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Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale
CategoryWind SpeedStorm Surge
 mphft
5≥157>18
4130–15613–18
3111–1299–12
296–1106–8
174–954–5
Additional Classifications
Tropical Storm39–730–3
Tropical Depression0–380
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a classification used for most Western Hemisphere tropical cyclones that exceed the intensities of "tropical depressions" and "tropical storms", and thereby become hurricanes. Source: Intellicast

Beaufort Wind Scale

Number Of Storms Per 100 Yrs

00Z Runs of TC Genesis Probability Ensemble-based Probability (%) of TC Genesis Consensus (NCEP, CMC and ECMWF) 0-48 Hours 0-120 Hours 120-240 Hours Ensemble-based Probability (%) of TC Genesis Consensus (NCEP) 0-48 Hours 0-120 Hours 120-240 Hours 12Z Runs of TC Genesis Probability Ensemble-based Probability (%) of TC Genesis Consensus (NCEP, CMC and ECMWF) 0-48 Hours 0-120 Hours 120-240 Hours Ensemble-based Probability (%) of TC Genesis Consensus (NCEP) 0-48 Hours 0-120 Hours 120-240 Hours

Atlantic Basin Storm Count Since 1850


Atlantic Basin Storm Count Since 1850

Hurricane Strike Percentages

[Map of return period in years for hurricanes passing within 50 nautical miles]
Estimated return period in years for hurricanes passing within 50 nautical miles of various locations on the U.S. Coast
[Map of return period in years for major hurricanes passing within 50 nautical miles]
Estimated return period in years for MAJOR passing within 50 nautical miles of various locations on the U.S. Coast

CONUS Hurricane Strikes

1950-2017
[Map of 1950-2017 CONUS Hurricane Strikes]
Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total MAJOR Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Major Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Major Hurricane StrikesEastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Major Hurricane StrikesSE Coast Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Hurricane Strikes SE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Major Hurricane StrikesNE Coast Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Hurricane Strikes NE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Major Hurricane Strikes

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November Hurricane Climatology

Tracking Delta – 2020 Hurricane Season

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ATTENTION: The NHC has issued it's last advisory on Delta as of 10-10-2020. All Graphics and Information on this page will eventually cease to update.

NHC Important Links:
NHC Discussion / NHC Public Advisory / NHC Forecast / Wind Probs / Storm Archive
Important LOCAL Links:
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Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
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Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force WindsMost Likely Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force WindsMost Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force WindsHurricane Force Wind Probabilities Hurricane Force Wind ProbabilitiesTropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities
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NHC Public Advisory on Delta
NHC Forecast Advisory on Delta
  • Sat, 10 Oct 2020 14:41:27 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Depression DELTA Forecast/Adviso... - Atlantic Tropical Depression DELTA Forecast/Advisory Number 24 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL262020 1500 UTC SAT OCT 10 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 90.8W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 90.8W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 91.2W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 34.1N 89.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 35.5N 87.4W...Post-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 37.5N 84.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 39.7N 82.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.1N 90.8W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/Advisory ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER BEGINNING AT 2100Z, UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT1, WMO HEADER WTNT31 KWNH, AND ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

    000
    WTNT21 KNHC 101441
    TCMAT1

    TROPICAL DEPRESSION DELTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL262020
    1500 UTC SAT OCT 10 2020

    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

    TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 90.8W AT 10/1500Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 14 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 90.8W AT 10/1500Z
    AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 91.2W

    FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 34.1N 89.3W...INLAND
    MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 35.5N 87.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 37.5N 84.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 39.7N 82.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.1N 90.8W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
    FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER
    BEGINNING AT 2100Z, UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT1, WMO HEADER
    WTNT31 KWNH, AND ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV.

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN


NHC Discussion on Delta
  • Sat, 10 Oct 2020 14:41:57 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Depression Delta Discussion Number 24 - Atlantic Tropical Depression Delta Discussion Number 24

    000
    WTNT41 KNHC 101441
    TCDAT1

    Tropical Depression Delta Discussion Number 24
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020
    1000 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020

    Surface observations, Doppler radar data, and satellite imagery
    indicate that Delta has continued to weaken as it moves from
    northeastern Louisiana into western Mississippi. There are no
    recent surface observations of sustained tropical-storm-force
    winds in the areas where the radar data show the strongest winds
    are occurring, so based on this the initial intensity is reduced to
    30 kt. It should be noted that wind gusts to tropical-storm force
    are still occurring over portions of northern Mississippi and
    southeastern Arkansas, and these should continue through this
    afternoon.

    The initial motion is now northeastward or 035/14. The flow
    between a mid-to upper-level ridge over the Gulf of Mexico and the
    mid-latitude westerlies over the United States should steer Delta
    or its remnants generally northeastward until the system
    dissipates. The new forecast track has only minor adjustments from
    the previous forecast, and it lies near the consensus models.

    Continued weakening is expected, and Delta is forecast to
    degenerate to a remnant low pressure area in about 24 h. The
    global models are in good agreement that the cyclone should weaken
    to a trough between 48-60 h, and the intensity forecast follows
    this scenario.

    This is the last advisory on Delta issued by the National Hurricane
    Center. Future information on this system can be found in Public
    Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at
    4 PM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT1, WMO header WTNT31 KWNH, and on
    the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov.

    Key Messages:

    1. Water levels will continue to subside today along the
    Louisiana coast. Consult products issued by your local National
    Weather Service forecast office for additional information.

    2. Tropical-storm-force wind gusts will persist for a few more
    hours over portions of northern Mississippi and southeastern
    Arkansas.

    3. Heavy rainfall will lead to flash flooding and minor river
    flooding across portions of the Lower Mississippi and Tennessee
    Valleys today, and into the Southern Appalachians through Sunday.
    Minor to major river flooding will continue across portions of
    Louisiana and Mississippi though much of next week.


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 10/1500Z 33.1N 90.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
    12H 11/0000Z 34.1N 89.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
    24H 11/1200Z 35.5N 87.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    36H 12/0000Z 37.5N 84.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    48H 12/1200Z 39.7N 82.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    60H 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Beven

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