Current Tropics Activity

THREAT: Active Storm PTC16
Atlantic Cyclone Activity
Quick Glance At The TropicsQuick Glance At The Tropics
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale
CategoryWind SpeedStorm Surge
 mphft
5≥157>18
4130–15613–18
3111–1299–12
296–1106–8
174–954–5
Additional Classifications
Tropical Storm39–730–3
Tropical Depression0–380
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a classification used for most Western Hemisphere tropical cyclones that exceed the intensities of "tropical depressions" and "tropical storms", and thereby become hurricanes. Source: Intellicast

Beaufort Wind Scale

Number Of Storms Per 100 Yrs

Atlantic Basin Storm Count Since 1850


Atlantic Basin Storm Count Since 1850

Hurricane Strike Percentages

[Map of return period in years for hurricanes passing within 50 nautical miles]
Estimated return period in years for hurricanes passing within 50 nautical miles of various locations on the U.S. Coast
[Map of return period in years for major hurricanes passing within 50 nautical miles]
Estimated return period in years for MAJOR passing within 50 nautical miles of various locations on the U.S. Coast

CONUS Hurricane Strikes

1950-2017
[Map of 1950-2017 CONUS Hurricane Strikes]
Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total MAJOR Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Major Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Major Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Major Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Hurricane Strikes SE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Major Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Hurricane Strikes NE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Major Hurricane Strikes

Lookup Historic Hurricane Tracks

Hurricane Katrina Track 2005

Typical Tropical Cyclone Origins and Tracks by Month

June
June Hurricane Climatology July
July Hurricane Climatology August
August Hurricane Climatology September
September Hurricane Climatology October
October Hurricane Climatology November
November Hurricane Climatology

2019 Hurricane Season Forecasts

The 2019 hurricane season begins June 1st!

Before the 2018 hurricane season started, Most forecasting groups called for a below-average season due to cooler than normal sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic and the anticipated development of an El Niño. However, the anticipated El Niño failed to develop in time to suppress activity, and […]

2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Officially Ends

2018 Hurricane Season Tracking Map

The 2018 Atlantic hurricane season is OVER! Despite almost all major forecasting groups calling for a BELOW average season this year was actually an ABOVE average season and was the third consecutive above-average damaging season. These groups were banking on cooler than normal sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic and the anticipated development of […]

2018 Hurricane Season Forecasts

2018 Hurricane Season Forecasts

The 2018 hurricane season begins June 1.

Most initial forecasts project that the number of storms will be above average, and several forecasts indicate an above-average likelihood that a major hurricane will make landfall in the Caribbean, the Gulf Coast, or the US East Coast. For residents still picking up after the hurricanes Harvey, Irma, […]

3 new changes for the 2018 Hurricane Season

1.) Annual update to the track forecast error cone.

One of the biggest changes this hurricane season will be adjustments to the NHC’s hurricane track map, or what most people call “The Cone of Uncertainty”. The cone will shrink.

The size of the tropical cyclone track forecast error cone for the Atlantic basin will be […]

2017 Hurricane Season Forecasts

2017 Hurricane Forecasts

Hurricane Season starts early…

For the third consecutive year in a row, activity began early, with the formation of Tropical Storm Arlene on April 19, nearly a month and a half before the official start of the season which begins on June 1st. It is only the second named storm on record to exist in […]

5 Major Changes In 2017 Coming to Hurricane Season Forecasts

5 major changes and improvements coming to the 2017 Hurricane Season Forecasts

As the 2017 Hurricane Season approaches the NHC has announced 5 major changes coming in 2017, with some of the improvements having been in the works for decades!

1.) The Issuing Of Watches, Warnings and Advisories Before Storms Even Form.

The NHC will issue advisories for systems that have yet to develop but pose a […]

Tropical Storm Danielle 2016 Hurricane Season

TD Danielle LHC Page

Danielle Advisories / Discussion Danielle past advisories, discussions and graphics archive

Tropical Storm Danielle Projected Path with Watches and Warnings

Danielle Floaters (View All Danielle Floaters HERE.)

Danielle Radar Loops

Danielle Tropical Storm Wind Speed Probability

Danielle Hurricane Force Wind Speed Probability

Danielle Intensity […]

2016 Hurricane Season Outlook from Louisiana Hurricane Center

60W Hurricane Season Outlook

Today June 1st marks the “OFFICIAL” start of the 2016 Hurricane Season and we already have had named 2 storms! Hurricane Alex formed in January and Tropical Storm Bonnie just made landfall recently in South Carolina.

Louisiana Hurricane Center’s Thoughts on this season With all of the data and forecasts I have gone over the […]

Tropical Storm Ana 2015 Archive

Tropical Storm Ana historical Information: On May 3, the National Hurricane Center began highlighting the expected formation of a non-tropical area of low pressure north of the Bahamas. Early on May 6, a weak surface low was associated with a broad upper trough as disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity extended across Florida, The Bahamas, […]

Western Gulf Coast Radar LoopWestern Gulf Coast Radar Central Gulf Coast Radar LoopCentral Gulf Coast Radar Eastern Gulf Coast RadarEastern Gulf Coast Radar East Coast RadarEast Coast Radar Northeast Coast RadarNortheast Coast Radar
  

10-Day GFS of 3-Hourly Precipitation

Tropical Intensity Index

Tropical Intensity Index

Current Vorticity

850mb
Current Vorticity
700mb
Current Vorticity

Favorable Conditions for Development


12 Hour Forecast 12 Hour Favorable Conditions for Tropical Development Forecast

24 Hour Forecast 24 Hour Favorable Conditions for Tropical Development Forecast

48 Hour Forecast 48 Hour Favorable Conditions for Tropical Development Forecast

72 Hour Forecast 72 Hour Favorable Conditions for Tropical Development Forecast

Maximum Potential Hurricane Intensity

Maximum Potential Hurricane Intensity

Saharan Air Layer (Dry Air)

Saharan Air Layer (SAL)
Saharan Air Layer (SAL)

Current Wind / Wave Analysis

Saharan Air Layer (SAL)

Global Jet Stream & 250 mb

Vertical Wind Shear

Current Sea Surface Tempatures


Sea Surface Temps
Sea Surface Temps
Gulf Of Mexico
Sea Surface Temps

Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly


Sea Surface Temperature Analomy
Sea Surface Temps Anomaly

Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential

Wind Shear
Wind Shear
Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential

Current Wind Shear


Wind Shear
Wind Shear

Shear Tendency Past 24 Hours


Wind Shear

Future Shear Forecasts


24 hour Future Wind Shear

48 hour Future Wind Shear

72 hour Future Wind Shear

Vertical Wind Shear

Vertical Wind Shear
Vertical Wind Shear

Current Wind Direction

ASCAT Data (Ascending/Descending)


Ascending ASCAT

Descending ASCAT

Atlantic Sea Height / Waves

Atlantic Sea Height / Waves
Atlantic Sea Height / Waves
Atlantic Sea Height / Waves

Global / Atlantic Wave Heights

Global Wave Heights Atlantic Wave Heights Atlantic Wave Heights Atlantic Wave Heights