{"id":439,"date":"2014-06-01T09:12:24","date_gmt":"2014-06-01T15:12:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/trackthetropics.com\/?page_id=439"},"modified":"2024-06-10T09:59:07","modified_gmt":"2024-06-10T14:59:07","slug":"graphical-tropical-weather-outlook","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"http:\/\/www.trackthetropics.com\/graphical-tropical-weather-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"2024 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>Page Navigation:<\/b> <a href=\"#ATWO\">Atlantic Tropical Outlook<\/a> \/ <a href=\"#TWD\">Tropical Discussion<\/a> \/ <a href=\"#ATS\">Active Tropical Systems<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"#SRFP\">Scheduled Recon Flight Plans<\/a> \/ <a href=\"#MWD\">Marine Weather Discussion<\/a> \/ <a href=\"#ATMS\">Tropical Monthly Summary<\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook<\/b><br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/xgtwo\/two_atl_2d0.png\" alt=\"Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic\" width=\"100%\"><\/p>\n<p><b>7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook<\/b><br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/xgtwo\/two_atl_7d0.png\" alt=\"Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic\" width=\"100%\"><\/p>\n<section id=\"ATWO\">\n<h4>Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook<\/h4>\n<\/section>\n<ul><li>Sat, 30 Nov 2024 23:31:37 +0000: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/gtwo.php?basin=atlc\" target=\"_self\" title=\"Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook\">Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook<\/a> - Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook<br \/><br>\n 000<br>\n ABNT20 KNHC 302331<br>\n TWOAT <br>\n <br>\n Tropical Weather Outlook<br>\n NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br>\n 700 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2024<br>\n <br>\n For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:<br>\n <br>\n Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.<br>\n <br>\n This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of <br>\n the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the <br>\n Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2025. During the <br>\n off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as <br>\n conditions warrant.<br>\n <br>\n $$<br>\n Forecaster Beven<br>\n <br><\/li><\/ul>\n<section id=\"TWD\">\n<h4>Tropical Weather Discussion<\/h4>\n<\/section>\n<ul><li>Sun, 12 Jan 2025 18:28:12 +0000: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/text\/MIATWDAT.shtml\" target=\"_self\" title=\"NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion\">NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion<\/a> - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)<br \/><br>\n 000<br>\n AXNT20 KNHC 121827<br>\n TWDAT<br>\n <br>\n Tropical Weather Discussion<br>\n NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br>\n 1815 UTC Sun Jan 12 2025<br>\n <br>\n Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America<br>\n Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South<br>\n America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the<br>\n Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite<br>\n imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.<br>\n <br>\n Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through<br>\n 1600 UTC.<br>\n <br>\n ...SPECIAL FEATURES...<br>\n <br>\n Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front curves southwestward from the<br>\n north-central Atlantic across 31N56W to the central Bahamas.<br>\n Near-gale to gale-force winds are noted near this front north of <br>\n 29N between 49W and 53W. Seas in this area are peaking at 15 to <br>\n 18 ft. As the front progresses eastward and gradually weakens this<br>\n evening, it should allow winds to subside below gale-force late<br>\n tonight.<br>\n <br>\n Atlantic Significant Swell Event: In addition to the gale winds<br>\n mentioned earlier, large long-period W to NW swell will continue <br>\n to produce seas of 12 to 15 ft across the western and central <br>\n Atlantic north of 26N between 35W and 66W. The leading edge of <br>\n 12-ft seas is going to move farther southeastward to near 21N <br>\n later this afternoon. Afterward, seas will gradually retreat <br>\n northward and decay, which should allow them to drop below 12 ft <br>\n early Sunday morning.<br>\n <br>\n Please refer to the latest High Seas and Offshores Waters <br>\n Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at the website:<br>\n https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/text\/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and <br>\n https:\/\/www.nch.noaa.gov\/marine\/offshores.php for more <br>\n information.<br>\n <br>\n ...MONSOON TROUGH\/ITCZ... <br>\n <br>\n A monsoon trough reaches westward off central Liberia to 06N14W.