeastern Virginia, and the
    southern Delmarva Peninsula during the next couple of hours.

    RAINFALL: The last of the heavy rainfall along the track of Zeta
    will impact the Mid-Atlantic through this evening. Additional
    rainfall totals of an inch or less are expected across these areas,
    possibly resulting in flash, urban, small stream, and isolated minor
    river flooding.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
    found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
    Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
    online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

NHC Forecast Advisory on Zeta
  • Thu, 29 Oct 2020 20:36:20 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone ZETA Forecast/Advis... - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone ZETA Forecast/Advisory Number 21 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020 2100 UTC THU OCT 29 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL Cyclone CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 75.3W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 48 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 270SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 75.3W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.8N 78.2W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 41.0N 66.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 90SE 120SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 240SE 360SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.8N 75.3W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/Advisory ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BERG

    000
    WTNT23 KNHC 292036
    TCMAT3

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020
    2100 UTC THU OCT 29 2020

    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 75.3W AT 29/2100Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 48 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
    34 KT....... 60NE 270SE 0SW 0NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 75.3W AT 29/2100Z
    AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.8N 78.2W

    FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 41.0N 66.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 0NE 90SE 120SW 0NW.
    34 KT...120NE 240SE 360SW 180NW.

    FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.8N 75.3W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
    FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
    SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


    $$
    FORECASTER BERG


NHC Discussion on Zeta
  • Thu, 29 Oct 2020 20:37:21 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Zeta Discussion Number 21 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Zeta Discussion Number 21

    000
    WTNT43 KNHC 292037
    TCDAT3

    Post-Tropical Cyclone Zeta Discussion Number 21
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020
    500 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

    Zeta lost tropical characteristics and was declared post-tropical a
    few hours ago. The surface pressure field has become elongated
    with the center now embedded within a frontal zone over the
    Mid-Atlantic states. The maximum sustained winds are still
    estimated to be 45 kt, based on an observation received from
    northeastern North Carolina a few hours ago, and winds have been
    increasing at marine sites located just off the Mid-Atlantic coast.

    Zeta is zooming toward the east-northeast (060/48 kt), and its
    center is just about to move off the Delmarva Peninsula over the
    western Atlantic waters. This motion should continue for the next
    day or so since Zeta is embedded within fast westerly flow ahead of
    a strong mid-level trough.

    Some baroclinic re-intensification is expected over the next day or
    so while Zeta moves farther out over the western Atlantic, and the
    12-hour forecast intensity is based on the GFS and ECMWF global
    models. Zeta's center is expected to dissipate within the frontal
    zone by 24 hours, with another strong low pressure area likely to
    develop and move toward the north Atlantic over the next several
    days. The forecast wind radii are based on guidance from the
    Ocean Prediction Center.

    This is the last advisory issued on Zeta. Additional information
    on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
    National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header
    FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


    KEY MESSAGES:

    1. Strong wind gusts are still possible over portions of extreme
    eastern North Carolina, southeastern Virginia, and the southern
    Delmarva Peninsula during the next couple of hours.

    2. Through this evening, the last of the heavy rainfall along the
    track of Zeta is expected over the Mid-Atlantic. This rainfall may
    lead to flash, urban, small stream, and isolated minor river
    flooding.


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 29/2100Z 38.8N 75.3W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    12H 30/0600Z 41.0N 66.1W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    24H 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

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