<br>\n An ITCZ continues west-southwestward from 06N14W through 06N22W to<br>\n 01N40W. Widely scattered showers are observed near both features<br>\n and southward to the Equator.<br>\n <br>\n ...GULF OF MEXICO...<br>\n <br>\n A stationary front extends west-northwestward from the Straits of<br>\n Florida to 25N88W, then continues as a warm front to a 1011 mb low<br>\n just off Corpus Christi. Scattered showers are occurring near and<br>\n up to 150 nm north of this boundary. Fresh to strong southerly<br>\n winds and 5 to 7 ft seas are seen at the western Bay of Campeche.<br>\n Gentle to moderate E to SE winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft prevail for<br>\n the rest of the Gulf.<br>\n <br>\n For the forecast, a 1009 mb low pressure over the coast of Texas <br>\n near Baffin Bay will lift northeast through the early part of the <br>\n week, dragging a cold front into southern Gulf through Tue night. <br>\n Fresh to strong wind and moderate to rough seas will follow the <br>\n front, possibly reaching near-gale force off the coast of Veracruz<br>\n Mon night. The front will stall and become diffuse over the <br>\n southern Gulf through mid-week. Looking ahead, winds and seas will<br>\n diminish Thu as high pressure builds over the northern Gulf. <br>\n <br>\n ...CARIBBEAN SEA...<br>\n <br>\n Convergent trade winds are causing scattered showers from the Gulf<br>\n of Honduras to near Jamaica. Fresh to strong NE winds and seas at<br>\n 6 to 9 ft are present at the south-central basin. Moderate to <br>\n fresh E winds and 5 to 7 ft seas in large N swell are noted at the<br>\n north-central basin, including the Mona Passage. Gentle to <br>\n moderate E to SE winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft prevail elsewhere in <br>\n the Caribbean Sea.<br>\n <br>\n For the forecast, large, long- period northerly swell moving <br>\n through the Atlantic passages into the northeast Caribbean and the<br>\n Atlantic waters east of the Leeward and Windward Islands will <br>\n subside late tonight through early Mon. Meanwhile, high pressure <br>\n building across the western Atlantic will maintain moderate to <br>\n fresh trade winds over the eastern and south- central Caribbean, <br>\n with strong winds pulsing off Colombia through the middle of next <br>\n week. <br>\n <br>\n ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...<br>\n <br>\n Please refer to SPECIAL FEATURES above for gale winds and a <br>\n significant swell in the ATLC waters.<br>\n <br>\n A cold front curves southwestward from the north-central Atlantic<br>\n across 31N56W to near the central Bahamas. Scattered showers are<br>\n seen near and up to 100 nm south of this feature. Convergent<br>\n southerly winds are producing similar conditions farther east,<br>\n north of 24N between 35W and 53W. A stationary front extends<br>\n southwestward from the northeastern Atlantic across 31N30W to near<br>\n the northern Windward Islands. Patchy showers are occurring up to<br>\n 50 nm along either side of this front. <br>\n <br>\n Outside the Gale Warning area, fresh to strong SW to NW winds and<br>\n seas of 10 to 15 ft are evident north of 26N between 40W and 65W.<br>\n To the west, gentle to moderate W to NW winds and 5 to 9 ft seas<br>\n dominate north of 22N and west of 65W. Farther east, gentle to<br>\n moderate SE to SW winds and seas at 10 to 12 ft are present north<br>\n of 20N between 35W and 40W. Gentle winds and seas of 6 to 8 ft in<br>\n moderate N swell are seen from 17N to 22N and west of 35W. For <br>\n the Tropical Atlantic from 00N to 17N between 35W and the Lesser<br>\n Antilles, gentle to moderate NE to ENE winds and 7 to 9 ft seas <br>\n in mixed moderate swell prevail.<br>\n <br>\n For the forecast W of 55W, the cold front will continue to move <br>\n southeast today, before stalling along roughly 21N late tonight <br>\n into Mon and dissipating Tue. Winds will decrease as high pressure<br>\n builds over the basin into Mon. Large swell mainly east of 75W <br>\n will gradually subside west of 60W through late Tue. A reinforcing<br>\n front will move into the waters off northeast Florida Tue, and <br>\n reach from Bermuda to South Florida Wed, before stalling along 22N<br>\n through Thu. Another round of large, long-period NW to N swell <br>\n will follow the reinforcing front over the waters east of 75W. <br>\n <br>\n $$<br>\n <br>\n Chan<br><\/li><\/ul>\n<section id=\"ATS\">\n<h4>Active Tropical Systems<\/h4>\n<\/section>\n<ul><li>Mon, 02 Dec 2024 11:31:37 +0000: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/\" target=\"_self\" title=\"The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.\">The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.<\/a> - NHC Atlantic<br \/>The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.<\/li><\/ul>\n<section id=\"SRFP\">\n<h4>Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans<\/h4>\n<\/section>\n<ul><li>Sun, 12 Jan 2025 16:51:31 +0000: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/text\/MIAREPRPD.shtml\" target=\"_self\" title=\"Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day\">Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day<\/a> - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day<br \/><pre> \n 947 \n NOUS42 KNHC 121650\n REPRPD\n WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS\n CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.\n 1150 AM EST SUN 12 JANUARY 2025\n SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)\n          VALID 13\/1100Z TO 14\/1100Z JANUARY 2025\n          WSPOD NUMBER.....24-043\n \n I.  ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS\n     1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.\n     2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.\n \n II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS\n     1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.\n     2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.\n \n $$\n WJM\n \n NNNN\n \n <\/pre><\/li><\/ul>\n<section id=\"MWD\">\n<h4>Marine Weather Discussion<\/h4>\n<\/section>\n<ul><li>Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/text\/MIAMIMATS.shtml\" target=\"_self\" title=\"NHC Marine Weather Discussion\">NHC Marine Weather Discussion<\/a> - NHC Marine Weather Discussion<br \/><br>\n 000<br>\n AGXX40 KNHC 171522<br>\n MIMATS<br>\n <br>\n Marine Weather Discussion<br>\n NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br>\n 1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021<br>\n <br>\n Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,<br>\n and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W<br>\n and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas<br>\n <br>\n This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National<br>\n Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical<br>\n Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.<br>\n <br>\n ...GULF OF MEXICO...<br>\n <br>\n High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to<br>\n the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the<br>\n week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the<br>\n basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late<br>\n Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern<br>\n Plains.  <br>\n <br>\n ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN<br>\n 55W AND 64W...<br>\n <br>\n A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,<br>\n diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds<br>\n will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high<br>\n pressure builds across the western Atlantic.  <br>\n <br>\n ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...<br>\n <br>\n A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas<br>\n will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will<br>\n drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high <br>\n pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support<br>\n an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W<br>\n with  seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.  <br>\n <br>\n $$<br>\n <br>\n .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be<br>\n coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by<br>\n telephone:<br>\n <br>\n .GULF OF MEXICO...<br>\n      None.<br>\n <br>\n .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN<br>\n 55W AND 64W...<br>\n      None.<br>\n <br>\n .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...<br>\n      None.<br>\n <br>\n $$<br>\n <br>\n *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:<br>\n http:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF<br>\n <br>\n Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National<br>\n Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:<br>\n http:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/marine\/grids.php<br>\n <br>\n For additional information, please visit:<br>\n http:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/marine<br>\n <br>\n $$<br>\n <br>\n .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.<br><\/li><\/ul>\n<section id=\"ATMS\">\n<h4>Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary<\/h4>\n<\/section>\n<ul><li>Sun, 01 Dec 2024 03:00:40 +0000: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/text\/MIATWSAT.shtml\" target=\"_self\" title=\"Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary\">Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<\/a> - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br \/>000&lt;br \/&gt;ABNT30 KNHC 010300&lt;br \/&gt;TWSAT &lt;br \/&gt;&lt;br \/&gt;Monthly Tropical Weather Summary&lt;br \/&gt;NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL&lt;br \/&gt;1000 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2024&lt;br \/&gt;&lt;br \/&gt;For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:&lt;br \/&gt;&lt;br \/&gt;Tropical cyclone activity this November was above average in terms &lt;br \/&gt;of the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes in &lt;br \/&gt;the Atlantic basin. Three named storms formed during the month, &lt;br \/&gt;including one (Rafael) that became a major hurricane. Based on a &lt;br \/&gt;30-year climatology (1991-2020), a tropical storm forms in November &lt;br \/&gt;once every year or two, and a hurricane forms once every two years.&lt;br \/&gt;&lt;br \/&gt;Rafael strengthened into a hurricane while passing near Jamaica and &lt;br \/&gt;the Cayman Islands before making landfall in western Cuba as a &lt;br \/&gt;category 3 hurricane. Elsewhere, Patty brought tropical storm &lt;br \/&gt;conditions to portions of the Azores. Sara meandered near the coast &lt;br \/&gt;of Honduras before making landfall as a tropical storm in Belize.&lt;br \/&gt;&lt;br \/&gt;Overall, the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season had above-normal &lt;br \/&gt;activity in terms of the number of named storms, hurricanes, and &lt;br \/&gt;major hurricanes. In 2024, there were 18 named storms that formed in &lt;br \/&gt;the Atlantic basin, of which 11 became hurricanes and 5 strengthened &lt;br \/&gt;into major hurricanes (category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson &lt;br \/&gt;Hurricane Wind Scale). These numbers are greater than the long-term &lt;br \/&gt;(1991-2020) averages of 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major &lt;br \/&gt;hurricanes. In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which &lt;br \/&gt;measures the strength and duration of tropical storms and &lt;br \/&gt;hurricanes, activity in the basin in 2024 was about 34 percent above &lt;br \/&gt;the long-term (1991-2020) average.&lt;br \/&gt;&lt;br \/&gt;Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at the &lt;br \/&gt;National Hurricane Center website at&lt;br \/&gt;www.hurricanes.gov\/data\/tcr\/index.php?season=2024&amp;basin=atl&lt;br \/&gt;&lt;br \/&gt;Summary Table&lt;br \/&gt;&lt;br \/&gt;Name                     Dates               Max Wind (mph)&lt;br \/&gt;------------------------------------------------------------------&lt;br \/&gt;TS Alberto              19-20 Jun                 50*&lt;br \/&gt;MH Beryl             28 Jun-9 Jul                165&lt;br \/&gt;TS Chris     30 Jun-1 Jul                 45*&lt;br \/&gt;H  Debby                  3-9 Aug                 80&lt;br \/&gt;H  Ernesto              12-20 Aug                100&lt;br \/&gt;H  Francine              9-12 Sep                100&lt;br \/&gt;TS Gordon               11-17 Sep                 45&lt;br \/&gt;MH Helene               24-27 Sep                140&lt;br \/&gt;H  Isaac                26-30 Sep                105&lt;br \/&gt;TS Joyce             27 Sep-1 Oct                 50&lt;br \/&gt;MH Kirk              29 Sep-7 Oct                145&lt;br \/&gt;H  Leslie                2-12 Oct                105 &lt;br \/&gt;MH Milton                5-10 Oct                180&lt;br \/&gt;TS Nadine               19-20 Oct                 60&lt;br \/&gt;H  Oscar                19-22 Oct                 85&lt;br \/&gt;TS Patty                  2-4 Nov                 65&lt;br \/&gt;MH Rafael                4-10 Nov                120&lt;br \/&gt;TS Sara                 14-18 Nov                 50&lt;br \/&gt;&lt;br \/&gt;------------------------------------------------------------------ &lt;br \/&gt;&lt;br \/&gt;Dates are based on Coordinated Universal Time (UTC).&lt;br \/&gt;* Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.&lt;br \/&gt;&lt;br \/&gt;$$&lt;br \/&gt;Hurricane Specialist Unit<\/li><\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Page Navigation: Atlantic Tropical Outlook \/ Tropical Discussion \/ Active Tropical Systems Scheduled Recon Flight Plans \/ Marine Weather Discussion \/ Tropical Monthly Summary<\/p>\n<p>2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook <\/p>\n<p>7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook <\/p>\n<p> Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook Sat, 30 Nov 2024 23:31:37 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook &#8211; Atlantic Tropical [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-439","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry","odd"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.trackthetropics.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/439","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.trackthetropics.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.trackthetropics.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.trackthetropics.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.trackthetropics.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=439"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"http:\/\/www.trackthetropics.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/439\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10222,"href":"http:\/\/www.trackthetropics.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/439\/revisions\/10222"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.trackthetropics.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=439"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}